139 Eley St · Kingston, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated seller. Looking for a home in a quiet neighborhood but still convenient to everything? Scroll no further. Stylish 4Br 1.5 bath w/ bonus rm, large closets and high ceilings nestled on a calm Kingston St. Maple cabinetry, corian and stainless appliances highlight this eat in kitchen. Ready for you to move in and relax on the front or back deck!
Key facts
- Gas heat
- Exposed wood floors
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.0% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#162 in PA, #1,345 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.58%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,135
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Yeager Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,871 (+3%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $203 | 75 |
| 807 Woodland Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-7%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $176 | 73 |
| 136 Walnut St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 | 1,886 (+4%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $164 | 65 |
| 456 Walnut St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,750 (-4%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $129 | 63 |
| 164 Welles St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,772 (-2%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $124 | 60 |
| 30 Center St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,909 (+5%) | 4mo | $249,350 | $131 | 60 |
| 153 John St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,590 (-12%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $72 | 58 |
| 59 Division St | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 | 1,904 (+5%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $66 | 54 |
| 161 Oliver St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,944 (+7%) | 0mo | $221,495 | $114 | 52 |
| 13 Cooper St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,724 (-5%) | 2mo | $102,500 | $59 | 51 |
| 36 Snowden St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,552 (-14%) | 2mo | $207,900 | $134 | 49 |
| 155 Dorrance St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,568 (-14%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $77 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,131
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $31,101
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18704
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,746 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$203 /mo · $2,436/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Snowden St Forty Fort, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 147 W Dorrance St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 143 W Dorrance St Kingston, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 98 E Walnut St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11 Holiday Dr Kingston, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1083 | $2,639 | $2.44 | 13d | 14 | 0.79mi |
| 54 Butler St Kingston, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2174 | $2,000 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 321 Shoemaker St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1598 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 365 N Maple Ave Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 255 Zerby Ave Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2380 | $1,350 | $0.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 27 Penn St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1225 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 41 Pulaski St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1292 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 36 Pulaski St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 41 Main St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 9-10 Meyers Ct Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 123 W Carey St Wilkes Barre, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 56 E Grove St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2296 | $1,250 | $0.54 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 20 N Loveland Ave Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,775 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2024-09-21status Pending
-
2024-07-25$149,000 Active
-
2019-08-09soldstatus $138,000
-
2019-07-30soldstatus $138,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Motivated seller. Looking for a home in a quiet neighborhood but still convenient to everything? Scroll no further. Stylish 4Br 1.5 bath w/ bonus rm, large closets and high ceilings nestled on a calm Kingston St. Maple cabinetry, corian and stainless appliances highlight this eat in kitchen. Ready for you to move in and relax on the front or back deck!
-
2019-03-25$134,900 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Motivated seller. Looking for a home in a quiet neighborhood but still convenient to everything? Scroll no further. Stylish 4Br 1.5 bath w/ bonus rm, large closets and high ceilings nestled on a calm Kingston St. Maple cabinetry, corian and stainless appliances highlight this eat in kitchen. Ready for you to move in and relax on the front or back deck!
-
2010-02-24soldstatus $123,000
-
2009-06-01soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,436 · $203/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,436 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,957
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$2,436
- − Insurance
- −$1,542
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,677
- − Management
- −$1,677
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $944
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$227
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,974/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Valley West SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225950
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 25.38/100
- National rank
- #7470
- State rank
- #445 of 539 in PA
Livability — Kingston
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #162
- US rank
- #1345
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingston, PA
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- City population
- 31,149
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,149
- Household income
- $64,444
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1454.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.72%
- Current HPI
- 255.5375
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+210.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2024-09-21 Pending — LCAR
- 2024-07-25 Listed $149,000 LCAR
- 2019-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 2019-07-30 Sold (MLS) $138,000 LCAR
- 2019-03-25 Listed $134,900 LCAR
- 2010-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,436 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…