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1233 Good Pr Ave
C+ Composite 61.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$195,999

1233 Good Pr Ave · Wolfforth, TX 79382
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,402 sqft · Other · 51 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 2,964 sqft lot ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open floorplan
  • Secondary bedrooms

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANOWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSECONDARY BEDROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $196k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#43 in TX, #1,872 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Frenship ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #162 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 472 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $171,555 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.29%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$119,140
Equity at exit
$176,571
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
7.21×
Total profit
$340,841
Equity at exit
$380,783

Cash invested: $54,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79382

Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,716 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,028
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $596/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,467
Max offer price $195,999
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,000
Closing costs
$5,880
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
611 E 14th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1299 $1,725 $1.33 43d 1 0.14mi
723 E 17th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1670 $1,800 $1.08 43d 1 0.21mi
1313 Corpus Ave Unit B Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,850 $1.19 13d 1 0.22mi
1712 Corpus Ave Wolfforth, TX 2.0 2.0 1335 $1,375 $1.03 43d 1 0.30mi
2008 Cottonwood Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,810 $1.25 43d 1 0.38mi
2304 Corpus Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,425 $1.08 43d 1 0.40mi
1817 Corpus Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,600 $1.14 13d 1 0.42mi
2001 Corpus Ave Unit B Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,500 $1.14 13d 1 0.45mi
2001 Corpus Ave Unit 2001 B Corpus Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,500 $1.11 21d 1 0.45mi
2006 Corpus Ave Unit A Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,425 $1.17 13d 1 0.46mi
2001 Bryan Ave Unit B Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,400 $1.03 43d 1 0.48mi
2008 Bryan Ave Unit Harvest-2008 A Bryan Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,400 $1.14 43d 1 0.49mi
2011 Bryan Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,450 $1.07 43d 1 0.52mi
304 E 19th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,150 $1.03 13d 1 0.53mi
2418 Aberdeen Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,799 $1.24 43d 1 0.54mi
2408 Aberdeen Ave Wolfforth, TX 4.0 2.0 1703 $2,100 $1.23 21d 1 0.54mi
407 E 21st St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,399 $1.03 21d 1 0.55mi
215 14th St Wolfforth, TX 4.0 3.0 1850 $2,200 $1.19 13d 1 0.60mi
127 Brooke Blvd Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.5 1714 $1,757 $1.03 13d 2 0.76mi
2916 Corpus Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1657 $1,800 $1.09 43d 1 0.99mi
7510 102nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1503 $1,600 $1.06 43d 1 1.03mi
811 11th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1523 $1,595 $1.05 43d 1 1.05mi
7456 104th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,700 $1.16 43d 1 1.10mi
7449 104th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,625 $1.10 21d 1 1.11mi
906 11th St Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1731 $2,000 $1.16 43d 1 1.16mi
7440 104th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1578 $1,600 $1.01 13d 1 1.16mi
7729 92nd St Lubbock, TX 4.0 3.0 1810 $2,495 $1.38 21d 1 1.17mi
7424 104th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1598 $1,750 $1.10 43d 1 1.24mi
405 Ranger St Wolfforth, TX 4.0 2.0 1866 $2,450 $1.31 13d 1 1.27mi
7350 100th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 43d 1 1.34mi
7811 86th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,025 $1.18 21d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,999 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,999 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,999 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $195,999 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,999 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricestatus $215,999 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $194,999 Pending 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,999 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,999 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,999 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,999 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $194,999 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-07
    price $194,999 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    The Kitson - This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Estimated Completion May 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  14. 2026-05-07
    price $194,999 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    The Kitson - This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Estimated Completion May 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  15. 2026-05-01
    price $195,999 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  16. 2026-04-29
    price $195,999 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  17. 2026-04-29
    price $191,999 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  18. 2026-04-28
    price $191,999 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    The Kitson - This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Estimated Completion May 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  19. 2026-04-20
    listed $195,999 Active 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    The Kitson - This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests. Estimated Completion May 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.

  20. 2026-04-16
    price $195,999 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  21. 2026-04-09
    price $196,999 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  22. 2026-04-03
    price $197,999 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  23. 2026-04-02
    price $202,999 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

  24. 2026-03-29
    listed $217,999 Active 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining during gatherings. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms along the side of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$596 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,587 · $299/mo
Expected delta
+$2,990/yr (+$249/mo · 501.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,587
− Mortgage interest
−$10,979
− Property taxes
−$596
− Insurance
−$980
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,647
− Management
−$1,647
− Depreciation
−$5,702
Taxable loss
−$964
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$231
After-tax cash flow
$2,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and has the potential for minor updates to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's appeal and marketability.
  • Both Install smart locks — Smart locks can improve security and convenience for potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's appeal and marketability.
  • Both Install smart locks — Smart locks can improve security and convenience for potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for potential buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frenship ISD
NCES district ID
4819830
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,376
Composite
43.59/100
National rank
#2976
State rank
#162 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wolfforth

Score
80/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1872

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wolfforth, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
10,512
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,512
Household income
$84,457
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
135.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 166.08%
Current HPI
561.4491
Rent YoY
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $194,999 Zillow
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $194,999 LARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $195,999 Zillow
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $195,999 LARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $191,999 Zillow
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $191,999 LARMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $195,999 LARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $195,999 Zillow
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $196,999 Zillow
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $197,999 Zillow
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $202,999 Zillow
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $217,999 Zillow

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $596 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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