16.5 Washington St · Rensselaer, NY 12144

$55,000

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,592 sqft · SingleFamily · 18 Days on market

Built 1835 2,613 sqft lot ↓ 39% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

BUILDING IS CONDEMED AND NEEDS FULL DEMOLITION. BUILDING IS SOLD AS IS

Key facts

• Off-street parking
• Driveway potential
• 2,613 sq ft lot

Tags

• OFF-STREET PARKING
• DRIVEWAY POTENTIAL

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 41.5% vs local median 5.0% in Rensselaer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#191 in NY, #2,967 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
• Rensselaer City School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #574 of 590 in NY (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1835 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $54,175 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1835 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.59% ✓
• Cap rate: 41.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 125.65%
• DSCR: 6.59
• GRM: 1.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 87.5%
• Equity multiple: 4.87×
• Total profit: $59,563
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: 90.0%
• Equity multiple: 9.25×
• Total profit: $127,115
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12144

• Home prices YoY: -33.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 102
• Price-to-rent: 1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,522 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$69 /mo · $825/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$530
• Net cashflow: $1,152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,064

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
32 1st St Albany, NY	4.0	1.5	1773	$1,850	$1.04	43d	1	1.39mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2025-10-14
   status Pending
2. 2025-10-10
   price $55,000
3. 2025-09-27
   listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,267
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$825
• − Insurance: −$5,800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,421
• − Management: −$2,421
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $14,118
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,388
• After-tax cash flow: $10,436/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rensselaer City School District
• NCES district ID: 3624450
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $48,665
• Composite: 26.89/100
• National rank: #7096
• State rank: #574 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rensselaer

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #191
• US rank: #2967

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rensselaer, NY
• County: Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
• City population: 22,111
• Metro: Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
• Population (ZIP): 22,111
• Household income: $90,738
• Rent vs Own: 41.0% rent · 59.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 541.0

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 162,400 people
• By 2030: 161,746 · -0.4%
• By 2040: 158,095 · -2.7%
• By 2050: 152,966 · -5.8%
• By 2075: 140,767 · -13.3%
• By 2100: 124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 3%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Philippines, Canada, China
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -138.26%
• Current HPI: 276.2239
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.90%
• Metro: Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-38.8% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-14 Pending — Global MLS
• 2025-10-10 Price Changed $55,000 Global MLS
• 2025-09-27 Listed $89,900 Global MLS