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615 E Buchanan St
B+ Composite 75.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

615 E Buchanan St · Litchfield, IL 62056
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 915 sqft · SingleFamily · 12 Days on market
Built 1905 6,608 sqft lot Est $105k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute, cozy, and full of potential! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offers a functional layout with a good sized living room, roomy dining area, and a kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The wheelchair-accessible ramp provides easy entry, while the covered side area and mature shade tree add extra charm outside. You’ll love the large detached garage—perfect for storage, projects, hobbies, or keeping all the “I’ll use this someday” items organized. The home also features a main level laundry area and a bathroom with recent renovations. All plumbing and water lines under the home have been updated. Affordable and ready for you!

Key facts

  • Covered side area
  • Mature shade tree
  • Recent renovations

Tags

WHEELCHAIR-ACCESSIBLE RAMPCOVERED SIDE AREAMATURE SHADE TREELARGE DETACHED GARAGEMAIN LEVEL LAUNDRY AREARECENT RENOVATIONS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 915 (above grade); Property type: Residential
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No home warranty indicated; Seller may consider concessions

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 131

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen (15x10)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level (10x11 and 10x10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level (8x5)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas oven; Refrigerator; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($874 rent vs $55k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.5% in Litchfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#448 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Litchfield CUSD 12 (town): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #359 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Park Elem School (179 students, 0% FRL); Litchfield Middle School (math 12% / reading 43%, grade F, #295 of 665 statewide, top 45%, 246 students, 0% FRL); Litchfield Senior High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 411 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.09%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,225
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
821 S Chestnut St 0.13mi 2/1.0 871 (-5%) 6mo $116,900 $134 81
614 E Tyler Ave 0.09mi 2/1.0 811 (-11%) 1mo $82,000 $101 76
124 W Buchanan St 0.42mi 2/1.0 884 (-3%) 4mo $27,000 $31 71
405 S Van Buren St 0.24mi 1/1.0 (-1) 934 (+2%) 14mo $70,000 $75 69
708 S Jefferson St 0.46mi 2/1.0 864 (-6%) 2mo $99,000 $115 68
818 S Franklin St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,043 (+14%) 2mo $129,900 $125 64
832 S Franklin St 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,000 (+9%) 14mo $110,000 $110 61
705 N Locust St 0.71mi 2/1.0 888 (-3%) 2mo $102,000 $115 60
430 S Jackson St 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+13%) 9mo $123,500 $119 60
128 E Columbia St 0.29mi 2/1.0 778 (-15%) 13mo $20,000 $26 51
909 N Chestnut St 0.74mi 2/1.0 980 (+7%) 9mo $99,900 $102 46
702 N Franklin St 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,026 (+12%) 13mo $169,000 $165 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$5,124
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$22,728
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62056

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$874 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,915/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $596
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $250 -5% $235 +0% $219 +5% $204 +10% $188
Rent -10% $150 -5% $185 +0% $219 +5% $254 +10% $288
Rate -1.0pp $247 -0.5pp $233 base $219 +0.5pp $205 +1.0pp $191

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-05-27
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,915 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,915 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,484
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$1,915
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$839
− Management
−$839
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$1,936
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$465
After-tax cash flow
$2,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Litchfield CUSD 12
NCES district ID
1723250
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,133
Composite
20.91/100
National rank
#8485
State rank
#359 of 620 in IL

Livability — Litchfield

Score
68/100
State rank
#448
US rank
#9263

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Litchfield, IL
City population
8,591
Population (ZIP)
8,591

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,471 people
By 2030
26,410 · -3.9%
By 2040
24,233 · -11.8%
By 2050
21,948 · -20.1%
By 2075
16,686 · -39.3%
By 2100
11,369 · -58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.1% · R 71.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-46.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.86%
Current HPI
149.5766
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,915 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…