Multi-family
220 Tanbark Dr · Georgetown, KY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.
Key facts
- Private bath
- Fenced in backyard
- Deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.5% in Georgetown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#75 in KY, #2,338 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, commute F.
- Scott County (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 546 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.97%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $397,713
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -37.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-3,422
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $44,879
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40324
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 14.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,922 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$614
- Net cashflow
- $581
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,922 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,461 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,461 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,922 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 Tanbark Dr Georgetown, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.00mi |
| 171 Landry Ln Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1915 | $2,400 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 203 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 111 Juniper Path Unit 3 Bedroom Unit Georgetown, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,699 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 134 Landry Ln Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1783 | $2,400 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 149 Landry Ln Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 209 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 138 Landry Ln Georgetown, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,400 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 103 Tyler Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 108 Tyler Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2450 | $2,600 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 106 Winners Cir Georgetown, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 218 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1648 | $2,250 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 222 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2450 | $2,650 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 111 High Hope Ln Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2046 | $2,475 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 105 Juniper Path Georgetown, KY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,725 | $1.37 | 13d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 101 Heartwood Path Georgetown, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 226 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2450 | $2,600 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 190 Oxford Landing Dr Georgetown, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,150 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 228 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 227 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 233 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2450 | $2,600 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.
-
2026-04-29price $249,900 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.
-
2026-04-20price $254,900 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.
-
2026-03-16$259,900 Active 546-char remark
Show marketing remark (546 chars)
Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.
-
2025-12-31price $259,900
-
2025-11-20price $265,000
-
2025-10-25status Active
-
2025-09-26status Active
-
2025-09-18status Pending
-
2025-09-18historical
-
2025-09-18historical
-
2025-09-15$274,900 Active
-
2015-06-22historical
-
2015-03-16$212,900
-
2015-01-08historical
-
2014-04-07$212,900
-
2014-01-15historical
-
2013-05-06$213,900
-
2007-01-26soldstatus $189,500
-
2006-11-20historical
-
2006-08-21$195,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$3,748
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,805
- − Management
- −$2,805
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $3,188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$765
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,211/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This multi-family home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, ideal for investors looking to enhance its value through fresh paint and landscaping.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Deck — slight wear
- Minor Fencing — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Deck · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Fencing · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County
- NCES district ID
- 2105260
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,324
- Composite
- 33.87/100
- National rank
- #5348
- State rank
- #31 of 165 in KY
Livability — Georgetown
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #2338
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Georgetown, KY
- County
- Scott County · 53,406 people
- City population
- 53,406
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,406
- Household income
- $85,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 993.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,814 people
- By 2030
- 69,637 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 81,315 · +27.4%
- By 2050
- 92,677 · +45.2%
- By 2075
- 118,956 · +86.4%
- By 2100
- 136,792 · +114.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.7) · D 35.3% · R 63.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.7 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.49%
- Current HPI
- 187.89
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.00%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+28.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $249,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $254,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $259,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $259,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $265,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-25 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-26 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-18 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-15 Listed $274,900 ImagineMLS
- 2015-06-22 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2015-03-16 Listed $212,900 ImagineMLS
- 2015-01-08 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2014-04-07 Listed $212,900 ImagineMLS
- 2014-01-15 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2013-05-06 Listed $213,900 ImagineMLS
- 2007-01-26 Sold (MLS) $189,500 ImagineMLS
- 2006-11-20 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2006-08-21 Listed $195,000 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…