1500 Pine Ave · Clinton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$109,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath cental heat and air, good windows, new paint, One car detatched garage. Ready to move in.
Key facts
- New vinyl plank
- Double pane windows
- Newly painted
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.0% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#196 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Clinton (town): math 21% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #149 of 270 in OK (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $110k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.40%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,425
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1105 S 13th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (+4%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $79 | 74 |
| 313 S 15th St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,261 (+3%) | 12mo | $142,000 | $113 | 66 |
| 421 S 19th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,119 (-9%) | 10mo | $124,900 | $112 | 62 |
| 717 S 7th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,206 (-2%) | 16mo | $79,900 | $66 | 52 |
| 1025 Court | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-8%) | 11mo | $55,500 | $49 | 52 |
| 1513 W Modelle Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,406 (+15%) | 23mo | $58,000 | $41 | 50 |
| 430 S 9th St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,164 (-5%) | 15mo | $132,000 | $113 | 48 |
| 1509 Concord Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+15%) | 4mo | $168,000 | $119 | 47 |
| 717 S 10th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (+10%) | 22mo | $45,000 | $33 | 44 |
| 804 Broadway Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,076 (-12%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $42 | 40 |
| 1803 Orient | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,169 (-5%) | 23mo | $31,000 | $27 | 40 |
| 421 S 23rd Pl | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,122 (-8%) | 21mo | $82,000 | $73 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,146
- Equity at exit
- $19,550
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $19,169
- Equity at exit
- $15,017
Cash invested: $30,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73601
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,142 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $773/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $278 | -5% $247 | +0% $216 | +5% $184 | +10% $153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $125 | -5% $170 | +0% $216 | +5% $261 | +10% $306 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $271 | -0.5pp $244 | base $216 | +0.5pp $187 | +1.0pp $158 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,488
- Closing costs
- $3,298
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,950 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,950 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,950 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,950 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,950 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,950 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,950 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,950 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,950 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,950 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,950 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,950 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,950 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,950 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,950 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$109,950 Active
-
2025-07-18soldstatus $58,500
-
2020-09-04historical
-
2020-08-06$58,000
-
2012-01-27soldstatus $52,000 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath cental heat and air, good windows, new paint, One car detatched garage. Ready to move in.
-
2012-01-27soldstatus $52,000
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath cental heat and air, good windows, new paint, One car detatched garage. Ready to move in.
-
2011-11-14$54,900 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath cental heat and air, good windows, new paint, One car detatched garage. Ready to move in.
-
2011-10-27soldstatus $35,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $773 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $990 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$217/yr (+$18/mo · 28.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,159
- − Property taxes
- −$773
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,097
- − Management
- −$1,097
- − Depreciation
- −$3,199
- Taxable income
- $834
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$200
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton
- NCES district ID
- 4008070
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,693
- Composite
- 18.97/100
- National rank
- #8853
- State rank
- #149 of 270 in OK
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #14999
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,489
Population outlook (Custer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,356 people
- By 2030
- 37,162 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 43,354 · +26.2%
- By 2050
- 50,458 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 71,075 · +106.9%
- By 2100
- 91,129 · +165.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 17% Native American 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 23% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Custer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.4% · R 75.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -49.3pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+49.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.36%
- Current HPI
- 244.5526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+209.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $109,950 FSBO.com
- 2025-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
- 2020-09-04 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2020-08-06 Listed $58,000 MLSOK
- 2012-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2012-01-27 Sold (MLS) $52,000 MLSOK
- 2011-11-14 Listed $54,900 MLSOK
- 2011-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $773 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…