1727 Briarwood Dr · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Patio
- Fenced in yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Attached paved parking/garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Aluminum and wood siding; Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 1,205 square feet
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Fireplace in the living room; Total of 8 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.72%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,774
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1405 Vermilya Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-4%) | 0mo | $55,000 | $48 | 70 |
| 1523 Waldman St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (-2%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $106 | 69 |
| 1809 Crestbrook Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,240 (+3%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $81 | 66 |
| 1406 Lincoln Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (-8%) | 9mo | $59,000 | $53 | 61 |
| 1212 Crawford St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,281 (+6%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $39 | 56 |
| 4202 Park Forest Dr | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,280 (+6%) | 2mo | $73,900 | $58 | 54 |
| 2115 Radcliffe Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,325 (+10%) | 3mo | $159,000 | $120 | 51 |
| 1418 Blueberry Ln | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (-13%) | 4mo | $78,000 | $75 | 47 |
| 1228 Leland St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,047 (-13%) | 5mo | $67,500 | $64 | 45 |
| 4302 Huckleberry Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,366 (+14%) | 2mo | $32,500 | $24 | 45 |
| 4518 Huckleberry Ln | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,319 (+10%) | 6mo | $69,090 | $52 | 45 |
| 905 Victoria Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (-12%) | 9mo | $19,000 | $18 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-8,877
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-7,020
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48507
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,021 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,443/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 912 Waldman Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $675 | $0.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $850 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $995 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2610 Swayze St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $950 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 666 | $960 | $1.44 | 13d | 19 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 240 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 239 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 235 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 234 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $94,900 Active 232 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 297-char remark
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2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 223 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $94,900 Active 222 DOM
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2026-04-18price $94,900 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
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2026-04-17price $94,900
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2026-04-16price $95,000 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2026-04-15price $95,000
-
2026-03-31status Active
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2026-03-31status Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2026-03-31historical 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2026-03-31historical
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2026-03-17price $97,500 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2026-03-17price $97,500
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2025-12-17price $99,500 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2025-12-17price $99,500
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2025-11-18price $102,500 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2025-11-17price $102,500
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2025-10-20$107,500 Active
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
-
2025-10-20$107,500 Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,443 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,452 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,443
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$980
- − Management
- −$980
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $293
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$70
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,723
- Household income
- $46,554
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1534.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.90%
- Current HPI
- 132.3632
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.04%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-11.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $94,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $97,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $97,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $99,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $99,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $102,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $102,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-20 Listed $107,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-20 Listed $107,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,443 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…