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1500 Pine Ave
C- Composite 51.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$109,950

1500 Pine Ave · Clinton, OK 73601
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,225 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1995 Est $89k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath cental heat and air, good windows, new paint, One car detatched garage. Ready to move in.

Key facts

  • New vinyl plank
  • Double pane windows
  • Newly painted

Tags

NEW ROOFORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORINGNEW VINYL PLANKDOUBLE PANE WINDOWSNEWLY PAINTEDBRAND NEW HVAC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.0% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#196 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Clinton (town): math 21% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #149 of 270 in OK (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $110k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,300 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.65%
Cash-on-cash
8.40%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,425
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1105 S 13th St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+4%) 1mo $100,000 $79 74
313 S 15th St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,261 (+3%) 12mo $142,000 $113 66
421 S 19th St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,119 (-9%) 10mo $124,900 $112 62
717 S 7th St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,206 (-2%) 16mo $79,900 $66 52
1025 Court 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (-8%) 11mo $55,500 $49 52
1513 W Modelle Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,406 (+15%) 23mo $58,000 $41 50
430 S 9th St 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,164 (-5%) 15mo $132,000 $113 48
1509 Concord Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,408 (+15%) 4mo $168,000 $119 47
717 S 10th St 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,354 (+10%) 22mo $45,000 $33 44
804 Broadway Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,076 (-12%) 12mo $45,000 $42 40
1803 Orient 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,169 (-5%) 23mo $31,000 $27 40
421 S 23rd Pl 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,122 (-8%) 21mo $82,000 $73 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,146
Equity at exit
$19,550
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$19,169
Equity at exit
$15,017

Cash invested: $30,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73601

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,142 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $773/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $869
Max offer price $109,950
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $278 -5% $247 +0% $216 +5% $184 +10% $153
Rent -10% $125 -5% $170 +0% $216 +5% $261 +10% $306
Rate -1.0pp $271 -0.5pp $244 base $216 +0.5pp $187 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,488
Closing costs
$3,298
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,950 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,950 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,950 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,950 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,950 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,950 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,950 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,950 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,950 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,950 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,950 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,950 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,950 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,950 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,950 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $109,950 Active
  17. 2025-07-18
    soldstatus $58,500
  18. 2020-09-04
    historical
  19. 2020-08-06
    listed $58,000
  20. 2012-01-27
    soldstatus $52,000 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath cental heat and air, good windows, new paint, One car detatched garage. Ready to move in.

  21. 2012-01-27
    soldstatus $52,000
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath cental heat and air, good windows, new paint, One car detatched garage. Ready to move in.

  22. 2011-11-14
    listed $54,900 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom 1 bath cental heat and air, good windows, new paint, One car detatched garage. Ready to move in.

  23. 2011-10-27
    soldstatus $35,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$773 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$990 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$217/yr (+$18/mo · 28.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,708
− Mortgage interest
−$6,159
− Property taxes
−$773
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,097
− Management
−$1,097
− Depreciation
−$3,199
Taxable income
$834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$200
After-tax cash flow
$2,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clinton
NCES district ID
4008070
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,693
Composite
18.97/100
National rank
#8853
State rank
#149 of 270 in OK

Livability — Clinton

Score
63/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#14999

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clinton, OK
Population (ZIP)
9,489

Population outlook (Custer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,356 people
By 2030
37,162 · +8.2%
By 2040
43,354 · +26.2%
By 2050
50,458 · +46.9%
By 2075
71,075 · +106.9%
By 2100
91,129 · +165.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 17% Native American 5% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 23% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Custer

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.4% · R 75.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: -49.3pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+49.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.36%
Current HPI
244.5526
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+209.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $109,950 FSBO.com
  • 2025-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
  • 2020-09-04 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2020-08-06 Listed $58,000 MLSOK
  • 2012-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2012-01-27 Sold (MLS) $52,000 MLSOK
  • 2011-11-14 Listed $54,900 MLSOK
  • 2011-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $773 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…