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1900 Danbrook Dr #326
F Composite 33.85
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +2.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$305,000

1900 Danbrook Dr #326 · Sacramento, CA 95835
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · Condo public records · 75 Days on market
Built 2005 $565/mo HOA · 28% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1900 Danbrook Drive #326, a beautifully maintained condominium located in the desirable Amara Condominiums community in North Natomas. Built in 2005, this inviting residence offers approximately 1,300+ square feet of comfortable living space with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, combining modern convenience with a functional open-concept layout. Inside, the home features a bright and welcoming living area designed for both everyday living and entertaining. Large windows allow natural light to fill the space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. The open layout seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, offering a comfortable flow ideal for relaxing e

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Bright living area
  • Private retreat

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTBRIGHT LIVING AREALARGE WINDOWSWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENPRIVATE RETREATEN-SUITE BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (70.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (34.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $90k (70.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.0% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Natomas Unified (urban): math 33% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #155 of 517 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Natomas Park Elementary (690 students, 61% FRL); Natomas Middle (662 students, 65% FRL); Inderkum High (math 39% / reading 66%, grade C-, #289 of 1,170 statewide, top 25%, 2,266 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; HOA is 28% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A99 (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,456 (70.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 70% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
1.97%
Cash-on-cash
-15.45%
DSCR
0.31
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.18% appreciation · 1.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$68,606
Equity at exit
$256,815
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
3.98×
Total profit
$254,720
Equity at exit
$535,777

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95835

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
406
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,986 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$377 /mo · $4,523/yr
Insurance
$127
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$565
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$-1,225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,536
Max offer price $90,456
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,052 -5% $-1,138 +0% $-1,225 +5% $-1,311 +10% $-1,397
Rent -10% $-1,381 -5% $-1,303 +0% $-1,225 +5% $-1,146 +10% $-1,068
Rate -1.0pp $-1,071 -0.5pp $-1,147 base $-1,225 +0.5pp $-1,304 +1.0pp $-1,384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1900 Danbrook Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 873 $1,772 $2.03 45d 2 0.04mi
1900 Danbrook Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 1015 $2,048 $2.02 6d 2 0.04mi
1850 Club Center Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 985 $1,750 $1.78 0d 8 0.19mi
4850 Natomas Blvd Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $1,800 $2.15 0d 17 0.57mi
4601 Blackrock Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,983 $2.11 0d 8 0.94mi
4500 Truxel Rd Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,787 $1.99 0d 22 1.06mi
4800 Kokomo Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1229 $2,024 $1.65 0d 24 1.18mi
4400 Truxel Rd Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,785 $1.78 0d 1 1.36mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$565 · $6,780/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2021-04-09
    soldstatus $310,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,523 · $377/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,523 · $377/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A99 · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,835
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$4,523
− Insurance
−$3,028
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,907
− Management
−$1,907
− HOA
−$6,780
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable loss
−$20,267
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,864
After-tax cash flow
$-9,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natomas Unified
NCES district ID
0600036
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 13.00%
Median HH income
$67,969
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3457
State rank
#155 of 517 in CA

Livability — Sacramento

Score
71/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#6957

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sacramento, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
761,410
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,004
Household income
$114,468
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
1234.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 30% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 15% Black 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
66% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.18%
Current HPI
271.4823
Rent YoY
▲ 1.43%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2021-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,523 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…