🏷️ Likely Rental
4811 Liberty Heights Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover a remarkable investment opportunity at 4811 Liberty Heights Ave! This versatile mixed-use property boasts two units, each featuring separate entrances and meters. Both units include three bedrooms, presenting significant rental income potential. The current configuration comprises a first-floor office/flex space and a second-floor unit that is tenant-occupied, making it ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow or future repositioning options. Both tenants will be vacating on July 1, 2026. Located on a spacious lot, the property includes a detached garage and offers easy access to major roads, shopping centers, and public transit. The property is being sold AS-IS, with cash o
Key facts
- First-floor office
- Spacious lot
- Tenant-occupied unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit investment with both units leased month-to-month; Units currently not furnished
- HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with covered parking for 2 cars
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year source: Assessor
- Exterior features: Community pool; Property located within city limits
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two three-bedroom units
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Radiator heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Two-unit semi-detached building
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $210k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.61%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $324,648
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3221 Milford Ave | 0.26mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,915 (-2%) | 5mo | $289,000 | $151 | 76 |
| 3818 Woodbine Ave | 0.36mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 1,970 (+1%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $112 | 70 |
| 4315 Springdale Ave | 0.45mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 1,928 (-1%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $83 | 70 |
| 4213 Springdale Ave | 0.53mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,002 (+3%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $185 | 59 |
| 4306 Fernhill Ave | 0.52mi | 6/4.5 | 2,085 (+7%) | 0mo | $435,000 | $209 | 53 |
| 4713 Norwood Ave | 0.22mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 1,785 (-8%) | 12mo | $412,500 | $231 | 53 |
| 5300 Merceron Ave | 0.50mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,100 (+8%) | 10mo | $405,000 | $193 | 44 |
| 3208 Brightwood Ave | 0.36mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,232 (+15%) | 8mo | $373,000 | $167 | 43 |
| 3912 Milford Ave | 0.44mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,136 (+10%) | 13mo | $314,000 | $147 | 43 |
| 4414 Wentworth Rd | 0.44mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,708 (-12%) | 11mo | $164,000 | $96 | 41 |
| 4003 Springdale Ave | 0.73mi | 6/3.0 | 2,175 (+12%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $92 | 40 |
| 4012 Kathland Ave | 0.70mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 2,100 (+8%) | 14mo | $364,000 | $173 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $126,861
- Equity at exit
- $181,568
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.33×
- Total profit
- $372,260
- Equity at exit
- $383,726
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21207
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,257 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$369 /mo · $4,423/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $226
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-17$210,000 Active
-
2025-07-21historical
-
2025-06-11$234,999 Active
-
2003-06-26soldstatus $68,200
-
2000-06-05historical
-
2000-01-05
-
1999-12-21historical
-
1999-12-21historical
-
1999-06-21
-
1999-06-21
-
1997-03-29historical
-
1996-09-30
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,423 · $369/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,423 · $369/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,084
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$4,423
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,167
- − Management
- −$2,167
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$595
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$143
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $67,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 843.63
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+207.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-11 Listed $234,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $68,200 Public Records
- 2000-06-05 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-01-05 Listed — MRIS
- 1999-12-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-12-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-06-21 Listed — MRIS
- 1999-06-21 Listed — MRIS
- 1997-03-29 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-09-30 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,423 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…