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2616 Verbena Ave
D+ Composite 45.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

2616 Verbena Ave · Edinburg, TX 78542
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1984 5,248 sqft lot Est $90k · 12% over ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious and versatile property offering expanded living areas and added functionality. This mobile home has been thoughtfully extended to include additional improvements, resulting in a total of 4 bedrooms, 2 living areas, and 3 full bathrooms. The added spaces include a second living area, additional bedrooms, a laundry room, and a unique secret/panic room, providing flexibility for a variety of needs. The exterior features an extended carport that spans the entire front portion of the property, along with a full concrete slab for ample parking. Two gated entrances allow for multiple vehicle access, and the 6-foot front gate provides added privacy and security. Property does require some TLC but offers great potential with its generous layout and existing improvements. Ideal for buyers looking for space, functionality, and the opportunity to customize to their liking.

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Extended carport
  • Second living area

Tags

EXPANDED LIVING AREASSECOND LIVING AREALAUNDRY ROOMUNIQUE SECRET ROOMEXTENDED CARPORTFULL CONCRETE SLAB

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.4% in Edinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#784 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1003 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.44%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,628
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2518 Agave Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 928 (+0%) 15mo $90,000 $97 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-11,293
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-11,690
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78542

Home prices YoY
-13.4%
Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
1003
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,101 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,119/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$127

Break-even live

Break-even rent $940
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $184 -5% $155 +0% $127 +5% $99 +10% $70
Rent -10% $40 -5% $84 +0% $127 +5% $170 +10% $214
Rate -1.0pp $177 -0.5pp $152 base $127 +0.5pp $101 +1.0pp $75

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
305 S Raul Longoria Rd Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 44d 1 0.48mi
302 S Doolittle Rd Edinburg, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 750 $800 $1.07 14d 7 0.60mi
220 S 25th Ave Edinburg, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0 773 $799 $1.03 14d 6 0.72mi
805 Dove Ave Unit 1 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $1,150 $1.22 44d 1 0.92mi
816 Dove Ave Unit 2 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 44d 1 0.93mi
809 Dove Ave Unit 3 Edinburg, TX 1.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 0.94mi
817 Dove Ave Unit 2 Edinburg, TX 1.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 0.97mi
2714 E Mile 17 1/2 N Edinburg, TX 2.0 1.0 840 $599 $0.71 44d 1 1.16mi
1405 E Sonador Dr S Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,900 $1.77 44d 1 1.30mi
604 E Schunior St Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 44d 1 1.32mi
1404 Deer Hls Unit 3 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 975 $1,100 $1.13 44d 1 1.38mi
1408 Deer Hls Unit 4 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $995 $1.11 44d 1 1.38mi
1408 Deer Hls Unit 3 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 44d 1 1.38mi
1331 E Candor Dr Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1121 $1,700 $1.52 44d 1 1.40mi
811 S 19th Ave Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1102 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.40mi
1420 Deer Hls Unit 3 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,100 $1.07 24d 1 1.41mi
1502 Deer Hls Unit 3 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $995 $1.06 21d 1 1.41mi
1502 Deer Hls Unit 3 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $995 $1.06 44d 1 1.41mi
1502 Deer Hls Unit 3 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $995 $1.06 24d 1 1.41mi
1403 Deer Hls Unit 2 Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 1.42mi
1407 Deer Hls Unit 1 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 975 $995 $1.02 24d 1 1.43mi
1402 Coyote Hls Unit 4 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 925 $990 $1.07 44d 1 1.43mi
1411 Deer Hls Edinburg, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0 1037 $1,100 $1.06 44d 2 1.43mi
1411 Deer Hls Unit 1 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 975 $1,100 $1.13 24d 1 1.43mi
1410 Coyote Hls Unit 4 Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 24d 1 1.45mi
1405 Coyote Hls Unit 2 Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 24d 1 1.48mi
1405 Coyote Hls Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 14d 1 1.48mi
1512 Coyote Hls Unit 1 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $995 $1.05 44d 1 1.48mi
1409 Coyote Hls Unit 2 Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 14d 1 1.49mi
1413 Coyote Hls Unit 4 Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,150 $1.10 24d 1 1.49mi
1417 Coyote Hls Unit 1 Edinburg, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $985 $1.05 45d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    price $100,000 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    Spacious and versatile property offering expanded living areas and added functionality. This mobile home has been thoughtfully extended to include additional improvements, resulting in a total of 4 bedrooms, 2 living areas, and 3 full bathrooms. The added spaces include a second living area, additional bedrooms, a laundry room, and a unique secret/panic room, providing flexibility for a variety of needs. The exterior features an extended carport that spans the entire front portion of the property, along with a full concrete slab for ample parking. Two gated entrances allow for multiple vehicle access, and the 6-foot front gate provides added privacy and security. Property does require some TLC but offers great potential with its generous layout and existing improvements. Ideal for buyers looking for space, functionality, and the opportunity to customize to their liking.

  17. 2026-04-07
    listed $120,000 Active 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    Spacious and versatile property offering expanded living areas and added functionality. This mobile home has been thoughtfully extended to include additional improvements, resulting in a total of 4 bedrooms, 2 living areas, and 3 full bathrooms. The added spaces include a second living area, additional bedrooms, a laundry room, and a unique secret/panic room, providing flexibility for a variety of needs. The exterior features an extended carport that spans the entire front portion of the property, along with a full concrete slab for ample parking. Two gated entrances allow for multiple vehicle access, and the 6-foot front gate provides added privacy and security. Property does require some TLC but offers great potential with its generous layout and existing improvements. Ideal for buyers looking for space, functionality, and the opportunity to customize to their liking.

  18. 2005-04-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,119 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,119 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,210
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,119
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,057
− Management
−$1,057
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable loss
−$33
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8
After-tax cash flow
$1,532/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edinburg CISD
NCES district ID
4818180
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$36,985
Composite
22.42/100
National rank
#8114
State rank
#699 of 826 in TX

Livability — Edinburg

Score
64/100
State rank
#784
US rank
#14319

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edinburg, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
City population
178,279
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
89,401
Household income
$55,243
Rent vs Own
24.3% rent · 75.7% own
Severe rent burden
1240.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 59% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 91%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada
Languages at home
15% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.17%
Current HPI
220.921
Rent YoY
▼ -1.07%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $100,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $120,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2005-04-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,119 · +19.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…