5001 W Florida #208 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 5001 W Florida Ave #208, nestled in the beautiful 55+ resort-style community of The Lakes at Hemet West. This charming 2-bed, 2-bath home offers 1,440 sq ft of open living space with beamed ceilings, tile flooring, and a bright kitchen with all appliances included. Enjoy the spacious primary suite with dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower, plus a private deck overlooking a serene lake. Encompassed by 150 acres of natural beauty, The Lakes at Hemet West offers unmatched amenities—featuring a 9-hole golf course, heated pool and spa, clubhouse with fitness center, library, and game rooms, plus pickleball, bocce, and walking trails. Don't miss this amazing opportunity to experience peaceful, active living at its best in this vibrant gated community!
Key facts
- Library
- 9-hole golf course
- Heated pool and spa
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $129k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.49%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,468
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- 83.06%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5001 W Florida #171 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $67,000 | $47 | 99 |
| 5001 FLORIDA #311 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $73,990 | $51 | 99 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #305 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $91,000 | $63 | 98 |
| 5001 W Florida #661 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 3mo | $97,000 | $67 | 98 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #482 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $38 | 97 |
| 5001 W Florida #524 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (+3%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $42 | 92 |
| 5001 W Florida #618 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $52 | 86 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave W #728 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 4mo | $56,000 | $42 | 86 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #135 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,504 (+4%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $37 | 83 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #139 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,560 (+8%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $67 | 82 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #122 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (-10%) | 0mo | $52,500 | $41 | 78 |
| 5001 W Florida #695 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $36 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $27,615
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $91,058
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92545
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,061 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $737
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,699 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $2,055 | $2.52 | 1d | 8 | 1.07mi |
| 3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,895 | $2.12 | 1d | 10 | 1.25mi |
| 2971 Pembroke Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $3,000 | $1.91 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,895 | $2.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $129,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 5001 W Florida Ave #208, nestled in the beautiful 55+ resort-style community of The Lakes at Hemet West. This charming 2-bed, 2-bath home offers 1,440 sq ft of open living space with beamed ceilings, tile flooring, and a bright kitchen with all appliances included. Enjoy the spacious primary suite with dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower, plus a private deck overlooking a serene lake. Encompassed by 150 acres of natural beauty, The Lakes at Hemet West offers unmatched amenities—featuring a 9-hole golf course, heated pool and spa, clubhouse with fitness center, library, and game rooms, plus pickleball, bocce, and walking trails. Don't miss this amazing opportunity to experience peaceful, active living at its best in this vibrant gated community!
-
2025-12-02price $139,000 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 5001 W Florida Ave #208, nestled in the beautiful 55+ resort-style community of The Lakes at Hemet West. This charming 2-bed, 2-bath home offers 1,440 sq ft of open living space with beamed ceilings, tile flooring, and a bright kitchen with all appliances included. Enjoy the spacious primary suite with dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower, plus a private deck overlooking a serene lake. Encompassed by 150 acres of natural beauty, The Lakes at Hemet West offers unmatched amenities—featuring a 9-hole golf course, heated pool and spa, clubhouse with fitness center, library, and game rooms, plus pickleball, bocce, and walking trails. Don't miss this amazing opportunity to experience peaceful, active living at its best in this vibrant gated community!
-
2025-11-08$149,000 Active 786-char remark
Show marketing remark (786 chars)
Welcome to 5001 W Florida Ave #208, nestled in the beautiful 55+ resort-style community of The Lakes at Hemet West. This charming 2-bed, 2-bath home offers 1,440 sq ft of open living space with beamed ceilings, tile flooring, and a bright kitchen with all appliances included. Enjoy the spacious primary suite with dual vanities, a soaking tub, and a walk-in shower, plus a private deck overlooking a serene lake. Encompassed by 150 acres of natural beauty, The Lakes at Hemet West offers unmatched amenities—featuring a 9-hole golf course, heated pool and spa, clubhouse with fitness center, library, and game rooms, plus pickleball, bocce, and walking trails. Don't miss this amazing opportunity to experience peaceful, active living at its best in this vibrant gated community!
-
2024-11-09historical
-
2024-04-30$149,000 Active
-
2024-04-29historical
-
2024-02-09status Active
-
2023-12-28price $149,000
-
2023-08-15price $154,000
-
2023-05-13status Active
-
2023-05-10$159,000 Active
-
2023-05-10historical
-
2021-06-25soldstatus $48,000 Closed Sale
-
2021-05-29historical Active Under Contract
-
2021-04-30price $53,000
-
2021-02-26$59,000 Active
-
2020-09-25historical
-
2020-09-18status Active
-
2020-08-24price $51,000
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2020-08-10price $53,000
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2020-07-28price $50,999
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2020-07-15price $51,499
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2020-07-02price $51,999
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2020-06-25price $52,500
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2020-02-25$53,000 Active
-
2019-12-31historical
-
2019-09-27$40,900 Active
-
2018-09-24historical
-
2018-09-15status Active
-
2018-09-14historical Hold Do Not Show
-
2018-09-10status Active
-
2018-09-09historical Hold Do Not Show
-
2018-08-09price $38,000
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2018-07-31price $41,999
-
2018-07-18$42,000 Active
-
2018-07-17historical
-
2018-07-12price $29,900
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2018-06-29price $35,000
-
2018-04-27$73,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥105°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,979
- − Management
- −$1,979
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $7,220
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,733
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,982
- Household income
- $63,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.25%
- Current HPI
- 356.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+426.5% since first listed43 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $129,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $139,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-08 Listed $149,000 CRMLS
- 2024-11-09 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-04-30 Listed $149,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-29 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-02-09 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-12-28 Price Changed $149,000 CRMLS
- 2023-08-15 Price Changed $154,000 CRMLS
- 2023-05-13 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-05-10 Listed $159,000 CRMLS
- 2023-05-10 Coming Soon — CRMLS
- 2021-06-25 Sold (MLS) $48,000 CRMLS
- 2021-05-29 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2021-04-30 Price Changed $53,000 CRMLS
- 2021-02-26 Listed $59,000 CRMLS
- 2020-09-25 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2020-09-18 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2020-08-24 Price Changed $51,000 CRMLS
- 2020-08-10 Price Changed $53,000 CRMLS
- 2020-07-28 Price Changed $50,999 CRMLS
- 2020-07-15 Price Changed $51,499 CRMLS
- 2020-07-02 Price Changed $51,999 CRMLS
- 2020-06-25 Price Changed $52,500 CRMLS
- 2020-02-25 Listed $53,000 CRMLS
- 2019-12-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-09-27 Listed $40,900 CRMLS
- 2018-09-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2018-09-15 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2018-09-14 Delisted — CRMLS
- 2018-09-10 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2018-09-09 Delisted — CRMLS
- 2018-08-09 Price Changed $38,000 CRMLS
- 2018-07-31 Price Changed $41,999 CRMLS
- 2018-07-18 Listed $42,000 CRMLS
- 2018-07-17 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2018-07-12 Price Changed $29,900 CRMLS
- 2018-06-29 Price Changed $35,000 CRMLS
- 2018-04-27 Listed $73,500 CRMLS
- 2014-11-12 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2014-09-13 Listed $24,365 CRMLS
- 2014-07-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2014-06-19 Listed $24,500 CRMLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $105 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…