2610 Dunham Rd · Utica, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$284,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Enchanted Cottage! Rejoice in hardwood floors, updated kitchen w/ granite and stainless appliances. This wonderful floor plan offers an open feel but still maintains a cozy flair . Don’t miss the bonus den/office located in the center of the home . Oversized Master w/ en-suite has washer/dryer hookups to make your one level living dreams come true ! This home also features a desirable double lot in the much sought-after Ridgewood section of the city that has a double driveway too! Central air conditioning, a large private yard & newer windows throughout make this a smart buy ! Spread out to the large dry basement that offers hang out areas plus tons of storage too!
Key facts
- 6,532 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; City street frontage
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Spray foam insulation; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built as existing (year built details: existing)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Partial fence; Patio; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Den; Granite counters; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary; Primary suite; No stairs (accessible)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($414/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $236k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,356/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2251% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.52%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $289,044
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Patricia Ct | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,420 (-9%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $208 | 67 |
| 142 Farmington Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,428 (-8%) | 2mo | $295,500 | $207 | 66 |
| 2803 Ogden Pl | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,568 (+1%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $169 | 62 |
| 90 Ballantyne Brae | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,428 (-8%) | 1mo | $284,000 | $199 | 53 |
| 63 Higby Rd | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 | 1,328 (-14%) | 9mo | $201,000 | $151 | 49 |
| 58 Sunnyside Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-7%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $184 | 49 |
| 103 Harter Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,448 (-7%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $145 | 45 |
| 11 Brookline Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,653 (+6%) | 8mo | $226,600 | $137 | 42 |
| 56 Ballantyne Brae | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,736 (+12%) | 8mo | $234,500 | $135 | 40 |
| 2 Upper Woods Cir | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,776 (+14%) | 9mo | $340,000 | $191 | 36 |
| 5 Bonnie Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,359 (-12%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $210 | 34 |
| 124 Lyon Pl | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $186 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $157,311
- Equity at exit
- $256,660
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.78×
- Total profit
- $461,423
- Equity at exit
- $553,498
Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13501
- Home prices YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,356 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,494
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,566/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $115 | +0% $35 | +5% $-46 | +10% $-127 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-152 | -5% $-59 | +0% $35 | +5% $128 | +10% $221 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $178 | -0.5pp $107 | base $35 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,225
- Closing costs
- $8,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 Thieme Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 11 Sanger Ave New Hartford, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1852 | $3,750 | $2.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1804 Storrs Ave Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1633 | $3,000 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1503 Fox Pl Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-12$284,900 Active
-
2024-01-25soldstatus $789,500
-
2022-01-19soldstatus $210,000 Closed Sale or Rented 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Welcome to the Enchanted Cottage! Rejoice in hardwood floors, updated kitchen w/ granite and stainless appliances. This wonderful floor plan offers an open feel but still maintains a cozy flair . Don’t miss the bonus den/office located in the center of the home . Oversized Master w/ en-suite has washer/dryer hookups to make your one level living dreams come true ! This home also features a desirable double lot in the much sought-after Ridgewood section of the city that has a double driveway too! Central air conditioning, a large private yard & newer windows throughout make this a smart buy ! Spread out to the large dry basement that offers hang out areas plus tons of storage too!
-
2022-01-19soldstatus $210,000
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Welcome to the Enchanted Cottage! Rejoice in hardwood floors, updated kitchen w/ granite and stainless appliances. This wonderful floor plan offers an open feel but still maintains a cozy flair . Don’t miss the bonus den/office located in the center of the home . Oversized Master w/ en-suite has washer/dryer hookups to make your one level living dreams come true ! This home also features a desirable double lot in the much sought-after Ridgewood section of the city that has a double driveway too! Central air conditioning, a large private yard & newer windows throughout make this a smart buy ! Spread out to the large dry basement that offers hang out areas plus tons of storage too!
-
2021-12-15status Pending Sale 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Welcome to the Enchanted Cottage! Rejoice in hardwood floors, updated kitchen w/ granite and stainless appliances. This wonderful floor plan offers an open feel but still maintains a cozy flair . Don’t miss the bonus den/office located in the center of the home . Oversized Master w/ en-suite has washer/dryer hookups to make your one level living dreams come true ! This home also features a desirable double lot in the much sought-after Ridgewood section of the city that has a double driveway too! Central air conditioning, a large private yard & newer windows throughout make this a smart buy ! Spread out to the large dry basement that offers hang out areas plus tons of storage too!
-
2021-11-18historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Welcome to the Enchanted Cottage! Rejoice in hardwood floors, updated kitchen w/ granite and stainless appliances. This wonderful floor plan offers an open feel but still maintains a cozy flair . Don’t miss the bonus den/office located in the center of the home . Oversized Master w/ en-suite has washer/dryer hookups to make your one level living dreams come true ! This home also features a desirable double lot in the much sought-after Ridgewood section of the city that has a double driveway too! Central air conditioning, a large private yard & newer windows throughout make this a smart buy ! Spread out to the large dry basement that offers hang out areas plus tons of storage too!
-
2021-11-05$219,900 Active 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Welcome to the Enchanted Cottage! Rejoice in hardwood floors, updated kitchen w/ granite and stainless appliances. This wonderful floor plan offers an open feel but still maintains a cozy flair . Don’t miss the bonus den/office located in the center of the home . Oversized Master w/ en-suite has washer/dryer hookups to make your one level living dreams come true ! This home also features a desirable double lot in the much sought-after Ridgewood section of the city that has a double driveway too! Central air conditioning, a large private yard & newer windows throughout make this a smart buy ! Spread out to the large dry basement that offers hang out areas plus tons of storage too!
-
2005-08-15soldstatus $95,000 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
HARD TO FIND RIDGEWOOD RANCH WITH 2 FULL BATHS, INCLUDING MASTER. NEWER BATHS AND SOME NEW WINDOWS. GREAT NEIGHBORHOOD YARD. HANDICAP ACCESSIBLE. DOUBLE LOT! DON`T MISS OUT!
-
2005-06-06$102,500 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
HARD TO FIND RIDGEWOOD RANCH WITH 2 FULL BATHS, INCLUDING MASTER. NEWER BATHS AND SOME NEW WINDOWS. GREAT NEIGHBORHOOD YARD. HANDICAP ACCESSIBLE. DOUBLE LOT! DON`T MISS OUT!
-
1993-06-11soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,566 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,690 · $308/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,125/yr (+$94/mo · 43.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,959
- − Property taxes
- −$2,566
- − Insurance
- −$1,424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,262
- − Management
- −$2,262
- − Depreciation
- −$8,288
- Taxable loss
- −$4,490
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,078
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,492/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629370
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,834
- Composite
- 29.01/100
- National rank
- #6613
- State rank
- #562 of 590 in NY
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 89,710 people
- City population
- 72,968
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,931
- Household income
- $52,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.28%
- Current HPI
- 382.3726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+338.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $284,900 CNYIS
- 2024-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $789,500 Public Records
- 2022-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-19 Sold (MLS) $210,000 CNYIS
- 2021-12-15 Pending — CNYIS
- 2021-11-18 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2021-11-05 Listed $219,900 CNYIS
- 2005-08-15 Sold (MLS) $95,000 CNYIS
- 2005-06-06 Listed $102,500 CNYIS
- 1993-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,566 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…