4345 Hillock Blvd · Haines City, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully built 2024 townhome located in the desirable Grove at Crosswinds community in Haines City. This two-story home offers modern living with a bright and open floor plan designed for both comfort and entertaining. The first floor features a spacious open-concept layout with a convenient half bath, seamlessly connecting the living room, dining area, and kitchen. The stylish kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops, and a large island with breakfast bar seating—perfect for casual dining or gathering with guests.
Key facts
- $161 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $219k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (11.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.5% in Haines City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#285 in FL, #4,575 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eastside Elementary School (math 33% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 615 students, 66% FRL); Shelley S. Boone Middle School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 1,403 students, 52% FRL); Haines City Senior High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #544 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,700 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1941 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 80d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.89%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,499
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- -15.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4254 Hillock Blvd | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,534 (-0%) | 0mo | $254,999 | $166 | 87 |
| 4242 Hillock Blvd | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,534 (-0%) | 0mo | $254,999 | $166 | 86 |
| 4226 Hillock Blvd | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,548 (+0%) | 1mo | $257,499 | $166 | 85 |
| 4214 Hillock Blvd | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,548 (+0%) | 2mo | $257,499 | $166 | 84 |
| 4144 Hummock Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,548 (+0%) | 0mo | $239,999 | $155 | 83 |
| 4250 Hillock Blvd | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,720 (+12%) | 0mo | $269,999 | $157 | 68 |
| 4246 Hillock Blvd | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,720 (+12%) | 0mo | $269,999 | $157 | 68 |
| 4222 Hillock Blvd | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,720 (+12%) | 1mo | $272,499 | $158 | 66 |
| 4184 Hummock Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,720 (+12%) | 1mo | $259,499 | $151 | 64 |
| 4160 Hummock Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,720 (+12%) | 1mo | $259,499 | $151 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-48,642
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -26.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.13×
- Total profit
- $-69,298
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 26 active · 33 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.1 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $250,665 ($169/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 35 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -0.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33844
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1941
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,218 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$499 /mo · $5,989/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$161
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$466
- Net cashflow
- $-147
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-23 | -5% $-85 | +0% $-147 | +5% $-209 | +10% $-271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-323 | -5% $-235 | +0% $-147 | +5% $-60 | +10% $28 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-37 | -0.5pp $-92 | base $-147 | +0.5pp $-204 | +1.0pp $-262 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3840 King Hill Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1542 | $1,950 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3754 King Hill Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1720 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 119d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4226 Hillock Blvd Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $1,950 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4156 Hummock Pl Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $1,850 | $1.20 | 119d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4746 Katrina Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $2,095 | $1.15 | 119d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4770 Katrina Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 119d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4317 Riverbend Blvd Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 7d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4813 Katrina Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 119d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5157 Green Belt Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2109 | $2,900 | $1.38 | 99d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5153 Green Belt Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 110d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5177 Green Belt Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2109 | $2,448 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5177 Green Belt Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2109 | $2,920 | $1.38 | 98d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5193 Green Belt Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,099 | $1.15 | 119d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5157 Green Belt Dr Unit A Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $1,990 | $0.94 | 65d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5514 Clove Row Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 65d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 313 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1655 | $2,081 | $1.26 | 80d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4107 Longleaf St Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2136 | $2,000 | $0.94 | 0d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3841 Amers Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1733 | $2,150 | $1.24 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5009 Katrina Dr Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $2,100 | $1.14 | 9d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 914 Princess Sabal Pt Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $1,775 | $1.06 | 73d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3874 Amers Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $2,130 | $1.14 | 73d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 333 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1909 | $1,985 | $1.04 | 107d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4045 Old Mill Rd Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 9d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3898 Amers Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 119d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3910 Amers Loop Haines City, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2112 | $2,600 | $1.23 | 119d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2526 Aveeno Ave Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 9d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 339 Towns Cir Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,795 | $1.40 | 73d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 932 Blue Creek Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $2,050 | $1.20 | 73d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 932 Blue Creek Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $2,050 | $1.20 | 9d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 117 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2099 | $2,080 | $0.99 | 93d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 120 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1909 | $1,970 | $1.03 | 80d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 351 Towns Cir Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 9d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1445 Sea Glass Rd Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,100 | $1.71 | 85d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 202 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $1,905 | $0.96 | 107d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1433 Princess Tree Ct Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 119d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1433 Princess Tree Ct Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $2,050 | $1.10 | 73d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1433 Princess Tree Ct Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 9d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 167 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $1,920 | $0.97 | 80d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 148 Summerlin Loop Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1579 | $1,850 | $1.17 | 110d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 194 Hidden Lake Loop Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $1,810 | $1.09 | 9d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Living area approximately 1,542 (public records)Building area listed as 2,033Lot approximately 0.04 acresLocated in a community with CDD
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment appliesLease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association managed by Governmental Management ServicesHOA required; monthly dues approximately $161 ($483 quarterly)HOA covers pool and trashCommunity amenities include pool, playground, fitness center and dog parkPets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedCable connected
- Home design
- Residential townhouseTwo storiesEast-facing
- Construction
- Block, concrete and stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt as part of a multi-building development
- Exterior features
- SidewalkPaved road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherRangeMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansOpen floorplanKitchen/family room comboLiving room/dining room comboThermostat
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerInside laundry in a laundry closet
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $219,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $219,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $219,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $219,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $219,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $219,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $219,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $219,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $219,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $219,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $219,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $219,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $219,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $219,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $219,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $219,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $219,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $219,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $219,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $219,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $219,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $219,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $219,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $219,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $219,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $219,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $219,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-20pricedays on market $219,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $224,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $224,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $224,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $224,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $224,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $224,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $224,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $224,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $224,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $224,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $224,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $224,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $224,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $224,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $224,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $224,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $224,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $224,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $224,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $224,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $224,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $224,000 Active 115 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,989 · $499/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,989 · $499/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,618
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$5,989
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,129
- − Management
- −$2,129
- − HOA
- −$1,932
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$5,296
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,271
- After-tax cash flow
- $-499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2024 townhome in the Grove at Crosswinds community is in good condition with modern amenities and a bright, open floor plan. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value-add improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Resale Kitchen appliances replacement — Modern appliances can appeal to a broader range of buyers. ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures replacement — Upgraded fixtures can enhance the bathroom's appeal and functionality. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — Durable flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract tenants and reduce maintenance costs. ↑
- Rental Landscaping maintenance — Well-maintained landscaping can attract tenants and improve the home's curb appeal. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Haines City
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #4575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Haines City, FL
- County
- Polk County · 752,975 people
- City population
- 51,255
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,255
- Household income
- $63,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 31% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 39% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.94%
- Current HPI
- 291.0798
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-10.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-29 Price Changed $224,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $1,795 STELLARMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $1,795 STELLARMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $1,900 STELLARMLS
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Listed for Rent $2,000 STELLARMLS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-21 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…