519 Rutherford Ave NW · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.59%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,541
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
Key facts
- 3,240 sq ft lot
- Built 1915
- Listed 508 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 91 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $571 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 508 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $83k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 508 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.04%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,774
- List price
- $82,541
- Delta
- -21.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 Hanover Ave NW | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 682 (+2%) | 17mo | $104,950 | $154 | 71 |
| 812 6th St NW | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 721 (+7%) | 17mo | $68,000 | $94 | 64 |
| 1017 Mercer Ave NW | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+12%) | 16mo | $139,000 | $185 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-751
- Equity at exit
- $12,307
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $9,576
- Equity at exit
- $7,137
Cash invested: $23,111 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24016
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,030 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$433
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $684/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $281 | -5% $258 | +0% $234 | +5% $211 | +10% $187 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $153 | -5% $193 | +0% $234 | +5% $275 | +10% $316 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $255 | base $234 | +0.5pp $213 | +1.0pp $191 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,635
- Closing costs
- $2,476
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 Hanover Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $1,195 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 717 Orange Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $900 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 357 Salem Ave SW Apt 405 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $955 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 113 Norfolk Ave SW Unit 10 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 113 Norfolk Ave SW Unit 12 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 400 Salem Ave SW Unit 2A Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,400 | $1.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 110 Campbell Ave SW Ste 206 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1314 Moorman Ave NW Apt E Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $750 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 829 Salem Ave SW Unit 3 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 443 | $1,900 | $4.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 631 Campbell Ave SW Unit 111 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $1,035 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2916 Courtland Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,123 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 601 Orange Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $1,234 | $2.38 | 14d | 9 | 0.96mi |
| 217 Mountain Ave SW Unit 217-2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $945 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1630 Wayne St NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 806 Stewart Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $875 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 120 Avendale Ave NE Unit 3 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 501 Allison Ave SW Apt 07 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $895 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 420 Allison Ave SW Apt 3 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $950 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1624 Chapman Ave SW Unit A6 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $799 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 439 Cedar Bluff Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $2,350 | $3.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 601 Highland Ave SE Apt B Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $975 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 622 Allison Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $875 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2807 Oakland Blvd NW Apt 4 Roanoke, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $82,541 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,541 Active 505 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,541 Active 504 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,541 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,541 Active 502 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $82,541 Active 500 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,541 Active 499 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $82,541 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,541 Active 496 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,541 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $82,541 Active 491 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $82,541 Active 490 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,541 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,541 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,541 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $82,541 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-02-05price $82,541 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2026-01-05price $84,225 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-11-12price $85,944 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-10-08price $87,698 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-09-03price $89,488 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-08-08price $91,314 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-06-26price $93,177 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-05-18price $95,079 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-04-11price $97,020 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-03-07price $99,000 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2025-01-29$110,000 Active 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. 2 BR on Level lot, convenient to downtown
-
2015-12-10soldstatus $52,000
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2008-04-03soldstatus $62,000
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2006-09-01soldstatus $17,200
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2006-09-01soldstatus $17,200
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1982-05-21soldstatus $17,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,364
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,624
- − Property taxes
- −$684
- − Insurance
- −$1,079
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$989
- − Management
- −$989
- − Depreciation
- −$2,401
- Taxable income
- $1,598
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$383
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,521
- Household income
- $46,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 728.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.06%
- Current HPI
- 257.8158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.72%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+382.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $82,541 MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $84,225 MLSRV
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $85,944 MLSRV
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $87,698 MLSRV
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $89,488 MLSRV
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $91,314 MLSRV
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $93,177 MLSRV
- 2025-05-18 Price Changed $95,079 MLSRV
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $97,020 MLSRV
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $99,000 MLSRV
- 2025-01-29 Listed $110,000 MLSRV
- 2015-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,200 Public Records
- 2006-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,200 Public Records
- 1982-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $17,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $684 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…