CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2652 Hubbard St Multi-family
C Composite 56.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$999,000

2652 Hubbard St · New York, NY 11235
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,750 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1935 2,043 sqft lot Est $926k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy 2 family brick home with 2 bedrooms apartment over 1 bedroom apartment, large private backyard for BBQ with family and friends, Built in garage with carport. The house is conveniently located near Coney island hospital, Coney island avenue shopping, restaurants, B and Q train station is just short distance away. Building size: 22x46 and lot 22x100. Tax :$4,645.

Key facts

  • 2,043 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1935

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: 220-volt electric service
  • Home design: Multi-family property with 2 total units; 2 stories; Approximate year built
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Lot dimensions about 21.5 x 95; Zoned R4

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms (level 1); Unit 2: 3 bedrooms (level 2)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (total); 2 half bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; Cooling provided by individual units
  • Interior features: Air conditioning units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $999k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $999k).
  • Recommended offer: $939k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,427/mo this rent would consume 210% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 7823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($939k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $599k; list at $999k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $939,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.63%
Cash-on-cash
8.34%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$925,750
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2862 Brighton 3rd St 0.33mi 6/4.0 (+1) 1,800 (+3%) 0mo $790,000 $439 70
2807 Brighton 8th St 0.26mi 6/3.0 (+1) 1,786 (+2%) 21mo $945,000 $529 62
2922 Brighton 12th St 0.48mi 5/2.0 1,831 (+5%) 13mo $868,000 $474 55
3013 Brighton 2nd St 0.52mi 5/3.0 1,776 (+2%) 23mo $875,000 $493 54
477 Avenue Y 0.35mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,856 (+6%) 13mo $800,000 $431 54
2948 Brighton 1 St 0.48mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,561 (-11%) 2mo $930,000 $596 53
2501 Hubbard St 0.23mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (+14%) 8mo $995,000 $498 50
2375 E 12th St 0.49mi 4/11.5 (-1) 1,800 (+3%) 3mo $1,058,000 $588 50
101 Corbin Pl 0.63mi 4/3.5 (-1) 1,720 (-2%) 15mo $1,085,000 $631 48
2534 Coney Island Ave 0.64mi 6/3.0 (+1) 1,870 (+7%) 7mo $1,100,000 $588 48
2210 E 12th St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,673 (-4%) 7mo $975,000 $583 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-16,516
Equity at exit
$148,954
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$237,504
Equity at exit
$86,375

Cash invested: $279,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11235

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
521
Price-to-rent
31.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,427 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,239
Tax from tax record
$639 /mo · $7,672/yr
Insurance
$416
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,190
Net cashflow
$1,943

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,968
Max offer price $999,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,508 -5% $2,226 +0% $1,943 +5% $1,660 +10% $1,377
Rent -10% $1,119 -5% $1,531 +0% $1,943 +5% $2,355 +10% $2,767
Rate -1.0pp $2,446 -0.5pp $2,197 base $1,943 +0.5pp $1,684 +1.0pp $1,421

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $10,427

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$249,750
Closing costs
$29,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $999,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $999,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $999,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $999,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $999,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $999,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $999,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $999,000 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $999,000 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $999,000 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $999,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-03-30
    listed $999,000 Active
  13. 2015-01-03
    soldstatus $599,000
  14. 2014-10-12
    listed $599,000 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Cozy 2 family brick home with 2 bedrooms apartment over 1 bedroom apartment, large private backyard for BBQ with family and friends, Built in garage with carport. The house is conveniently located near Coney island hospital, Coney island avenue shopping, restaurants, B and Q train station is just short distance away. Building size: 22x46 and lot 22x100. Tax :$4,645.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,672 · $639/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,277 · $1,023/mo
Expected delta
+$4,606/yr (+$384/mo · 60.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$125,124
− Mortgage interest
−$55,960
− Property taxes
−$7,672
− Insurance
−$4,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,010
− Management
−$10,010
− Depreciation
−$29,062
Taxable income
$7,416
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,780
After-tax cash flow
$21,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
78,558
Household income
$59,661
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
7823.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Asian 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 15% Subsaharan African 12% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
63% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
24% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 48% Chinese 7% Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.73%
Current HPI
303.6714
Rent YoY
▲ 5.04%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $999,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2015-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $599,000 Public Records
  • 2014-10-12 Listed $599,000 BNYMLS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,672 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…