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913 W Hernandez St
D+ Composite 45.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,999

913 W Hernandez St · Pensacola, FL 32501
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,443 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1962 0.30 ac lot Est $277k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Freshly renovated and move-in ready, this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is located just minutes from Downtown Pensacola. The flexible fourth bedroom offers the perfect space for a home office, gym, or guest room to fit your lifestyle needs. Inside, light neutral tones, new windows, baseboards, and sleek fixtures create a bright and welcoming atmosphere throughout. Major system upgrades include a new HVAC system, hot water heater, and updated appliances, providing modern comfort and peace of mind. The split floor plan offers added privacy for bedrooms, while the open-concept kitchen, dining, and living areas create a seamless flow ideal for everyday living and entertaining.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Built 1962
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Guest parking / open parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Copper wiring; Cable available; Publicly maintained road
  • Home design: Single-story detached home; Brick construction; Hip shingle roof; Off-grade foundation
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Patio and porch; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Recently remodeled kitchen (within the last year) with new countertops, backsplash, flooring and appliances; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor, approximately 12' x 12'
  • Flooring: Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Recently updated — full remodel within the last year (new flooring, tile, vanity, fixtures)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (heat pump and central system); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Baseboards; Recessed lighting; Bonus room; Game room; Blinds and shutters on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($151/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (17.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: C. A. Weis Elementary School (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,061 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 466 students, 93% FRL); Pensacola High School (math 29% / reading 50%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,229 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 58% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,143/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 816% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $132k; list at $260k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $214,332 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.21%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$277,056
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
631 W Jordan St 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (-2%) 2mo $170,500 $121 75
1906 N Spring St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-3%) 5mo $465,000 $332 60
2607 N H St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,356 (-6%) 1mo $255,000 $188 59
120 W Lakeview Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,330 (-8%) 4mo $290,000 $218 56
412 W Brainerd St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,519 (+5%) 3mo $315,000 $207 52
110 E Bobe St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,488 (+3%) 1mo $278,000 $187 51
112 E Bobe St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,488 (+3%) 1mo $280,000 $188 50
1491 N E St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,634 (+13%) 2mo $190,000 $116 50
1502 N Baylen St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,514 (+5%) 3mo $405,000 $268 49
1105 W Gonzales St 0.65mi 4/2.0 1,294 (-10%) 1mo $180,000 $139 48
1503 N K St 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,596 (+11%) 4mo $335,000 $210 46
2419 N L St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,285 (-11%) 2mo $247,000 $192 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.4% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-36,071
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-7,696
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32501

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,143 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,506/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,127
Max offer price $259,999
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $160 -5% $86 +0% $13 +5% $-61 +10% $-135
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-72 +0% $13 +5% $97 +10% $182
Rate -1.0pp $143 -0.5pp $79 base $13 +0.5pp $-55 +1.0pp $-123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
721 W Jordan St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1030 $1,895 $1.84 25d 1 0.18mi
407 W Jordan St Unit NA Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 25d 1 0.29mi
1215 N C St Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,775 $1.48 15d 1 0.52mi
2108 W Bobe St Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1752 $2,100 $1.20 25d 1 0.74mi
814 N E St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 25d 1 0.77mi
615 N A St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,900 $1.69 15d 1 0.95mi
418 N C St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1017 $2,775 $2.73 15d 1 1.05mi
411 N D St Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1511 $2,175 $1.44 25d 1 1.06mi
410 N C St Unit 1367374P Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1291 $3,313 $2.57 15d 1 1.07mi
504 N Spring St Unit B Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.5 1485 $1,995 $1.34 25d 1 1.15mi
1804 W Belmont St Unit A Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 23d 1 1.16mi
2008 N 8th Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1058 $1,250 $1.18 15d 1 1.19mi
239 N K St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,950 $1.40 25d 1 1.25mi
2802 W Gonzalez St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1824 $1,600 $0.88 25d 1 1.27mi
309 N Pace Blvd Unit B Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,650 $1.23 25d 1 1.30mi
315 N Pace Blvd Unit A Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,850 $1.38 25d 1 1.31mi
315 N Pace Blvd Unit b Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,650 $1.23 25d 1 1.31mi
801 E Gonzalez St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,200 $1.83 15d 1 1.35mi
3131 N 10th Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.5 1085 $1,700 $1.57 25d 1 1.46mi
1121 E Maxwell St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1716 $3,550 $2.07 25d 1 1.48mi
511 E La Rua St Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,475 $1.31 15d 1 1.49mi
106 S G St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 25d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $259,999 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,999 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,999 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,999 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,999 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    pricestatusdays on market $259,999 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    historical $270,000
  17. 2026-03-12
    listed $1,995
  18. 2025-10-30
    historical
  19. 2025-08-25
    listed $280,000 Active
  20. 2024-09-18
    historical
  21. 2024-08-30
    listed $295,000 Active
  22. 2022-08-17
    soldstatus $132,500 Sold
  23. 2022-08-17
    soldstatus $132,500
  24. 2022-08-07
    status Pending
  25. 2022-08-03
    listed $143,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,506 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,506 · $209/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,720
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$2,506
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,058
− Management
−$2,058
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$4,329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,039
After-tax cash flow
$1,190/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pensacola

Score
83/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#924

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pensacola, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
237,636
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
11,036
Household income
$44,139
Rent vs Own
49.0% rent · 51.0% own
Severe rent burden
816.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 42% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.53%
Current HPI
273.0151
Rent YoY
▲ 5.40%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Price Changed $1,895 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $259,999 PARMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $259,999 PARMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $270,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed for Rent $1,995 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2025-10-30 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $280,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-09-18 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2024-08-30 Listed $295,000 PARMLS
  • 2022-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $132,500 Public Records
  • 2022-08-17 Sold (MLS) $132,500 PARMLS
  • 2022-08-07 Pending PARMLS
  • 2022-08-03 Listed $143,000 PARMLS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,506 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…