429 Penobscot St · Rumford, ME 04276

$125,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,012 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market

Built 1910 6,098 sqft lot $62/sqft · 21% below area Est $159k · 21% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.9/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +8.1/10.0
• Schools +6.3/10.0
• 1% rule +6.2/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Fully occupied duplex in Rumford offering two 2-bedroom units with strong rental income. Currently producing a 10.5% cap rate, this turnkey property with a new roof in 2025 provides consistent cash flow and is an excellent addition to any investment portfolio.

Key facts

• 6,098 sq ft lot
• Parking
• Built 1910

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
• Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.1% in Rumford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#39 in ME, #4,030 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D, schools F, amenities F.
• RSU 10 (rural): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #107 of 112 in ME (top 96%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 329 units permitted in Oxford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Oxford County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $18k; list at $125k implies a 598% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.12% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.25%
• DSCR: 1.41
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $158,697
• List price: $125,000
• Delta: -21.23%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
615 Washington St	0.23mi	3/3.0 (+1)	2,006 (-0%)	7mo	$314,000	$157	74
645 Kennebec St	0.27mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,925 (-4%)	10mo	$252,500	$131	65
612 Franklin St	0.27mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,800 (-10%)	11mo	$226,000	$126	52
3 Androscoggin Ave	0.50mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,783 (-11%)	8mo	$186,250	$104	46
39 Washington St	0.52mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,785 (-11%)	10mo	$110,000	$62	43
29 Rumford Ave	0.55mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,825 (-9%)	20mo	$170,000	$93	37
15 Swift Ave	0.59mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,740 (-14%)	21mo	$235,000	$135	24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 31.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.44×
• Total profit: $85,257
• Equity at exit: $112,610

10-year hold

• IRR: 26.8%
• Equity multiple: 7.79×
• Total profit: $237,567
• Equity at exit: $242,848

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Maine: 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 04276

• Home prices YoY: 4.4%
• Active inventory: 83
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,398 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$127 /mo · $1,526/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$294
• Net cashflow: $270

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,057

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $340	-5% $305	+0% $270	+5% $234	+10% $199
Rent	-10% $159	-5% $214	+0% $270	+5% $325	+10% $380
Rate	-1.0pp $333	-0.5pp $301	base $270	+0.5pp $237	+1.0pp $204

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-04-14
   status Active 260-char remark

   Show marketing remark (260 chars)

   Fully occupied duplex in Rumford offering two 2-bedroom units with strong rental income. Currently producing a 10.5% cap rate, this turnkey property with a new roof in 2025 provides consistent cash flow and is an excellent addition to any investment portfolio.

2. 2026-03-06
   status Pending 260-char remark

   Show marketing remark (260 chars)

   Fully occupied duplex in Rumford offering two 2-bedroom units with strong rental income. Currently producing a 10.5% cap rate, this turnkey property with a new roof in 2025 provides consistent cash flow and is an excellent addition to any investment portfolio.

3. 2026-02-25
   listed $125,000 Active 260-char remark

   Show marketing remark (260 chars)

   Fully occupied duplex in Rumford offering two 2-bedroom units with strong rental income. Currently producing a 10.5% cap rate, this turnkey property with a new roof in 2025 provides consistent cash flow and is an excellent addition to any investment portfolio.

4. 2012-04-12
   soldstatus $17,900 182-char remark

   Show marketing remark (182 chars)

   Great opportunity to purchase this investment property at an affordable price. This property requires some work to be made livable, but the structure is solid and units are spacious.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,526 · $127/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,613 · $134/mo
• Expected delta: +$87/yr (+$7/mo · 5.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,776
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$1,526
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,342
• − Management: −$1,342
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $1,303
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$313
• After-tax cash flow: $2,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: RSU 10
• NCES district ID: 2314795
• Math proficiency: 72% ▲ 50.00%
• Reading proficiency: 79% ▲ 34.00%
• Median HH income: $37,647
• Composite: 62.72/100
• National rank: #671
• State rank: #107 of 112 in ME

Livability — Rumford

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #39
• US rank: #4030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rumford, ME
• Population (ZIP): 5,918

Population outlook (Oxford County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 55,853 people
• By 2030: 54,190 · -3.0%
• By 2040: 49,484 · -11.4%
• By 2050: 43,958 · -21.3%
• By 2075: 32,308 · -42.2%
• By 2100: 21,858 · -60.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Two or more races 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 27% Slovak 5% German 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oxford

• 2024 margin: R (+12.9) · D 42.7% · R 55.6% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.9pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -12.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+16.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 12.73%
• Current HPI: 301.2786
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+598.3% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Relisted — MREIS
• 2026-03-06 Pending — MREIS
• 2026-02-25 Listed $125,000 MREIS
• 2012-04-12 Sold (MLS) $17,900 MREIS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,526 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.