312 Riverside Ave · Charlottesville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTORS! Looking for your summer project? Look no further. This 3 bed 2 bath duplex/townhome is in need of love and priced to sell! Potential to expand further in the basement, with space for bedrooms and a bathroom. This would make for a great long term rental or renovate it and resell it for a nice profit. Schedule your private tour today while this opportunity is still available! Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Built 1993
- Listed 9 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.9% in Charlottesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#27 in VA, #707 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime D-.
- Charlottesville Cty Public School District (urban): math 42% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #97 of 131 in VA (top 74%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Burnley-Moran Elementary (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #597 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 289 students, 60% FRL); Walker Upper Elementary (math 31% / reading 53%, grade D-, #295 of 342 statewide, top 87%, 616 students, 72% FRL); Charlottesville High (math 53% / reading 84%, grade B, #178 of 319 statewide, top 56%, 1,359 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 50% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 34 units permitted in Charlottesville city in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlottesville County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $200k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.76%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $314,950
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -36.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360 Riverside Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,782 (+0%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $185 | 90 |
| 314 Riverside Ave | 0.01mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+1%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $175 | 86 |
| 340 Riverside Ave | 0.08mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-5%) | 5mo | $314,900 | $187 | 74 |
| 210 10th St NE #103 | 1.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,780 (+0%) | 1mo | $800,818 | $450 | 58 |
| 457 Rolkin Rd | 0.92mi | 3/2.5 | 1,720 (-3%) | 5mo | $434,900 | $253 | 54 |
| 2176 Whispering Hollow Ln | 0.96mi | 3/2.5 | 1,850 (+4%) | 4mo | $420,000 | $227 | 53 |
| 2287 Whittington Dr | 1.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,836 (+3%) | 7mo | $436,000 | $237 | 51 |
| 343 Rolkin Rd | 0.83mi | 3/2.5 | 1,662 (-6%) | 2mo | $370,500 | $223 | 50 |
| 1569 Newcastle Ct | 1.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,956 (+10%) | 0mo | $432,000 | $221 | 46 |
| 119 Danbury Ct | 1.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,625 (-8%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $169 | 44 |
| 2527 Avemore Pond Rd | 0.95mi | 3/3.0 | 2,036 (+15%) | 1mo | $458,000 | $225 | 36 |
| 152 Junction Ln | 0.86mi | 3/3.5 | 1,487 (-16%) | 4mo | $475,000 | $319 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $13,059
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $66,090
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.3 mo (31%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $419,945 ($209/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 24 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -15.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 22902
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 336
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,668 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$240 /mo · $2,884/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$560
- Net cashflow
- $736
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $849 | -5% $792 | +0% $736 | +5% $679 | +10% $622 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $525 | -5% $630 | +0% $736 | +5% $841 | +10% $946 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $836 | -0.5pp $786 | base $736 | +0.5pp $684 | +1.0pp $631 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426 Riverside Ave Charlottesville, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,600 | $1.53 | 70d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 825 Beverley Dr Charlottesville, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1290 | $2,850 | $2.21 | 62d | 11 | 0.46mi |
| 310 Fisher St Charlottesville, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1083 | $2,849 | $2.63 | 62d | 14 | 0.54mi |
| 1540 Avemore Ln Charlottesville, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1095 | $2,486 | $2.27 | 62d | 20 | 0.95mi |
| 2436 Winthrop Dr Charlottesville, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,895 | $1.70 | 62d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable available
- Home design
- Two-storyAbove-grade finished area approximately 1,080 (public records)Below-grade finished area approximately 696 (public records)Below-grade unfinished area approximately 24 (public records)
- Construction
- Stick-built constructionBlock foundationBuilt as a duplex (structure type)
- Exterior features
- DuplexAttached property with one common wallLot about 0.08 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pump heatingHeat pump cooling
- Interior features
- Partially finished basement
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-30days on market $200,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $200,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 399-char remark
-
2026-06-14$200,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,884 · $240/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,884 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,884
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,562
- − Management
- −$2,562
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $5,992
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,438
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This townhouse requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting the exterior and trimming the landscaping. It has potential for rental or resale value with these updates.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,000–$8,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
- Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the exterior.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Siding — Weathered and needs repainting
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlottesville Cty Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100780
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,211
- Composite
- 43.68/100
- National rank
- #2957
- State rank
- #97 of 131 in VA
Livability — Charlottesville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #707
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charlottesville, VA
- County
- Albemarle County · 53,816 people
- City population
- 120,202
- Metro
- Charlottesville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,486
- Household income
- $93,463
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Charlottesville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,816 people
- By 2030
- 57,857 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 63,933 · +18.8%
- By 2050
- 69,676 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 77,018 · +43.1%
- By 2100
- 82,078 · +52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlottesville
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+68.7) · D 83.4% · R 14.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.7pp toward D · 2008: 58.0pp · 2024: 68.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+68.7 2020: D+72.7 2016: D+67.1 2012: D+53.4 2008: D+58.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -372.57%
- Current HPI
- 295.9918
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.47%
- Metro
- Charlottesville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+185.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-26 Relisted — HRAR
- 2026-06-13 Listed $200,000 HRAR
- 1997-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,884 · +109.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…