142 Stathams Ln · Abbeville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$76,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Escape to your own private retreat in the Georgia countryside! This charming 2 bedroom 1 bathroom cabin sits on two spacious wooded lots with river access in close proximity, all offering the perfect blend of peace and convenience. Enjoy updated drainage system, a large screened rear porch for relaxing or entertaining, and a generous yard with a versatile storage building. The home also features a new hot water heater and refrigerator. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway or a full time home, this property provides the perfect setting to unwind and connect with nature.
Key facts
- Generous yard
- Screened rear porch
- River access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $77k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($820 rent vs $77k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#428 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Wilcox County (rural): math 36% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #73 of 174 in GA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($532 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Wilcox County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $77k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.49%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $52,529
- List price
- $76,900
- Delta
- 46.40%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $13,275
- Equity at exit
- $30,945
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $41,298
- Equity at exit
- $45,038
Cash invested: $21,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31001
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$403
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$96 /mo · $1,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$172
- Net cashflow
- $116
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,225
- Closing costs
- $2,307
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $76,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $76,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $76,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $76,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $76,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $76,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $76,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $76,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $79,900 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Escape to your own private retreat in the Georgia countryside! This charming 2 bedroom 1 bathroom cabin sits on two spacious wooded lots with river access in close proximity, all offering the perfect blend of peace and convenience. Enjoy updated drainage system, a large screened rear porch for relaxing or entertaining, and a generous yard with a versatile storage building. The home also features a new hot water heater and refrigerator. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway or a full time home, this property provides the perfect setting to unwind and connect with nature.
-
2025-11-06$84,900 Active 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Escape to your own private retreat in the Georgia countryside! This charming 2 bedroom 1 bathroom cabin sits on two spacious wooded lots with river access in close proximity, all offering the perfect blend of peace and convenience. Enjoy updated drainage system, a large screened rear porch for relaxing or entertaining, and a generous yard with a versatile storage building. The home also features a new hot water heater and refrigerator. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway or a full time home, this property provides the perfect setting to unwind and connect with nature.
-
2016-09-08soldstatus $33,000
-
2006-03-01soldstatus $6,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,308
- − Property taxes
- −$1,154
- − Insurance
- −$384
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$787
- − Management
- −$787
- − Depreciation
- −$2,237
- Taxable income
- $183
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$44
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,353/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilcox County
- NCES district ID
- 1305730
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,741
- Composite
- 28.71/100
- National rank
- #6685
- State rank
- #73 of 174 in GA
Livability — Abbeville
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #428
- US rank
- #20968
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abbeville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,323
Population outlook (Wilcox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,207 people
- By 2030
- 7,894 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 7,387 · -10.0%
- By 2050
- 6,884 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 5,503 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 4,115 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilcox
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.2) · D 25.3% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.3pp · 2024: -49.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.2 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+37.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.15%
- Current HPI
- 104.9016
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1129.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $79,900 TBOR
- 2025-11-06 Listed $84,900 TBOR
- 2016-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $63 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…