326 Ginger Ln · Arlington Heights, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in a PEACEFUL setting, this 2bd Ranch offers a rare opportunity to own a home w/ INCREDIBLE potential & an UNBEATABLE backdrop. The open layout is highlighted by a SPACIOUS Living Room w/ soaring wood beam ceilings & a classic brick wood-burning fireplace, creating a warm & inviting focal point. The Living area flows seamlessly into the Kitchen w/ a breakfast bar perfect for casual dining or entertaining. One of the bedrooms features charming French doors & sliders leading out to a private deck, blending indoor & outdoor living. Set on a generously sized lot, the PROPERTY TRULY SHINES w/ its outdoor features. A circular driveway provides easy access &a
Key facts
- Private deck
- Open layout
- Wood beam ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 1.03 acres; Lot features include greenbelt, level yard, and backyard; Paved public road frontage (state road); Zoned R-1 (residential)
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking for 5 vehicles; Circular driveway; Driveway (gravel, unpaved); Off-street parking
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Well water (shared well; see remarks); Septic tank; 150 amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-family house; Faces southwest; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built as a single-story (above-grade finished area listed)
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Has view; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 4
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Beamed ceilings; High ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); Insulated windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hook-ups inside; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.4% in Arlington Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#317 in PA, #2,815 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.59%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,536
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- 4.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 326 Ginger Ln | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,088 (0%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $147 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-930
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $68,049
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18301
- Rents YoY
- 10.4%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,936 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$271 /mo · $3,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $368 | -5% $318 | +0% $269 | +5% $219 | +10% $170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $116 | -5% $192 | +0% $269 | +5% $345 | +10% $422 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $357 | -0.5pp $313 | base $269 | +0.5pp $223 | +1.0pp $177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 1178-char remark
-
2026-04-23$174,900 Active 1178-char remark
-
1986-10-21soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,247 · $271/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,247 · $271/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,232
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$3,247
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,859
- − Management
- −$1,859
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Arlington Heights
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #2815
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 59,057 people
- Metro
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,977
- Household income
- $90,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 672.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.90%
- Current HPI
- 154.4762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.44%
- Metro
- East Stroudsburg, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+201.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $160,000 PMAR
- 2026-05-07 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $174,900 PMAR
- 1986-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2026): $3,247 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…