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4811 Liberty Heights Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 66.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$210,000

4811 Liberty Heights Ave · Baltimore, MD 21207
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,944 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1925 7,000 sqft lot Est $325k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover a remarkable investment opportunity at 4811 Liberty Heights Ave! This versatile mixed-use property boasts two units, each featuring separate entrances and meters. Both units include three bedrooms, presenting significant rental income potential. The current configuration comprises a first-floor office/flex space and a second-floor unit that is tenant-occupied, making it ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow or future repositioning options. Both tenants will be vacating on July 1, 2026. Located on a spacious lot, the property includes a detached garage and offers easy access to major roads, shopping centers, and public transit. The property is being sold AS-IS, with cash o

Key facts

  • First-floor office
  • Spacious lot
  • Tenant-occupied unit

Tags

MIXED-USE PROPERTYSEPARATE ENTRANCESSIGNIFICANT RENTAL INCOMEFIRST-FLOOR OFFICETENANT-OCCUPIED UNITSPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit investment with both units leased month-to-month; Units currently not furnished
  • HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with covered parking for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Property located within city limits

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two three-bedroom units
  • Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Radiator heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Two-unit semi-detached building

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $210,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$324,648) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $210k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.61%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$324,648
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3221 Milford Ave 0.26mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,915 (-2%) 5mo $289,000 $151 76
3818 Woodbine Ave 0.36mi 7/2.0 (+1) 1,970 (+1%) 6mo $220,000 $112 70
4315 Springdale Ave 0.45mi 5/2.5 (-1) 1,928 (-1%) 1mo $160,000 $83 70
4213 Springdale Ave 0.53mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,002 (+3%) 3mo $370,000 $185 59
4306 Fernhill Ave 0.52mi 6/4.5 2,085 (+7%) 0mo $435,000 $209 53
4713 Norwood Ave 0.22mi 7/4.0 (+1) 1,785 (-8%) 12mo $412,500 $231 53
5300 Merceron Ave 0.50mi 5/3.5 (-1) 2,100 (+8%) 10mo $405,000 $193 44
3208 Brightwood Ave 0.36mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,232 (+15%) 8mo $373,000 $167 43
3912 Milford Ave 0.44mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,136 (+10%) 13mo $314,000 $147 43
4414 Wentworth Rd 0.44mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,708 (-12%) 11mo $164,000 $96 41
4003 Springdale Ave 0.73mi 6/3.0 2,175 (+12%) 2mo $200,000 $92 40
4012 Kathland Ave 0.70mi 5/4.0 (-1) 2,100 (+8%) 14mo $364,000 $173 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$126,861
Equity at exit
$181,568
10-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
7.33×
Total profit
$372,260
Equity at exit
$383,726

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21207

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,257 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$369 /mo · $4,423/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$474
Net cashflow
$226

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,971
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    listed $210,000 Active
  2. 2025-07-21
    historical
  3. 2025-06-11
    listed $234,999 Active
  4. 2003-06-26
    soldstatus $68,200
  5. 2000-06-05
    historical
  6. 2000-01-05
    listed
  7. 1999-12-21
    historical
  8. 1999-12-21
    historical
  9. 1999-06-21
    listed
  10. 1999-06-21
    listed
  11. 1997-03-29
    historical
  12. 1996-09-30
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,423 · $369/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,423 · $369/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,084
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$4,423
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,167
− Management
−$2,167
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$595
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$143
After-tax cash flow
$2,851/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore County · 769,527 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
47,099
Household income
$67,060
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
2139.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
843.63
Rent YoY
▲ 5.23%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+207.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $210,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-11 Listed $234,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $68,200 Public Records
  • 2000-06-05 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-01-05 Listed MRIS
  • 1999-12-21 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-12-21 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-06-21 Listed MRIS
  • 1999-06-21 Listed MRIS
  • 1997-03-29 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-09-30 Listed MRIS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,423 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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