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25 Mimosa Rd
B- Composite 67.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

25 Mimosa Rd · Porterdale, GA 30016
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,398 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1962 1.94 ac lot Est $233k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks! Bring your vision and transform this classic 3-bedroom, all-brick ranch into something truly special. Situated on nearly 2 acres of level land, this property offers the perfect combination of privacy, space, and endless possibilities. Whether you're an investor looking for your next project, a flipper searching for value, or a buyer ready to create your dream home, this property is packed with potential. The solid brick construction provides a great foundation, while the expansive lot offers plenty of room for a workshop, garden, outdoor entertaining, or future expansion. Enjoy the peaceful setting with the convenience of nearby shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major highways. Sold As-Is. Don't miss this rare chance to restore and customize a home on acreage in a desirable Covington location!

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Outdoor entertaining
  • All brick

Tags

ALL BRICKNEARLY 2 ACRESLEVEL LANDSOLID BRICK CONSTRUCTIONEXPANSIVE LOTOUTDOOR ENTERTAINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Near schools, shopping, and restaurants

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Level driveway; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 110 volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water available
  • Home design: One-level home; Brick on all sides; Fixer condition; Attic and basement rooms present
  • Construction: Brick 4-sides construction; Composition roof; Block foundation; Built on a lot described as 1.94AC HWY 81
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Private yard; Rear stairs; Breezeway; Covered front and rear porches

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stained cabinets; Eat-in kitchen; Non-standard/other counters
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Master bedroom on main
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Other flooring types
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub/shower combination (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Disappearing attic stairs; Wood window frames; No shared/common walls
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.0% in Porterdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Newton County (suburban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: South Salem Elementary School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,069 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 852 students, 85% FRL); Alcovy High School (math 3% / reading 12%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 1,991 students, 55% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Newton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 448 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,480 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Newton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $175k implies a 563% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.48%
Cash-on-cash
11.39%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$233,466
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
190 Wynfield Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,432 (+2%) 15mo $252,000 $176 73
321 S Highway 162 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,467 (+5%) 1mo $125,000 $85 70
97 East Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+0%) 11mo $250,000 $179 65
125 Darby Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+0%) 15mo $235,000 $167 62
20 Oakmont Ct 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,472 (+5%) 16mo $246,000 $167 60
100 Wynfield Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,271 (-9%) 15mo $228,000 $179 59
355 Heaton Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,484 (+6%) 4mo $240,000 $162 54
280 Wynfield Dr 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,325 (-5%) 23mo $220,000 $166 53
285 Wynfield Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-11%) 21mo $256,000 $205 50
48 S Broad St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,590 (+14%) 7mo $115,000 $72 40
309 Lynn Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,604 (+15%) 10mo $226,000 $141 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,048
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$27,984
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30016

Home prices YoY
-8.6%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
448
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,950 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,361
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $564 -5% $514 +0% $465 +5% $415 +10% $366
Rent -10% $311 -5% $388 +0% $465 +5% $542 +10% $619
Rate -1.0pp $553 -0.5pp $509 base $465 +0.5pp $420 +1.0pp $373

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
150 Wynfield Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,798 $1.46 45d 1 0.13mi
50 Weldon Pl Covington, GA 4.0 2.0 1212 $1,799 $1.48 45d 1 0.23mi
75 Wynfield Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1160 $1,890 $1.63 0d 1 0.23mi
15 Magan Ct Porterdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1656 $1,750 $1.06 45d 1 0.59mi
15 Magan Ct Porterdale, GA 3.0 2.0 1656 $1,725 $1.04 14d 1 0.59mi
27 Elm St Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1590 $1,800 $1.13 45d 1 0.65mi
355 Sunflower Ln Covington, GA 4.0 2.5 1829 $1,855 $1.01 45d 1 0.81mi
35 Tamalynn Trl Covington, GA 4.0 2.5 1829 $1,890 $1.03 45d 1 0.94mi
10 Brandon Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,950 $1.60 45d 1 0.96mi
70 Trelawney Dr Covington, GA 2.0 1.0 1750 $1,850 $1.06 20d 1 1.07mi
20 E Lawn Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1476 $1,819 $1.23 0d 1 1.19mi
85 Lakeside Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,710 $1.13 6d 1 1.31mi
105 River North Ct Covington, GA 3.0 3.0 1523 $2,195 $1.44 14d 1 1.41mi
300 Claremont Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,895 $1.36 6d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $175,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,017 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,610 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$593/yr (+$49/mo · 58.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,398
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,017
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,872
− Management
−$1,872
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$2,868
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$688
After-tax cash flow
$4,891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newton County
NCES district ID
1303930
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$50,768
Composite
19.2/100
National rank
#8816
State rank
#137 of 174 in GA

Livability — Porterdale

Score
58/100
State rank
#447
US rank
#21362

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Newton County · 104,393 people
City population
76
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
62,968
Household income
$79,527
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
1172.0

Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
118,372 people
By 2030
124,234 · +5.0%
By 2040
135,550 · +14.5%
By 2050
145,309 · +22.8%
By 2075
166,843 · +40.9%
By 2100
175,800 · +48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Newton

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 57.3% · R 42.2%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+2.4 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.68%
Current HPI
317.5605
Rent YoY
▲ 1.84%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+562.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $175,000 FMLS
  • 1995-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $26,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,017 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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