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645 Virginia Ave
B- Composite 69.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

645 Virginia Ave · Rochester, PA 15074
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1914 4,356 sqft lot $44/sqft · 65% below area ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!

Key facts

  • 1st floor windows
  • Views over town
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

ELECTRIC PLUMBING HVAC1ST FLOOR WINDOWSVIEWS OVER TOWNSPACE OUTSIDE TO GARDEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story frame residence; Asphalt roof; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: 50 x 92 lot dimensions

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Wall/window cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Unfinished interior-entry basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#220 in PA, #1,937 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
  • Rochester Area SD (rural): math 28% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #375 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $69k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.10%
Cap rate
16.78%
Cash-on-cash
37.45%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,300
List price
$69,000
Delta
-65.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
606 Wack Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,604 (+1%) 6mo $235,000 $147 72
450 Clay St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (+1%) 7mo $160,000 $100 56
477 Connecticut Ave 0.66mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,595 (+1%) 4mo $224,000 $140 54
431 New York Ave 0.66mi 4/1.5 1,648 (+4%) 9mo $97,000 $59 53
312 Craig St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,607 (+2%) 9mo $240,000 $149 49
456 Park St 0.43mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,408 (-11%) 9mo $115,000 $82 47
476 Mecklem Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,478 (-7%) 4mo $120,000 $81 47
236 Greenwood Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,484 (-6%) 8mo $300,000 $202 44
480 Heller St 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,662 (+5%) 11mo $199,000 $120 43
726 Spruce St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,476 (-7%) 13mo $272,000 $184 37
194 Clay St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,352 (-15%) 0mo $143,000 $106 34
479 Connecticut 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (+14%) 16mo $180,000 $100 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$27,281
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
4.80×
Total profit
$73,453
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15074

Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,819/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$603

Break-even live

Break-even rent $686
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $642 -5% $622 +0% $603 +5% $583 +10% $564
Rent -10% $488 -5% $546 +0% $603 +5% $660 +10% $717
Rate -1.0pp $638 -0.5pp $620 base $603 +0.5pp $585 +1.0pp $567

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
743 Wolf Ave Rochester, PA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,375 $0.92 44d 1 0.27mi
169 Route 68 Rochester, PA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 24d 1 0.29mi
467 Reno St Rochester, PA 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,200 $1.10 2d 1 0.72mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,000 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    price $69,000 333-char remark
  15. 2026-04-23
    listed $77,000 Active 333-char remark
  16. 2025-03-26
    soldstatus $30,000
  17. 2025-03-06
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!

  18. 2024-12-11
    status Pending 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!

  19. 2024-11-16
    price $38,400 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!

  20. 2024-11-06
    listed $39,900 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!

  21. 2014-12-23
    soldstatus $40,000
  22. 2014-12-13
    price $40,000
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Large 3 bedroom home with tall ceilings, fresh paint, and a pool on a double lot! Updated furnace and 200 amp electrical service. All appliances including washer & dryer STAY for the next owner!

  23. 2014-12-12
    price $46,500
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Large 3 bedroom home with tall ceilings, fresh paint, and a pool on a double lot! Updated furnace and 200 amp electrical service. All appliances including washer & dryer STAY for the next owner!

  24. 2014-12-12
    soldstatus $40,000
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Large 3 bedroom home with tall ceilings, fresh paint, and a pool on a double lot! Updated furnace and 200 amp electrical service. All appliances including washer & dryer STAY for the next owner!

  25. 2014-09-26
    listed $46,500
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Large 3 bedroom home with tall ceilings, fresh paint, and a pool on a double lot! Updated furnace and 200 amp electrical service. All appliances including washer & dryer STAY for the next owner!

  26. 2007-02-22
    soldstatus $16,000
  27. 2007-02-19
    soldstatus $16,000
  28. 2005-05-12
    soldstatus $1,394
  29. 2002-07-29
    soldstatus $73,900
  30. 2002-07-29
    soldstatus $73,900
  31. 2002-02-01
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,819 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,819 · $152/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,394
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,819
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,392
− Management
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$6,574
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,578
After-tax cash flow
$5,657/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester Area SD
NCES district ID
4220460
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,841
Composite
32.7/100
National rank
#5644
State rank
#375 of 539 in PA

Livability — Rochester

Score
80/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#1937

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,543

Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,976 people
By 2030
161,449 · -2.1%
By 2040
151,752 · -8.0%
By 2050
141,155 · -14.4%
By 2075
118,142 · -28.4%
By 2100
91,740 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaver

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.06%
Current HPI
166.4711
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.9% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $69,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $77,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2025-03-06 Sold (MLS) $30,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-12-11 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2024-11-16 Price Changed $38,400 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-11-06 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2014-12-13 Price Changed $40,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-12-12 Sold (MLS) $40,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-12-12 Price Changed $46,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-09-26 Listed $46,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2007-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-19 Sold (MLS) $16,000 AVBREALTORS
  • 2005-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $1,394 Public Records
  • 2002-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $73,900 Public Records
  • 2002-07-29 Sold (MLS) $73,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2002-02-01 Listed $74,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,819 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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