4516 N 31st Ave · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this fully remodeled 1.5-story home that blends classic charm with modern updates from head-to-toe. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of off-street parking, this home has been thoughtfully renovated and has some new plumbing. Water heater installed in 2025, plus new appliances. The layout provides flexibility and comfort, perfect for families, professionals, or investors. Every detail has been refreshed to create a move-in ready home with a clean, new feel throughout. Conveniently located near Metro Community College. This property is also just minutes from grocery stores, coffee shops, and everyday essentials, making daily living easy and enjoyable. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully up-to-date home in a highly desirable area - schedule your showing today! All measurements approximate.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Fully remodeled
- New plumbing
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (11.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $175k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.13%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $103,755
- Equity at exit
- $157,654
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.12×
- Total profit
- $299,754
- Equity at exit
- $339,987
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68111
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,554 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4707 N 40th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4201 N 22nd St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,545 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5348 N 25th St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2873 Kansas Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4125 N 19th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,532 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3323 N 40th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2436 Laurel Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1582 | $1,495 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3708 Florence Blvd Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6124 N 30th St Unit STREET2 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,075 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3901 Curtis Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3502 Lake St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $995 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3535 N 45th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2723 Newport Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4470 Redman Ave Unit 4470A Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,050 | $1.07 | 10d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4276 Binney St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1358 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4657 Camden Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3808 N 48th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3164 Ida St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,600 | $1.69 | 10d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3164 Ida St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,600 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3164 Ida St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,600 | $1.69 | 2d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3508 N 47th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1425 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1820 Miami St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1306 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 4018 Bauman Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,380 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 850-char remark
Show marketing remark (850 chars)
Welcome to this fully remodeled 1.5-story home that blends classic charm with modern updates from head-to-toe. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of off-street parking, this home has been thoughtfully renovated and has some new plumbing. Water heater installed in 2025, plus new appliances. The layout provides flexibility and comfort, perfect for families, professionals, or investors. Every detail has been refreshed to create a move-in ready home with a clean, new feel throughout. Conveniently located near Metro Community College. This property is also just minutes from grocery stores, coffee shops, and everyday essentials, making daily living easy and enjoyable. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully up-to-date home in a highly desirable area - schedule your showing today! All measurements approximate.
-
2026-04-01price $175,000 850-char remark
Show marketing remark (850 chars)
Welcome to this fully remodeled 1.5-story home that blends classic charm with modern updates from head-to-toe. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of off-street parking, this home has been thoughtfully renovated and has some new plumbing. Water heater installed in 2025, plus new appliances. The layout provides flexibility and comfort, perfect for families, professionals, or investors. Every detail has been refreshed to create a move-in ready home with a clean, new feel throughout. Conveniently located near Metro Community College. This property is also just minutes from grocery stores, coffee shops, and everyday essentials, making daily living easy and enjoyable. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully up-to-date home in a highly desirable area - schedule your showing today! All measurements approximate.
-
2026-01-27$183,000 New 850-char remark
Show marketing remark (850 chars)
Welcome to this fully remodeled 1.5-story home that blends classic charm with modern updates from head-to-toe. Featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of off-street parking, this home has been thoughtfully renovated and has some new plumbing. Water heater installed in 2025, plus new appliances. The layout provides flexibility and comfort, perfect for families, professionals, or investors. Every detail has been refreshed to create a move-in ready home with a clean, new feel throughout. Conveniently located near Metro Community College. This property is also just minutes from grocery stores, coffee shops, and everyday essentials, making daily living easy and enjoyable. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully up-to-date home in a highly desirable area - schedule your showing today! All measurements approximate.
-
2025-12-01historical
-
2025-11-11status Back On Market
-
2025-10-27status Pending
-
2025-10-03$190,000 New
-
2025-10-01historical
-
2025-09-03price $199,500
-
2025-08-12$210,000 New
-
2025-08-12historical
-
2025-07-28price $210,000
-
2025-07-11$215,000 New
-
2025-07-01historical
-
2025-04-23price $205,000
-
2025-03-28price $215,000
-
2025-03-13$225,000 New
-
2025-03-13historical
-
2024-10-31price $225,000
-
2024-10-07$235,000 New
-
2024-03-18soldstatus $105,000
-
2024-03-15soldstatus $105,000 Sold
-
2024-02-29status Pending
-
2024-02-15$120,000 New
-
2018-06-18soldstatus $79,000
-
1993-07-16soldstatus $10,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,306 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,028 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,722/yr (+$143/mo · 131.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,643
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,306
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,491
- − Management
- −$1,491
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,414
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$339
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,874/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,210
- Household income
- $42,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1913.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 3% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.82%
- Current HPI
- 358.7174
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+1566.7% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $175,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $183,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2025-11-11 Relisted — GPRMLS
- 2025-10-27 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $190,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $199,500 GPRMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $210,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $210,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-07-11 Listed $215,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-07-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $205,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $215,000 GPRMLS
- 2025-03-13 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2025-03-13 Listed $225,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-10-31 Price Changed $225,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-10-07 Listed $235,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-15 Sold (MLS) $105,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-02-29 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2024-02-15 Listed $120,000 GPRMLS
- 2018-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 1993-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,306 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…