Fourplex
427 E 27th St · Ogden, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.7/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Water heaters
- Furnaces
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: Multi-Family
- Financial info: Four-unit building; Unit rents reported: Unit 1 $1,200; Unit 2 $1,250; Unit 3 $2,540; Unit 4 $1,475
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered open parking; Total of 8 parking spaces (all open)
- Security: Secured building; Fire alarm
- Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Public sewer available and connected; Water available and connected (culinary)
- Home design: Multi-family property; 2 stories; Faces north; Residential use
- Construction: Built in 2020; Aluminum construction materials; Built/standing condition
- Exterior features: Double-pane windows; Secured building; Automatic full sprinkler system; Mountain view; Landscaping: full; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Updated kitchen; Garbage disposal; Free-standing range/oven
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 1 bedroom; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms; Unit 3: 2 bedrooms; Unit 4: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Unit 2: 1 bathroom; Unit 3: 1 bathroom; Unit 4: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas central heating
- Interior features: Fire alarm; Garbage disposal; Updated kitchen; Free-standing range/oven; Drapes; Carpet flooring; Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×1bd/1ba + 3×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $799k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-405/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $565k (29.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $494k (38.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $494k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in UT, #810 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Ogden City District (urban): math 25% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #72 of 80 in UT (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: James Madison School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #570 of 585 statewide, top 98%, 321 students, 99% FRL); Mound Fort Junior High (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #116 of 138 statewide, top 85%, 627 students, 98% FRL); Ogden High (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #137 of 171 statewide, top 81%, 1,128 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,940/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 1027% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($751k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.68%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 13.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-235,337
- Equity at exit
- $119,133
- IRR
- -40.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.56×
- Total profit
- $-348,839
- Equity at exit
- $69,083
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84401
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 461
- Price-to-rent
- 59.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,940 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$999 /mo · $11,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,037
- Net cashflow
- $-1,619
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,128 |
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $3,813 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,271 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,271 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,271 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,940 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $799,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $799,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $799,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $799,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $799,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $799,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $799,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $799,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $799,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $799,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $799,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $799,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $799,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $809,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $809,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $809,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-04-03$809,000 Active
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2023-08-23soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
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2023-07-24status Under Contract 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2023-07-13price $799,000 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2023-07-05$819,000 Active 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2020-10-14soldstatus Sold 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2020-08-19status Under Contract 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
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2020-08-13price $509,900 31-char remark
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2020-07-06$529,900 Active 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $59,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$11,985
- − Insurance
- −$3,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,742
- − Management
- −$4,742
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable loss
- −$34,185
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $-11,225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 4-plex investment property is in excellent condition with recent renovations, making it move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental purposes.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and rental value
- Both painting — fresh paint can improve curb appeal and rental value
- Both upgrading light fixtures — modern light fixtures can improve curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both painting — fresh paint can improve curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both upgrading light fixtures — modern light fixtures can improve curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ogden City District
- NCES district ID
- 4900720
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,974
- Composite
- 23.76/100
- National rank
- #7818
- State rank
- #72 of 80 in UT
Livability — Ogden
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #810
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ogden, UT
- County
- Weber County · 260,557 people
- City population
- 152,611
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,303
- Household income
- $80,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1027.0
Population outlook (Weber County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 274,329 people
- By 2030
- 288,577 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 314,848 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 338,710 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 384,412 · +40.1%
- By 2100
- 409,305 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weber
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 36.8% · R 60.3% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.29%
- Current HPI
- 302.8024
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.43%
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+52.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $809,000 WFRMLS
- 2023-08-23 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2023-07-24 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2023-07-13 Price Changed $799,000 WFRMLS
- 2023-07-05 Listed $819,000 WFRMLS
- 2020-10-14 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2020-08-19 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2020-08-13 Price Changed $509,900 WFRMLS
- 2020-07-06 Listed $529,900 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…