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220 Tanbark Dr Multi-family
B- Composite 69.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

220 Tanbark Dr · Georgetown, KY 40324
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,750 sqft · MultiFamily · 59 Days on market
Built 1999 Good condition 6,926 sqft lot $143/sqft · 37% below area Est $398k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.

Key facts

  • Private bath
  • Fenced in backyard
  • Deck

Tags

FENCED IN BACKYARDPRIVATE BATHOPEN LOFT AREADECKPRIVACY FENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.5% in Georgetown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#75 in KY, #2,338 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, commute F.
  • Scott County (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 546 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scott County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $190k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.97%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$397,713
List price
$249,900
Delta
-37.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-3,422
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$44,879
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40324

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
441
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,922 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$614
Net cashflow
$581

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,186
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 75%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,922

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
221 Tanbark Dr Georgetown, KY 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,475 $0.98 43d 1 0.00mi
171 Landry Ln Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 1915 $2,400 $1.25 13d 1 0.73mi
203 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,200 $1.38 43d 1 0.73mi
111 Juniper Path Unit 3 Bedroom Unit Georgetown, KY 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,699 $1.23 13d 1 0.74mi
134 Landry Ln Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 1783 $2,400 $1.35 23d 1 0.75mi
149 Landry Ln Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 1700 $2,200 $1.29 44d 1 0.75mi
209 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 1700 $2,350 $1.38 21d 1 0.76mi
138 Landry Ln Georgetown, KY 3.0 2.0 1625 $2,400 $1.48 23d 1 0.76mi
103 Tyler Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 1700 $2,300 $1.35 43d 1 0.76mi
108 Tyler Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 2450 $2,600 $1.06 44d 1 0.76mi
106 Winners Cir Georgetown, KY 3.0 2.0 1376 $1,900 $1.38 21d 1 0.77mi
218 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 1648 $2,250 $1.37 43d 1 0.78mi
222 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 2450 $2,650 $1.08 43d 1 0.79mi
111 High Hope Ln Georgetown, KY 4.0 3.0 2046 $2,475 $1.21 13d 1 0.79mi
105 Juniper Path Georgetown, KY 2.0–3.0 2.0 1262 $1,725 $1.37 13d 2 0.79mi
101 Heartwood Path Georgetown, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 13d 1 0.80mi
226 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 2450 $2,600 $1.06 43d 1 0.82mi
190 Oxford Landing Dr Georgetown, KY 3.0 2.0 1625 $2,150 $1.32 13d 1 0.83mi
228 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 1800 $2,250 $1.25 43d 1 0.83mi
227 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 1800 $2,300 $1.28 43d 1 0.83mi
233 Jared Parker Way Georgetown, KY 4.0 2.5 2450 $2,600 $1.06 43d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.

  2. 2026-04-29
    price $249,900 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.

  3. 2026-04-20
    price $254,900 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.

  4. 2026-03-16
    listed $259,900 Active 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    Attention Investors and first time home buyers! 4 Bedroom, 2.5 bath home with 1 car garage and fenced in backyard close to interstate 75 and Toyota Motor Manufacturing. Updates throughout including paint and some flooring. Ideal for multi-generational living- the Main level features primary bedroom with private bath and closet, living room, kitchen, dining area, a 1/2 bath and another bedroom and laundry room. Upstairs you'll find an open loft area, 2 additional bedrooms (one with a bonus room) a full bath. Deck and privacy fenced backyard.

  5. 2025-12-31
    price $259,900
  6. 2025-11-20
    price $265,000
  7. 2025-10-25
    status Active
  8. 2025-09-26
    status Active
  9. 2025-09-18
    status Pending
  10. 2025-09-18
    historical
  11. 2025-09-18
    historical
  12. 2025-09-15
    listed $274,900 Active
  13. 2015-06-22
    historical
  14. 2015-03-16
    listed $212,900
  15. 2015-01-08
    historical
  16. 2014-04-07
    listed $212,900
  17. 2014-01-15
    historical
  18. 2013-05-06
    listed $213,900
  19. 2007-01-26
    soldstatus $189,500
  20. 2006-11-20
    historical
  21. 2006-08-21
    listed $195,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,064
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$3,748
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,805
− Management
−$2,805
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable income
$3,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$765
After-tax cash flow
$6,211/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This multi-family home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, ideal for investors looking to enhance its value through fresh paint and landscaping.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Deck — slight wear
  • Minor Fencing — slight wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Deck · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
Fencing · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County
NCES district ID
2105260
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$61,324
Composite
33.87/100
National rank
#5348
State rank
#31 of 165 in KY

Livability — Georgetown

Score
78/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#2338

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Georgetown, KY
County
Scott County · 53,406 people
City population
53,406
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
Population (ZIP)
53,406
Household income
$85,110
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
993.0

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,814 people
By 2030
69,637 · +9.1%
By 2040
81,315 · +27.4%
By 2050
92,677 · +45.2%
By 2075
118,956 · +86.4%
By 2100
136,792 · +114.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.7) · D 35.3% · R 63.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -27.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.7 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.49%
Current HPI
187.89
Rent YoY
▲ 3.00%
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.2% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $249,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $254,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $259,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $259,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $265,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2025-10-25 Relisted ImagineMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Relisted ImagineMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Pending ImagineMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $274,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2015-06-22 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2015-03-16 Listed $212,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2015-01-08 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2014-04-07 Listed $212,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2014-01-15 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2013-05-06 Listed $213,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2007-01-26 Sold (MLS) $189,500 ImagineMLS
  • 2006-11-20 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2006-08-21 Listed $195,000 ImagineMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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