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1206 James Ave
B- Composite 69.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

1206 James Ave · Albert Lea, MN 56007
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,684 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 147 Days on market
Built 1900 6,833 sqft lot $47/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you are looking for a large home and you have the ability to do some remodeling yourself, this is a great opportunity. Replacing the flooring, giving it a fresh coat of paint and some new fixtures and you have the start to a great home. The exterior features vinyl siding for maintenance free living. There is a newer boiler and it keeps the home comfortable in the winter months. Please reach out today or schedule a showing with your Buyer's Agent. The Listing Agent owns that vacant lot to the North so both lots could be combined in the purchase. The property is a show and go so schedule through ShowingTime.

Key facts

  • Newer boiler
  • Vinyl siding
  • 6,833 sq ft lot

Tags

VINYL SIDINGNEWER BOILER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 4.0% in Albert Lea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Albert Lea Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #258 of 301 in MN (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Freeborn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Freeborn County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $80k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
17.09%
Cash-on-cash
38.57%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$191,000
List price
$79,900
Delta
-58.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$28,658
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
37.8%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$78,641
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56007

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,561 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $740/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$653

Break-even live

Break-even rent $735
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 147 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 145 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 144 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 143 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 131 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 130 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 129 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 128 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 127 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    price $79,900 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    If you are looking for a large home and you have the ability to do some remodeling yourself, this is a great opportunity. Replacing the flooring, giving it a fresh coat of paint and some new fixtures and you have the start to a great home. The exterior features vinyl siding for maintenance free living. There is a newer boiler and it keeps the home comfortable in the winter months. Please reach out today or schedule a showing with your Buyer's Agent. The Listing Agent owns that vacant lot to the North so both lots could be combined in the purchase. The property is a show and go so schedule through ShowingTime.

  18. 2026-01-23
    listed $99,900 Active 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    If you are looking for a large home and you have the ability to do some remodeling yourself, this is a great opportunity. Replacing the flooring, giving it a fresh coat of paint and some new fixtures and you have the start to a great home. The exterior features vinyl siding for maintenance free living. There is a newer boiler and it keeps the home comfortable in the winter months. Please reach out today or schedule a showing with your Buyer's Agent. The Listing Agent owns that vacant lot to the North so both lots could be combined in the purchase. The property is a show and go so schedule through ShowingTime.

  19. 2018-12-11
    historical 122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    Property has been a rental for years. Could be a nice single family home. Good block foundation. Put your talents to work!

  20. 2018-12-10
    historical
  21. 2018-12-10
    historical
  22. 2018-12-09
    historical
  23. 2018-10-18
    soldstatus $50,000
  24. 2018-10-15
    soldstatus $50,000
  25. 2018-06-19
    listed $59,600
  26. 2017-11-21
    listed $67,900
  27. 2016-07-15
    soldstatus $23,000 122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    Property has been a rental for years. Could be a nice single family home. Good block foundation. Put your talents to work!

  28. 2016-07-15
    soldstatus $23,000
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    Property has been a rental for years. Could be a nice single family home. Good block foundation. Put your talents to work!

  29. 2016-06-14
    listed $24,900 122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    Property has been a rental for years. Could be a nice single family home. Good block foundation. Put your talents to work!

  30. 2009-04-06
    soldstatus $18,000
  31. 2009-04-06
    soldstatus $18,000
  32. 2009-03-05
    listed $19,900
  33. 2009-03-05
    listed $19,900
  34. 2006-04-27
    soldstatus $44,211
  35. 2006-04-27
    soldstatus $44,211
  36. 2006-04-13
    historical
  37. 2005-11-30
    listed $39,900
  38. 2004-04-13
    listed $63,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$740 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$817 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$77/yr (+$6/mo · 10.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,729
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$740
− Insurance
−$1,197
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,498
− Management
−$1,498
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$6,996
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,679
After-tax cash flow
$6,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albert Lea Public School District
NCES district ID
2702970
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$42,776
Composite
29.62/100
National rank
#6472
State rank
#258 of 301 in MN

Livability — Albert Lea

Score
72/100
State rank
#274
US rank
#5963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albert Lea, MN
County
Freeborn County · 21,377 people
City population
21,377
Metro
Albert Lea, MN
Population (ZIP)
21,377
Household income
$68,846
Rent vs Own
23.3% rent · 76.7% own
Severe rent burden
483.0

Population outlook (Freeborn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,680 people
By 2030
29,038 · -2.2%
By 2040
27,650 · -6.8%
By 2050
26,387 · -11.1%
By 2075
25,224 · -15.0%
By 2100
23,842 · -19.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 23% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Freeborn

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.7% · R 60.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-38.5pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+17.4 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.40%
Current HPI
220.7963
Rent YoY
Metro
Albert Lea, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-11 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-10 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-10 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-09 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-18 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2018-06-19 Listed $59,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-11-21 Listed $67,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 2016-07-15 Sold (MLS) $23,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-14 Listed $24,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-06 Sold (MLS) $18,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-06 Sold (MLS) $18,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-05 Listed $19,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-05 Listed $19,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,211 Public Records
  • 2006-04-27 Sold (MLS) $44,211 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-13 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-11-30 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-04-13 Listed $63,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $740 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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