25 Mimosa Rd · Porterdale, GA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity knocks! Bring your vision and transform this classic 3-bedroom, all-brick ranch into something truly special. Situated on nearly 2 acres of level land, this property offers the perfect combination of privacy, space, and endless possibilities. Whether you're an investor looking for your next project, a flipper searching for value, or a buyer ready to create your dream home, this property is packed with potential. The solid brick construction provides a great foundation, while the expansive lot offers plenty of room for a workshop, garden, outdoor entertaining, or future expansion. Enjoy the peaceful setting with the convenience of nearby shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major highways. Sold As-Is. Don't miss this rare chance to restore and customize a home on acreage in a desirable Covington location!
Key facts
- Expansive lot
- Outdoor entertaining
- All brick
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Near schools, shopping, and restaurants
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Level driveway; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 110 volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water available
- Home design: One-level home; Brick on all sides; Fixer condition; Attic and basement rooms present
- Construction: Brick 4-sides construction; Composition roof; Block foundation; Built on a lot described as 1.94AC HWY 81
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Private yard; Rear stairs; Breezeway; Covered front and rear porches
Interior
- Kitchen: Stained cabinets; Eat-in kitchen; Non-standard/other counters
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Master bedroom on main
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Other flooring types
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub/shower combination (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Disappearing attic stairs; Wood window frames; No shared/common walls
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.0% in Porterdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Newton County (suburban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: South Salem Elementary School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,069 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 852 students, 85% FRL); Alcovy High School (math 3% / reading 12%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 1,991 students, 55% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Newton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 448 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,480 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $175k implies a 563% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.39%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $233,466
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190 Wynfield Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (+2%) | 15mo | $252,000 | $176 | 73 |
| 321 S Highway 162 | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,467 (+5%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $85 | 70 |
| 97 East Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+0%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $179 | 65 |
| 125 Darby Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+0%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $167 | 62 |
| 20 Oakmont Ct | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,472 (+5%) | 16mo | $246,000 | $167 | 60 |
| 100 Wynfield Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,271 (-9%) | 15mo | $228,000 | $179 | 59 |
| 355 Heaton Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (+6%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $162 | 54 |
| 280 Wynfield Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,325 (-5%) | 23mo | $220,000 | $166 | 53 |
| 285 Wynfield Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-11%) | 21mo | $256,000 | $205 | 50 |
| 48 S Broad St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+14%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $72 | 40 |
| 309 Lynn Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+15%) | 10mo | $226,000 | $141 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,048
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $27,984
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30016
- Home prices YoY
- -8.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 448
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,950 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $564 | -5% $514 | +0% $465 | +5% $415 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $311 | -5% $388 | +0% $465 | +5% $542 | +10% $619 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $553 | -0.5pp $509 | base $465 | +0.5pp $420 | +1.0pp $373 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 Wynfield Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,798 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 50 Weldon Pl Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,799 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 75 Wynfield Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,890 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15 Magan Ct Porterdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 15 Magan Ct Porterdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $1,725 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 27 Elm St Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 355 Sunflower Ln Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1829 | $1,855 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 35 Tamalynn Trl Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1829 | $1,890 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10 Brandon Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,950 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 70 Trelawney Dr Covington, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 20 E Lawn Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,819 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 85 Lakeside Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,710 | $1.13 | 6d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 105 River North Ct Covington, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1523 | $2,195 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 300 Claremont Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,895 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,610 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$593/yr (+$49/mo · 58.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,017
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,872
- − Management
- −$1,872
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $2,868
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$688
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton County
- NCES district ID
- 1303930
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,768
- Composite
- 19.2/100
- National rank
- #8816
- State rank
- #137 of 174 in GA
Livability — Porterdale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #447
- US rank
- #21362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Newton County · 104,393 people
- City population
- 76
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,968
- Household income
- $79,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1172.0
Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,372 people
- By 2030
- 124,234 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 135,550 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 145,309 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 166,843 · +40.9%
- By 2100
- 175,800 · +48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newton
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 57.3% · R 42.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+2.4 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.68%
- Current HPI
- 317.5605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+562.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $175,000 FMLS
- 1995-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $26,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,017 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…