1900 Danbrook Dr #326 · Sacramento, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A99
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 29 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +2.2/30.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1900 Danbrook Drive #326, a beautifully maintained condominium located in the desirable Amara Condominiums community in North Natomas. Built in 2005, this inviting residence offers approximately 1,300+ square feet of comfortable living space with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, combining modern convenience with a functional open-concept layout. Inside, the home features a bright and welcoming living area designed for both everyday living and entertaining. Large windows allow natural light to fill the space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. The open layout seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, offering a comfortable flow ideal for relaxing e
Key facts
- Large windows
- Bright living area
- Private retreat
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (70.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (34.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $90k (70.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 2.0% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Natomas Unified (urban): math 33% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #155 of 517 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Natomas Park Elementary (690 students, 61% FRL); Natomas Middle (662 students, 65% FRL); Inderkum High (math 39% / reading 66%, grade C-, #289 of 1,170 statewide, top 25%, 2,266 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; HOA is 28% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A99 (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 70% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -15.45%
- DSCR
- 0.31
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.18% appreciation · 1.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $68,606
- Equity at exit
- $256,815
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $254,720
- Equity at exit
- $535,777
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95835
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 406
- Price-to-rent
- 12.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,986 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$377 /mo · $4,523/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$565
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $-1,225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,052 | -5% $-1,138 | +0% $-1,225 | +5% $-1,311 | +10% $-1,397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,381 | -5% $-1,303 | +0% $-1,225 | +5% $-1,146 | +10% $-1,068 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,071 | -0.5pp $-1,147 | base $-1,225 | +0.5pp $-1,304 | +1.0pp $-1,384 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 Danbrook Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,772 | $2.03 | 45d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 1900 Danbrook Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $2,048 | $2.02 | 6d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 1850 Club Center Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,750 | $1.78 | 0d | 8 | 0.19mi |
| 4850 Natomas Blvd Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $1,800 | $2.15 | 0d | 17 | 0.57mi |
| 4601 Blackrock Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $1,983 | $2.11 | 0d | 8 | 0.94mi |
| 4500 Truxel Rd Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,787 | $1.99 | 0d | 22 | 1.06mi |
| 4800 Kokomo Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1229 | $2,024 | $1.65 | 0d | 24 | 1.18mi |
| 4400 Truxel Rd Sacramento, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,785 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $565 · $6,780/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 1 events
-
2021-04-09soldstatus $310,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,523 · $377/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,523 · $377/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A99 · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,835
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$4,523
- − Insurance
- −$3,028
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,907
- − Management
- −$1,907
- − HOA
- −$6,780
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$20,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,864
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Natomas Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0600036
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,969
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3457
- State rank
- #155 of 517 in CA
Livability — Sacramento
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #6957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sacramento, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 761,410
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,004
- Household income
- $114,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1234.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 30% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 15% Black 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.18%
- Current HPI
- 271.4823
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.43%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2021-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,523 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…