552 Little River 143 · Foreman, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Houses on 2 Acres. .. .. . Wonderfully secluded, yet close enough to civilization; 15 minutes to Ashdown, 10 minutes to Foreman. Close proximity for hunting/fishing. House 1: 2 bedroom 1-2 bathroom (plumbing in place for 2nd bathroom) Some recent updates: new roof (2025), new water heater (2026), septic tank just emptied. House 2: 2 bedroom 1 bathroom It& apos; s a blank canvas! (pipes/plumbing ready) Stove, fridge, washer all stay and were all bought brand new 6 months ago. Great school district(s). You can choose between Ashdown and Foreman. Make this your own slice of paradise. .. .it& apos; s livable now, but with some TLC there& apos; s endless possibilities.
Key facts
- Septic tank emptied
- New water heater
- 2 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($926 rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#335 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Foreman School District (rural): math 38% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #92 of 238 in AR (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Little River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($342 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Little River County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.79%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $41,064
- Equity at exit
- $30,817
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.19×
- Total profit
- $99,656
- Equity at exit
- $55,627
Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71822
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $926 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$260
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $314/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,375
- Closing costs
- $1,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 676-char remark
-
2026-06-14$49,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $314 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $317 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3/yr ($0/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,773
- − Property taxes
- −$314
- − Insurance
- −$248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$889
- − Management
- −$889
- − Depreciation
- −$1,440
- Taxable income
- $4,557
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,094
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Foreman School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506240
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,188
- Composite
- 31.91/100
- National rank
- #5853
- State rank
- #92 of 238 in AR
Livability — Foreman
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #335
- US rank
- #21650
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,327
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,830
Population outlook (Little River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,251 people
- By 2030
- 10,529 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 9,211 · -18.1%
- By 2050
- 7,999 · -28.9%
- By 2075
- 5,779 · -48.6%
- By 2100
- 4,395 · -60.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 21% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Little River
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.1% · R 76.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.3pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+36.3 2008: R+29.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.90%
- Current HPI
- 154.3964
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-0.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $49,500 FSBO.com
- 2025-03-12 Sold (MLS) — TBOR
- 2025-01-16 Pending — TBOR
- 2025-01-08 Listed $24,900 TBOR
- 2024-07-10 Price Changed $39,900 TBOR
- 2023-09-20 Listed $49,900 TBOR
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $314 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…