645 Virginia Ave · Rochester, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!
Key facts
- 1st floor windows
- Views over town
- 4,356 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story frame residence; Asphalt roof; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: 50 x 92 lot dimensions
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Wall/window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Unfinished interior-entry basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#220 in PA, #1,937 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
- Rochester Area SD (rural): math 28% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #375 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $69k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.45%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,300
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -65.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606 Wack Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,604 (+1%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $147 | 72 |
| 450 Clay St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,596 (+1%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 477 Connecticut Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,595 (+1%) | 4mo | $224,000 | $140 | 54 |
| 431 New York Ave | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 | 1,648 (+4%) | 9mo | $97,000 | $59 | 53 |
| 312 Craig St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,607 (+2%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $149 | 49 |
| 456 Park St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,408 (-11%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $82 | 47 |
| 476 Mecklem Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,478 (-7%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $81 | 47 |
| 236 Greenwood Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,484 (-6%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $202 | 44 |
| 480 Heller St | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,662 (+5%) | 11mo | $199,000 | $120 | 43 |
| 726 Spruce St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,476 (-7%) | 13mo | $272,000 | $184 | 37 |
| 194 Clay St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,352 (-15%) | 0mo | $143,000 | $106 | 34 |
| 479 Connecticut | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+14%) | 16mo | $180,000 | $100 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $27,281
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.80×
- Total profit
- $73,453
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15074
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,819/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $603
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $642 | -5% $622 | +0% $603 | +5% $583 | +10% $564 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $488 | -5% $546 | +0% $603 | +5% $660 | +10% $717 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $638 | -0.5pp $620 | base $603 | +0.5pp $585 | +1.0pp $567 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743 Wolf Ave Rochester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,375 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 169 Route 68 Rochester, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 467 Reno St Rochester, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-04price $69,000 333-char remark
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2026-04-23$77,000 Active 333-char remark
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2025-03-26soldstatus $30,000
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2025-03-06soldstatus $30,000 Closed 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!
-
2024-12-11status Pending 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!
-
2024-11-16price $38,400 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!
-
2024-11-06$39,900 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Don't miss this prime investment property at 645 Virginia Ave! This 3-bedroom 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity with tons of potential. This location has a large lot and is located close to schools, shopping and main highways. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, schedule a showing and see why this home could be the next winner in your portfolio!
-
2014-12-23soldstatus $40,000
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2014-12-13price $40,000
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Large 3 bedroom home with tall ceilings, fresh paint, and a pool on a double lot! Updated furnace and 200 amp electrical service. All appliances including washer & dryer STAY for the next owner!
-
2014-12-12price $46,500
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Large 3 bedroom home with tall ceilings, fresh paint, and a pool on a double lot! Updated furnace and 200 amp electrical service. All appliances including washer & dryer STAY for the next owner!
-
2014-12-12soldstatus $40,000
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Large 3 bedroom home with tall ceilings, fresh paint, and a pool on a double lot! Updated furnace and 200 amp electrical service. All appliances including washer & dryer STAY for the next owner!
-
2014-09-26$46,500
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Large 3 bedroom home with tall ceilings, fresh paint, and a pool on a double lot! Updated furnace and 200 amp electrical service. All appliances including washer & dryer STAY for the next owner!
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2007-02-22soldstatus $16,000
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2007-02-19soldstatus $16,000
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2005-05-12soldstatus $1,394
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2002-07-29soldstatus $73,900
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2002-07-29soldstatus $73,900
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2002-02-01$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,819 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,819 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,819
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $6,574
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,578
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,657/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220460
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,841
- Composite
- 32.7/100
- National rank
- #5644
- State rank
- #375 of 539 in PA
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #1937
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,543
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.06%
- Current HPI
- 166.4711
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-7.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $69,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $77,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2025-03-06 Sold (MLS) $30,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-12-11 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2024-11-16 Price Changed $38,400 West Penn MLS
- 2024-11-06 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
- 2014-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-13 Price Changed $40,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-12-12 Sold (MLS) $40,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-12-12 Price Changed $46,500 West Penn MLS
- 2014-09-26 Listed $46,500 West Penn MLS
- 2007-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-19 Sold (MLS) $16,000 AVBREALTORS
- 2005-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $1,394 Public Records
- 2002-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $73,900 Public Records
- 2002-07-29 Sold (MLS) $73,900 West Penn MLS
- 2002-02-01 Listed $74,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,819 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…