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4516 N 31st Ave
C Composite 56.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$175,000

4516 N 31st Ave · Omaha, NE 68111
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,278 sqft · Other public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1918 6,120 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this fully remodeled 1.5-story home that blends classic charm with modern updates from head-to-toe. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of off-street parking, this home has been thoughtfully renovated and has some new plumbing. Water heater installed in 2025, plus new appliances. The layout provides flexibility and comfort, perfect for families, professionals, or investors. Every detail has been refreshed to create a move-in ready home with a clean, new feel throughout. Conveniently located near Metro Community College. This property is also just minutes from grocery stores, coffee shops, and everyday essentials, making daily living easy and enjoyable. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully up-to-date home in a highly desirable area - schedule your showing today! All measurements approximate.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Fully remodeled
  • New plumbing

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDNEW PLUMBINGWATER HEATER INSTALLEDNEW APPLIANCESMOVE-IN READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $175k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $155,359 (11.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.13%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$103,755
Equity at exit
$157,654
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
7.12×
Total profit
$299,754
Equity at exit
$339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68111

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,554 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,392
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4707 N 40th Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1337 $1,500 $1.12 21d 1 0.75mi
4201 N 22nd St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1380 $1,545 $1.12 43d 1 0.79mi
5348 N 25th St Omaha, NE 4.0 1.0 1446 $1,600 $1.11 43d 1 0.80mi
2873 Kansas Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1112 $1,450 $1.30 23d 1 0.97mi
4125 N 19th St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1266 $1,532 $1.21 43d 1 0.97mi
3323 N 40th St Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,575 $1.57 3d 1 1.00mi
2436 Laurel Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1582 $1,495 $0.95 23d 1 1.02mi
3708 Florence Blvd Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,395 $1.27 21d 1 1.04mi
6124 N 30th St Unit STREET2 Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 1190 $1,075 $0.90 43d 1 1.04mi
3901 Curtis Ave Omaha, NE 2.0 2.5 1745 $1,850 $1.06 3d 1 1.25mi
3502 Lake St Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 974 $995 $1.02 2d 1 1.29mi
3535 N 45th Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1325 $1,800 $1.36 43d 1 1.30mi
2723 Newport Ave Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 1079 $1,450 $1.34 2d 1 1.35mi
4470 Redman Ave Unit 4470A Omaha, NE 2.0 1.5 980 $1,050 $1.07 10d 1 1.39mi
4276 Binney St Omaha, NE 4.0 1.0 1358 $1,495 $1.10 43d 1 1.41mi
4657 Camden Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 43d 1 1.42mi
3808 N 48th St Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,000 $1.43 3d 1 1.46mi
3164 Ida St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 946 $1,600 $1.69 10d 1 1.48mi
3164 Ida St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 946 $1,600 $1.69 43d 1 1.48mi
3164 Ida St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 946 $1,600 $1.69 2d 1 1.48mi
3508 N 47th Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1425 $1,600 $1.12 19d 1 1.48mi
1820 Miami St Omaha, NE 4.0 1.5 1306 $1,050 $0.80 43d 1 1.49mi
4018 Bauman Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 925 $1,380 $1.49 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Welcome to this fully remodeled 1.5-story home that blends classic charm with modern updates from head-to-toe. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of off-street parking, this home has been thoughtfully renovated and has some new plumbing. Water heater installed in 2025, plus new appliances. The layout provides flexibility and comfort, perfect for families, professionals, or investors. Every detail has been refreshed to create a move-in ready home with a clean, new feel throughout. Conveniently located near Metro Community College. This property is also just minutes from grocery stores, coffee shops, and everyday essentials, making daily living easy and enjoyable. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully up-to-date home in a highly desirable area - schedule your showing today! All measurements approximate.

  2. 2026-04-01
    price $175,000 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Welcome to this fully remodeled 1.5-story home that blends classic charm with modern updates from head-to-toe. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of off-street parking, this home has been thoughtfully renovated and has some new plumbing. Water heater installed in 2025, plus new appliances. The layout provides flexibility and comfort, perfect for families, professionals, or investors. Every detail has been refreshed to create a move-in ready home with a clean, new feel throughout. Conveniently located near Metro Community College. This property is also just minutes from grocery stores, coffee shops, and everyday essentials, making daily living easy and enjoyable. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully up-to-date home in a highly desirable area - schedule your showing today! All measurements approximate.

  3. 2026-01-27
    listed $183,000 New 850-char remark
    Show marketing remark (850 chars)

    Welcome to this fully remodeled 1.5-story home that blends classic charm with modern updates from head-to-toe. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of off-street parking, this home has been thoughtfully renovated and has some new plumbing. Water heater installed in 2025, plus new appliances. The layout provides flexibility and comfort, perfect for families, professionals, or investors. Every detail has been refreshed to create a move-in ready home with a clean, new feel throughout. Conveniently located near Metro Community College. This property is also just minutes from grocery stores, coffee shops, and everyday essentials, making daily living easy and enjoyable. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully up-to-date home in a highly desirable area - schedule your showing today! All measurements approximate.

  4. 2025-12-01
    historical
  5. 2025-11-11
    status Back On Market
  6. 2025-10-27
    status Pending
  7. 2025-10-03
    listed $190,000 New
  8. 2025-10-01
    historical
  9. 2025-09-03
    price $199,500
  10. 2025-08-12
    listed $210,000 New
  11. 2025-08-12
    historical
  12. 2025-07-28
    price $210,000
  13. 2025-07-11
    listed $215,000 New
  14. 2025-07-01
    historical
  15. 2025-04-23
    price $205,000
  16. 2025-03-28
    price $215,000
  17. 2025-03-13
    listed $225,000 New
  18. 2025-03-13
    historical
  19. 2024-10-31
    price $225,000
  20. 2024-10-07
    listed $235,000 New
  21. 2024-03-18
    soldstatus $105,000
  22. 2024-03-15
    soldstatus $105,000 Sold
  23. 2024-02-29
    status Pending
  24. 2024-02-15
    listed $120,000 New
  25. 2018-06-18
    soldstatus $79,000
  26. 1993-07-16
    soldstatus $10,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,306 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,028 · $252/mo
Expected delta
+$1,722/yr (+$143/mo · 131.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,643
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,306
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,491
− Management
−$1,491
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$339
After-tax cash flow
$1,874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Omaha Public Schools
NCES district ID
3174820
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,039
Composite
20.83/100
National rank
#8502
State rank
#110 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Omaha, NE
County
Douglas County · 538,646 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
24,210
Household income
$42,185
Rent vs Own
60.3% rent · 39.7% own
Severe rent burden
1913.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Ukrainian 3% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.82%
Current HPI
358.7174
Rent YoY
▲ 3.22%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1566.7% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $175,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $183,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2025-11-11 Relisted GPRMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $190,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $199,500 GPRMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $210,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-07-28 Price Changed $210,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $215,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-07-01 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2025-04-23 Price Changed $205,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-03-28 Price Changed $215,000 GPRMLS
  • 2025-03-13 Listing Removed GPRMLS
  • 2025-03-13 Listed $225,000 GPRMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Price Changed $225,000 GPRMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Listed $235,000 GPRMLS
  • 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-15 Sold (MLS) $105,000 GPRMLS
  • 2024-02-29 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2024-02-15 Listed $120,000 GPRMLS
  • 2018-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 1993-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,306 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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