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1727 Briarwood Dr
D Composite 44.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

1727 Briarwood Dr · Flint, MI 48507
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,203 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 240 Days on market
Built 1954 7,405 sqft lot Est $70k · 36% over ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Patio
  • Fenced in yard

Tags

FENCED IN YARDLIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACEBONUS ROOMPATIOESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODMATURE TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached paved parking/garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum and wood siding; Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 1,205 square feet
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Fireplace in the living room; Total of 8 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.17%
Cash-on-cash
6.72%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$69,774
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1405 Vermilya Ave 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-4%) 0mo $55,000 $48 70
1523 Waldman St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,179 (-2%) 6mo $125,000 $106 69
1809 Crestbrook Ln 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,240 (+3%) 5mo $100,000 $81 66
1406 Lincoln Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,106 (-8%) 9mo $59,000 $53 61
1212 Crawford St 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,281 (+6%) 5mo $50,000 $39 56
4202 Park Forest Dr 0.62mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,280 (+6%) 2mo $73,900 $58 54
2115 Radcliffe Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,325 (+10%) 3mo $159,000 $120 51
1418 Blueberry Ln 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,045 (-13%) 4mo $78,000 $75 47
1228 Leland St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,047 (-13%) 5mo $67,500 $64 45
4302 Huckleberry Ln 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,366 (+14%) 2mo $32,500 $24 45
4518 Huckleberry Ln 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,319 (+10%) 6mo $69,090 $52 45
905 Victoria Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,060 (-12%) 9mo $19,000 $18 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-8,877
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-7,020
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48507

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,021 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,443/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $832
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1426 Pettibone Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 21d 1 0.34mi
912 Waldman Ave Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 1223 $675 $0.55 13d 1 0.77mi
813 Alvord Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $850 $1.17 13d 1 0.98mi
1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1160 $995 $0.86 21d 1 1.00mi
2610 Swayze St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1194 $950 $0.80 21d 1 1.08mi
4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 666 $960 $1.44 13d 19 1.22mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 240 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 239 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 238 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 237 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 235 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 234 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,900 Active 232 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 231 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 230 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 297-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 229 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 226 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 225 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 224 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 223 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,900 Active 222 DOM
  17. 2026-04-18
    price $94,900 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  18. 2026-04-17
    price $94,900
  19. 2026-04-16
    price $95,000 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  20. 2026-04-15
    price $95,000
  21. 2026-03-31
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  22. 2026-03-31
    status Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  23. 2026-03-31
    historical 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  24. 2026-03-31
    historical
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  25. 2026-03-17
    price $97,500 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  26. 2026-03-17
    price $97,500
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  27. 2025-12-17
    price $99,500 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  28. 2025-12-17
    price $99,500
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  29. 2025-11-18
    price $102,500 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  30. 2025-11-17
    price $102,500
  31. 2025-10-20
    listed $107,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

  32. 2025-10-20
    listed $107,500 Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    No Stairs Must See this Convenient and Accessible home. First floor Laundry. Formal dining with eat-in kitchen Firelit Living room with extra TV Room. Private fenced in yard. Established neighborhood with beautiful mature trees. Immediate possession. 2 minutes from I75/US23 and I69

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,443 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,452 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$9/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,247
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$1,443
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$980
− Management
−$980
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$70
After-tax cash flow
$1,715/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
28,723
Household income
$46,554
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1534.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.90%
Current HPI
132.3632
Rent YoY
▼ -1.04%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $94,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $97,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $97,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $99,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $99,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $102,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $102,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $107,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $107,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,443 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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