🏷️ Likely Rental
3003 N 44th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Huge 3BR single family with 2 car garage. Long term tenant is occupying the building. Newer roof. Huge place for the money with plenty of upside.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $130k implies a 465% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.40%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,952
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -22.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2631 N 40th St | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,532 (-2%) | 0mo | $156,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 2535 N 48th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,546 (-1%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $103 | 64 |
| 2702 N 38th St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (-2%) | 0mo | $162,000 | $105 | 62 |
| 2909 N 55th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+2%) | 0mo | $214,000 | $135 | 61 |
| 3155 N 38th St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (+4%) | 2mo | $202,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 3314 N 52nd St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,453 (-7%) | 4mo | $250,500 | $172 | 54 |
| 2660 N 50th St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (-12%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $94 | 54 |
| 3021 N 36th St | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,700 (+9%) | 6mo | $120,500 | $71 | 51 |
| 2915 N 38th St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,767 (+13%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $91 | 48 |
| 2822 N 56th St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,679 (+8%) | 4mo | $204,900 | $122 | 48 |
| 3061 N 52nd St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,712 (+10%) | 4mo | $96,000 | $56 | 48 |
| 3615 W Center St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (-7%) | 3mo | $81,000 | $56 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-9,497
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $9,834
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53210
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,330 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,817/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $164
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3123 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3122 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,495 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2842 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2976 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 17d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3066 N 49th St Unit 3066-5 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2841 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1237 | $1,098 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2713 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3155 N 52nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2613 N 48th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2629 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2947 N 54th St #2945 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $1,050 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2629 N 50th St Unit Upper Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,375 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2502 N 45th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1949 | $1,050 | $0.54 | 16d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3606 N 41st St Unit 3608 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3124 N 33rd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3012 N 57th St Unit Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,398 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2409 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,248 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2438 N 51st St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2403-2405 N 39th St Unit 2405 Upper Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1141 | $995 | $0.87 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2403-2405 N 39th St Unit 2403 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 11d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3100 W Center St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,531 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3629 N 53rd St Unit (Downstairs) Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,275 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2931 W Chambers St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2251 N 41st St Unit Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1187 | $1,198 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6319 W Girard Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2661 N 62nd St #2663 Wauwatosa, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2809 W Clarke St Unit 12811 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3957-3959 N 53rd St Unit 3957 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1910 | $1,050 | $0.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2201 N 32nd St Unit 2201 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2001 N 38th St #2003 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1326 | $950 | $0.72 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4139 N 50th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2240 N 62nd St Unit 2240_Upper Wauwatosa, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1750 N 53rd St Unit 1750 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $129,900 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Huge 3BR single family with 2 car garage. Long term tenant is occupying the building. Newer roof. Huge place for the money with plenty of upside.
-
2026-03-23price $139,900 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Huge 3BR single family with 2 car garage. Long term tenant is occupying the building. Newer roof. Huge place for the money with plenty of upside.
-
2026-02-02$149,900 Active 145-char remark
Show marketing remark (145 chars)
Huge 3BR single family with 2 car garage. Long term tenant is occupying the building. Newer roof. Huge place for the money with plenty of upside.
-
2013-01-23$23,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Foreclosed property being sold as-is, no condition report provided. All offers must have PRE-APPROVAL or PROOF of FUNDS with submittal for consideration. All offers with financing must have a prequalification letter.
-
2013-01-23historical 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Foreclosed property being sold as-is, no condition report provided. All offers must have PRE-APPROVAL or PROOF of FUNDS with submittal for consideration. All offers with financing must have a prequalification letter.
-
2009-09-03soldstatus $23,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Foreclosed property being sold as-is, no condition report provided. All offers must have PRE-APPROVAL or PROOF of FUNDS with submittal for consideration. All offers with financing must have a prequalification letter.
-
1997-11-25soldstatus $59,000
-
1997-10-01soldstatus $59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,817 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,110 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$293/yr (+$24/mo · 16.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,957
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,817
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,277
- − Management
- −$1,277
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$117
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,922
- Household income
- $48,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1730.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.77%
- Current HPI
- 280.0133
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.82%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+120.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $129,900 METROMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $139,900 METROMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $149,900 METROMLS
- 2013-01-23 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-01-23 Listed $23,000 METROMLS
- 2009-09-03 Sold (MLS) $23,000 METROMLS
- 1997-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,817 · +29.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…