100 Alton Tucker Sr Blvd · Warner Robins, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step inside and discover a beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2 full bath home designed for comfort, space, and style.Whether you're a growing family or aprofessional in need of a dedicated home office, this home fits your lifestyle perfectly. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining and familyroom-ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a standout, complete with granite countertops, a walk-in pantry, island with four bar stools,stainless steel appliances featuring a microwave, dishwasher, garbage disposal, and refrigerator-perfect for preparing your favorite meals. The private owner's suite is designed for relaxation, featuring dual vanities, a separate shower, and a luxurious garden tub to unwind after along day. The walk-in closet even includes a 360-degree rotating shoe rack for added convenience. This home has been thoughtfully upgraded to offer bothprivacy and security, including a fullyfenced backyard with a wooden privacyfence, along with exterior and interior camera systems. No need for laundrymat anymore, the WASHER and DRYER remain with the home for your convenience. Move-in ready and waiting for you to start your next chapter! It is conveniently located just minutes from Robins Air Force Base. Zoned for Veterans High School District. SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 CLOSING COST WITH ACCEPTED OFFER!!
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Granite countertops
- Walk-in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (5.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (15.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $241k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#227 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.68%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $283,286
- List price
- $285,000
- Delta
- 0.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Alton Tucker Sr Blvd | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,891 (+7%) | 12mo | $300,000 | $159 | 74 |
| 307 Ledford Way | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,522 (-14%) | 2mo | $267,000 | $175 | 64 |
| 105 Sasser Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,689 (-5%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 105 Sasser Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,689 (-5%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 106 Ledford Way | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,736 (-2%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $138 | 63 |
| 109 Fortune Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,807 (+2%) | 14mo | $298,500 | $165 | 61 |
| 101 Forest Hvn | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (-6%) | 13mo | $299,825 | $179 | 53 |
| 120 Newton Ln | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 | 1,908 (+8%) | 13mo | $350,000 | $183 | 49 |
| 106 Williams Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-4%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $88 | 47 |
| 408 Charlotte Dr | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 | 1,971 (+11%) | 11mo | $356,500 | $181 | 45 |
| 116 Garrett Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,679 (-5%) | 9mo | $287,000 | $171 | 43 |
| 114 Garrett Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,619 (-9%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $176 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-49,475
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-36,056
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31005
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,409 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$356 /mo · $4,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$45
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$506
- Net cashflow
- $-112
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Alton Tucker SR Blvd Bonaire, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,195 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 200 Chipper St Bonaire, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,995 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $45 · $540/yr
- Likely covers
- trashsecurity
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-02status $285,000 Under Contract 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $285,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-30$285,000 New 1398-char remark
Show marketing remark (1422 chars)
Step inside and discover a beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2 full bath home designed for comfort, space, and style. Whether you're a growing family or a professional in need of a dedicated home office, this home fits your lifestyle perfectly. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining and family room—ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a standout, complete with granite countertops, a walk-in pantry, island with four bar stools, stainless steel appliances featuring a microwave, dishwasher, garbage disposal, and refrigerator—perfect for preparing your favorite meals. The private owner’s suite is designed for relaxation, featuring dual vanities, a separate shower, and a luxurious garden tub to unwind after a long day. The walk-in closet even includes a 360-degree rotating shoe rack for added convenience. This home has been thoughtfully upgraded to offer both privacy and security, including a fully fenced backyard with a wooden privacy fence, along with exterior and interior camera systems. No need for laundromat anymore, the WASHER and DRYER remain with the home for your convenience. Move-in ready and waiting for you to start your next chapter! It is conveniently located just minutes from Robins Air Force Base. Zoned for Veterans High School District. SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 CLOSING COST WITH ACCEPTED OFFER!!
-
2026-03-30$285,000 Active 1422-char remark
Show marketing remark (1422 chars)
Step inside and discover a beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2 full bath home designed for comfort, space, and style. Whether you're a growing family or a professional in need of a dedicated home office, this home fits your lifestyle perfectly. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining and family room—ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a standout, complete with granite countertops, a walk-in pantry, island with four bar stools, stainless steel appliances featuring a microwave, dishwasher, garbage disposal, and refrigerator—perfect for preparing your favorite meals. The private owner’s suite is designed for relaxation, featuring dual vanities, a separate shower, and a luxurious garden tub to unwind after a long day. The walk-in closet even includes a 360-degree rotating shoe rack for added convenience. This home has been thoughtfully upgraded to offer both privacy and security, including a fully fenced backyard with a wooden privacy fence, along with exterior and interior camera systems. No need for laundromat anymore, the WASHER and DRYER remain with the home for your convenience. Move-in ready and waiting for you to start your next chapter! It is conveniently located just minutes from Robins Air Force Base. Zoned for Veterans High School District. SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 CLOSING COST WITH ACCEPTED OFFER!!
-
2026-03-30historical
Show marketing remark (1422 chars)
Step inside and discover a beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2 full bath home designed for comfort, space, and style. Whether you're a growing family or a professional in need of a dedicated home office, this home fits your lifestyle perfectly. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious kitchen that flows seamlessly into the dining and family room—ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a standout, complete with granite countertops, a walk-in pantry, island with four bar stools, stainless steel appliances featuring a microwave, dishwasher, garbage disposal, and refrigerator—perfect for preparing your favorite meals. The private owner’s suite is designed for relaxation, featuring dual vanities, a separate shower, and a luxurious garden tub to unwind after a long day. The walk-in closet even includes a 360-degree rotating shoe rack for added convenience. This home has been thoughtfully upgraded to offer both privacy and security, including a fully fenced backyard with a wooden privacy fence, along with exterior and interior camera systems. No need for laundromat anymore, the WASHER and DRYER remain with the home for your convenience. Move-in ready and waiting for you to start your next chapter! It is conveniently located just minutes from Robins Air Force Base. Zoned for Veterans High School District. SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 CLOSING COST WITH ACCEPTED OFFER!!
-
2025-10-29price $295,000
-
2025-10-29price $295,000
-
2025-08-09price $309,999
-
2025-08-09price $309,999
-
2025-07-07$314,999 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,903
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,275
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,312
- − Management
- −$2,312
- − HOA
- −$540
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$6,217
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,492
- After-tax cash flow
- $150/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with minimal repairs needed and has good potential for value increase through painting and landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding and adding a fresh coat of paint to the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the curb appeal and add value to the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding and adding a fresh coat of paint to the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Warner Robins
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #13290
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warner Robins, GA
- County
- Houston County · 157,321 people
- City population
- 92,102
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,063
- Household income
- $110,461
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 212.0
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.85%
- Current HPI
- 213.0605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.53%
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-9.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $285,000 CGMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $285,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $295,000 CGMLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $295,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-09 Price Changed $309,999 GAMLS
- 2025-08-09 Price Changed $309,999 CGMLS
- 2025-07-07 Listed $314,999 GAMLS
Property tax history
+23.6%/yrLatest (2023): $364 · +23.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…