981 Le Baron St SW · Palm Bay, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$361,250
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Own your dream home with just $1,000 down--plus ALL closing costs paid when you use our preferred lender (excludes escrow & prepaids)! Welcome to the stunning ''Jack N' Jill'' model--this brand-new 4-bedroom, 3-bath home offers an open-concept layout designed for modern living. Enjoy a spacious great room, vaulted ceilings, upgraded flooring, and a bright formal dining area. The chef-inspired kitchen features a massive 10' island, soft-close cabinetry with crown molding, stainless steel appliances, and sleek black finishes. Two guest bedrooms share a convenient Jack & Jill bath--perfect for families! Relax in your private primary suite with a soaking tub, separate shower, and la
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Huge island
- Soft close cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $361k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-528 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (21.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (31.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jupiter Elementary School (math 41% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,437 of 2,144 statewide, top 68%, 732 students, 68% FRL); Central Middle School (math 50% / reading 48%, grade C-, #265 of 571 statewide, top 48%, 1,127 students, 53% FRL); Heritage High School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 2,007 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 43% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 1020 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($350k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.27%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-96,367
- Equity at exit
- $53,864
- IRR
- -37.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.42×
- Total profit
- $-143,805
- Equity at exit
- $31,234
Cash invested: $101,150 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32908
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 1020
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,491 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,894
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$452 /mo · $5,419/yr
- Insurance
- −$151
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $-528
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-279 | -5% $-404 | +0% $-528 | +5% $-653 | +10% $-778 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-725 | -5% $-627 | +0% $-528 | +5% $-430 | +10% $-332 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-346 | -0.5pp $-436 | base $-528 | +0.5pp $-622 | +1.0pp $-717 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,312
- Closing costs
- $10,838
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 746 Harriet Ave SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2155 | $2,550 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1037 Garvey Rd SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1850 | $2,516 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1023 Garvey Rd SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,296 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| Town Rd SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 591 Darien Ave SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2076 | $2,750 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1133 Hanover Ave SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1804 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 436 Wimpole Ln SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1806 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 497 Schenley St SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $1,995 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 340 Wendover Rd SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2052 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1850 Jupiter Blvd SW Unit 20 Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2203 | $2,200 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 487 Wiltshire Ave SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 271 Wendover Rd SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,900 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 356 Garbelmann St SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1850 | $2,121 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 263 Trilby Rd SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 191 Turk Rd SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,485 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 726 Scotten Ave SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,970 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1091 Wing Rd SW Palm Bay, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
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2026-04-10status Active
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2026-04-09historical
-
2026-04-01price $361,250
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2026-03-14price $360,250
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2026-02-21$355,250 Active
-
1997-10-17soldstatus $847,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,236
- − Property taxes
- −$5,419
- − Insurance
- −$1,806
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,392
- − Management
- −$2,392
- − Depreciation
- −$10,509
- Taxable loss
- −$12,857
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,086
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,255/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Bay
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #6458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Bay, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 132,211
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,535
- Household income
- $79,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 112.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 20% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Estonian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.22%
- Current HPI
- 330.0399
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.29%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-57.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — SCMLS
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $361,250 SCMLS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $360,250 SCMLS
- 2026-02-21 Listed $355,250 SCMLS
- 1997-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $847,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…