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552 Little River 143
B+ Composite 76.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,500

552 Little River 143 · Foreman, AR 71822
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1960

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 Houses on 2 Acres. .. .. . Wonderfully secluded, yet close enough to civilization; 15 minutes to Ashdown, 10 minutes to Foreman. Close proximity for hunting/fishing. House 1: 2 bedroom 1-2 bathroom (plumbing in place for 2nd bathroom) Some recent updates: new roof (2025), new water heater (2026), septic tank just emptied. House 2: 2 bedroom 1 bathroom It& apos; s a blank canvas! (pipes/plumbing ready) Stove, fridge, washer all stay and were all bought brand new 6 months ago. Great school district(s). You can choose between Ashdown and Foreman. Make this your own slice of paradise. .. .it& apos; s livable now, but with some TLC there& apos; s endless possibilities.

Key facts

  • Septic tank emptied
  • New water heater
  • 2 acres

Tags

2 ACRESNEW ROOFNEW WATER HEATERSEPTIC TANK EMPTIEDSTOVE FRIDGE WASHER STAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($926 rent vs $50k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#335 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Foreman School District (rural): math 38% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #92 of 238 in AR (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Little River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($342 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Little River County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
16.59%
Cash-on-cash
36.79%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.7%
Equity multiple
3.96×
Total profit
$41,064
Equity at exit
$30,817
10-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
8.19×
Total profit
$99,656
Equity at exit
$55,627

Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71822

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$926 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$260
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $314/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $388
Max offer price $49,500
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,375
Closing costs
$1,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,500 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,500 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,500 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,500 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,500 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    remarks 676-char remark
  7. 2026-06-14
    listed $49,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$314 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$317 · $26/mo
Expected delta
+$3/yr ($0/mo · 0.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,108
− Mortgage interest
−$2,773
− Property taxes
−$314
− Insurance
−$248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$889
− Management
−$889
− Depreciation
−$1,440
Taxable income
$4,557
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,094
After-tax cash flow
$4,005/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Foreman School District
NCES district ID
0506240
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$40,188
Composite
31.91/100
National rank
#5853
State rank
#92 of 238 in AR

Livability — Foreman

Score
57/100
State rank
#335
US rank
#21650

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
3,327
Population (ZIP)
7,830

Population outlook (Little River County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,251 people
By 2030
10,529 · -6.4%
By 2040
9,211 · -18.1%
By 2050
7,999 · -28.9%
By 2075
5,779 · -48.6%
By 2100
4,395 · -60.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 21% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Little River

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.1% · R 76.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -54.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.3 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+36.3 2008: R+29.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.90%
Current HPI
154.3964
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $49,500 FSBO.com
  • 2025-03-12 Sold (MLS) TBOR
  • 2025-01-16 Pending TBOR
  • 2025-01-08 Listed $24,900 TBOR
  • 2024-07-10 Price Changed $39,900 TBOR
  • 2023-09-20 Listed $49,900 TBOR

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $314 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…