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302 Tilford St
C+ Composite 60.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$82,500

302 Tilford St · Dysart, IA 52224
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 852 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1900 8,276 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This nice cozy home offers a spacious living room, a dining area and a galley style kitchen. There are two nice sized bedrooms and a 3/4 bath with a new, very nice walk-in shower with bench, grab bars and rain shower head! New deck paint on the front porch in 2025. Also new front storm door, interior door and front porch light 2025. New vinyl plank flooring in both bedrooms in 2025. Plenty of room in the basement for storage. There is a 1 stall garage and 2 smaller storage sheds for mowers and yard & garden tools. Located on a nice corner lot close to downtown. Amenities include a public pool, daycare for families, public library, a beautiful city park and many community activities th

Key facts

  • New front storm door
  • New walk-in shower
  • Galley style kitchen

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING ROOMGALLEY STYLE KITCHENNEW WALK-IN SHOWERNEW FRONT STORM DOORNEW VINYL PLANK FLOORINGCORNER LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Gravel parking; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Foundation area matches above-grade area
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Corner lot; Public maintained road; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Basement; Accessible full bath; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#158 in IA, #2,881 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Union Community School District (rural): math 77% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #53 of 289 in IA (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Tama County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($570 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
  • Tama County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $82k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,212 (4.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.94%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$22,283
Equity at exit
$43,799
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$63,525
Equity at exit
$73,254

Cash invested: $23,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52224

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$792 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$433
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $764/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$166
Net cashflow
$95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $672
Max offer price $82,500
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $142 -5% $118 +0% $95 +5% $72 +10% $48
Rent -10% $33 -5% $64 +0% $95 +5% $126 +10% $158
Rate -1.0pp $137 -0.5pp $116 base $95 +0.5pp $74 +1.0pp $52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,625
Closing costs
$2,475
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $82,500 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,500 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,500 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,500 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $82,500 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-27
    listed $82,500 Active
  7. 2020-01-03
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$764 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,030 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$266/yr (+$22/mo · 34.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,505
− Mortgage interest
−$4,621
− Property taxes
−$764
− Insurance
−$412
− Repairs & maintenance
−$760
− Management
−$760
− Depreciation
−$2,400
Taxable loss
−$213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$51
After-tax cash flow
$1,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union Community School District
NCES district ID
1900022
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$58,114
Composite
65.13/100
National rank
#496
State rank
#53 of 289 in IA

Livability — Dysart

Score
77/100
State rank
#158
US rank
#2881

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dysart, IA
Population (ZIP)
1,954

Population outlook (Tama County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,690 people
By 2030
16,217 · -2.8%
By 2040
15,207 · -8.9%
By 2050
14,186 · -15.0%
By 2075
12,228 · -26.7%
By 2100
10,386 · -37.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Asian 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Tama

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.9) · D 35.7% · R 62.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-39.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -26.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.9 2020: R+19.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: D+7.4 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.40%
Current HPI
174.1922
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+65.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $82,500 IAR
  • 2020-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $764 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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