1717 Greenup St · Covington, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a complete rehab. House has been vacant for at least 2 years. The house is brick. The front porch has fallen off. Roof is in need of replaced, windows are gone. Sold as is!
Key facts
- Modern redesign
- Flexible layout
- Historic character
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: No water source listed; No sewer listed; No utilities listed
- Home design: Two levels; Property listed as duplex/house and single-family residence; Residential structure
- Construction: Built in 1909; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Has a view; Lot recorded as approximately 0.1 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Main kitchen (full rehab noted); Second-floor kitchen previously in place
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (full rehab noted); Bedroom 2 (full rehab noted); Bedroom 3 — full third floor/attic converted to a room (full rehab noted); Bedroom 4 (full rehab noted)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Second-floor half bathroom noted separately
- Interior features: Full stone basement; Pantry; Closet; Attic/bonus room previously used as bedrooms; Second-floor half bath
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.0% vs local median 5.3% in Covington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#40 in KY, #376 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Covington Independent (suburban): math 10% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #162 of 165 in KY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sixth District Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #630 of 676 statewide, top 95%, 446 students, 84% FRL); Holmes Middle School (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #211 of 217 statewide, top 97%, 656 students, 84% FRL); Holmes High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 254 statewide, top 89%, 878 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $481 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $70k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 84.73%
- DSCR
- 4.77
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $403,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1613 Greenup St | 0.09mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,280 (-3%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $154 | 78 |
| 2110 Eastern Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,325 (-2%) | 3mo | $450,000 | $194 | 70 |
| 1549 Nancy St | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,320 (-2%) | 12mo | $253,000 | $109 | 69 |
| 1527 Holman St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 2,430 (+3%) | 7mo | $315,000 | $130 | 66 |
| 1919 Greenup St | 0.18mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,288 (-3%) | 12mo | $391,500 | $171 | 66 |
| 1125 Banklick St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 2,242 (-5%) | 0mo | $500,000 | $223 | 59 |
| 1118 Holman Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 2,302 (-2%) | 2mo | $560,000 | $243 | 58 |
| 13 E 24th St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 2,110 (-11%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $128 | 51 |
| 311 W 20th St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 2,090 (-11%) | 12mo | $30,000 | $14 | 48 |
| 1510 Greenup St | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 2,711 (+15%) | 11mo | $310,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 651 Pointe Benton Ln | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 2,560 (+8%) | 3mo | $500,499 | $196 | 45 |
| 630 Pointe Benton Ln | 0.69mi | 3/4.0 | 2,448 (+4%) | 13mo | $499,900 | $204 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 83.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.75×
- Total profit
- $72,948
- Equity at exit
- $10,363
- IRR
- 86.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.38×
- Total profit
- $163,051
- Equity at exit
- $6,009
Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41011
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,305 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$364
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $641/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $1,374
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,413 | -5% $1,394 | +0% $1,374 | +5% $1,354 | +10% $1,335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,192 | -5% $1,283 | +0% $1,374 | +5% $1,465 | +10% $1,556 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,409 | -0.5pp $1,392 | base $1,374 | +0.5pp $1,356 | +1.0pp $1,338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,375
- Closing costs
- $2,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1927 Scott St Apt 1 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2030 Mackoy St Covington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1598 | $1,779 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1205 Lee St Unit 3 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 140 W 13th St Newport, KY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2505 | $4,200 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1170 Grays Peak Covington, KY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2808 | $3,950 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1420 | $2,365 | $1.67 | 3d | 14 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-04price $69,500
-
2026-03-29$85,000 Active
-
2024-05-14soldstatus $43,664 Sold 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
This is a complete rehab. House has been vacant for at least 2 years. The house is brick. The front porch has fallen off. Roof is in need of replaced, windows are gone. Sold as is!
-
2024-03-29status Pending 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
This is a complete rehab. House has been vacant for at least 2 years. The house is brick. The front porch has fallen off. Roof is in need of replaced, windows are gone. Sold as is!
-
2024-01-19$45,000 Active 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
This is a complete rehab. House has been vacant for at least 2 years. The house is brick. The front porch has fallen off. Roof is in need of replaced, windows are gone. Sold as is!
-
1993-07-06soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $641 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $641 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,659
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,893
- − Property taxes
- −$641
- − Insurance
- −$348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,213
- − Management
- −$2,213
- − Depreciation
- −$2,022
- Taxable income
- $16,330
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,919
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,569/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covington Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101350
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,681
- Composite
- 15.04/100
- National rank
- #9353
- State rank
- #162 of 165 in KY
Livability — Covington
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covington, KY
- County
- Kenton County · 142,881 people
- City population
- 34,373
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,981
- Household income
- $69,970
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1488.0
Population outlook (Kenton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,205 people
- By 2030
- 177,897 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 182,671 · +4.9%
- By 2050
- 183,543 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 178,977 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 159,920 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.7) · D 38.2% · R 59.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -21.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.7 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -215.20%
- Current HPI
- 237.0869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+65.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $69,500 NKMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $85,000 NKMLS
- 2024-05-14 Sold (MLS) $43,664 NKMLS
- 2024-03-29 Pending — NKMLS
- 2024-01-19 Listed $45,000 NKMLS
- 1993-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $641 · -63.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…