900 North Point St #217 · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 79°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience the exceptional privilege of 1/10th fractional ownership at Fairmont Heritage Place Ghirardelli Square, where the comfort of home meets the luxury of urban living, San Francisco-style. Starting at your arrival, with valet service available to park your car in the owner parking garage. This stunning 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom fully furnished unit features a fully equipped kitchen, which can be stocked with your favorite items by the Owner Services team, a living roomwith fireplace, Unwind in spa-like bathroom and enjoy the convenience of an in-room washer and dryer. Enjoy weekly Wine and Cheese Hour in the Owner's Lounge, relax outdoors on numerous terraces with firepits, and get to kn
Key facts
- Outdoor terraces
- Spa-like bathroom
- Owner parking garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 44.8% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.6%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,020/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($106k/yr) (locally 5272% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 44.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 137.58%
- DSCR
- 7.12
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,169,356
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 North View Ct | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,100 (-3%) | 23mo | $488,000 | $444 | 64 |
| 1444 Vallejo St #2 | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,133 (+0%) | 14mo | $1,170,000 | $1,033 | 60 |
| 851 Lombard St #851 | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,224 (+8%) | 4mo | $763,375 | $624 | 57 |
| 424 Francisco St | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,025 (-10%) | 7mo | $965,000 | $941 | 51 |
| 3110 Buchanan St | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 | 1,066 (-6%) | 6mo | $1,980,000 | $1,857 | 50 |
| 22 Morrell St | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,068 (-6%) | 1mo | $1,425,000 | $1,334 | 46 |
| 1310-1314 Greenwich St #201 | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 963 (-15%) | 12mo | $950,000 | $987 | 44 |
| 44 Lynch St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (-8%) | 7mo | $1,408,888 | $1,350 | 42 |
| 1274 Vallejo St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,265 (+12%) | 18mo | $1,135,000 | $897 | 28 |
| 896 Green St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+11%) | 20mo | $1,575,000 | $1,250 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.02% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.51×
- Total profit
- $226,280
- Equity at exit
- $48,278
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 26.71×
- Total profit
- $611,957
- Equity at exit
- $83,413
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94109
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Rents YoY
- 15.6%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,020 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$1,440
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,264
- Net cashflow
- $2,729
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 990 Bay St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $5,995 | $5.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1305 Lombard St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $8,995 | $8.57 | 12d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1516 Lombard St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $4,500 | $5.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1140 Greenwich St Unit 301 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,500 | $3.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1472 Filbert St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $7,895 | $8.39 | 11d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1535 Chestnut St Unit 203 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $6,195 | $5.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 71 Water St Unit 401 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $6,295 | $8.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 71 Water St Unit 101 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $5,850 | $7.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 71 Water St Unit 301 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $5,950 | $7.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 650 Chestnut St #104 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $6,500 | $6.02 | 7d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 600 Chestnut St #301 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $5,600 | $5.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2233 Larkin St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $6,200 | $5.64 | 2d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1142 Green St Unit 1146 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $4,795 | $4.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 33 Vandewater St #103 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $6,900 | $7.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3322 Buchanan St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $8,395 | $6.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3322 Buchanan St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $7,995 | $7.76 | 3d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 1808 Leavenworth St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $6,475 | $5.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2550 Gough St #6 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $3,269 | $3.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2211 Stockton St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 647 | $3,500 | $5.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1750 Vallejo St Unit 402 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $7,950 | $7.95 | 16d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 770 Filbert St Unit 3 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $5,190 | $4.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1690 Broadway San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $6,995 | $9.19 | 7d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 1888 Green St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $9,875 | $6.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3575 Fillmore St Unit 206 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,995 | $5.71 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1212 Pacific Ave Unit 3 San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $5,100 | $5.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1860 Jackson St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $5,495 | $5.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 90 Alhambra St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $8,695 | $9.66 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1450 Washington St Unit 1450-07 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $6,500 | $7.95 | 10d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2007 Pacific Ave Apt 6 San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $8,000 | $7.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1369 Hyde St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1435 | $6,695 | $4.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2080 Gough St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $7,495 | $7.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1755 Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $5,095 | $5.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1755 Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $5,195 | $5.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1735 Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $12,225 | $11.49 | 7d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 2190 Washington St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $12,000 | $12.63 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2360 Greenwich St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $8,995 | $6.64 | 16d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1310 Jones St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $10,250 | $7.50 | 3d | 4 | 0.99mi |
| 150 Lombard St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $7,800 | $6.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1501-1519 Polk St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1171 | $5,295 | $4.52 | 5d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 1600 California St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1171 | $5,295 | $4.52 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,440 · $17,280/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-01-19status Pending
-
2025-11-19$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,245
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,780
- − Management
- −$5,780
- − HOA
- −$17,280
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $34,472
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,273
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,553
- Household income
- $106,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5272.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Asian 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Chinese 10% Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.02%
- Current HPI
- 175.8886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.60%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-19 Pending — BAREIS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $85,000 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…