1009 8th St · Portland, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Attached garage
- Single-level living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with two spaces (27x26)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One story; Entry level: Main
- Construction: Block foundation; Foundation dimensions 45x24; Built area includes above- and below-grade levels
- Exterior features: Metal exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Main-floor dining area; Main-floor living room; Main-floor full bathroom; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (24.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#96 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- May-Port Cg 14 (rural): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #19 of 53 in ND (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Peter Boe Jr Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #39 of 236 statewide, top 21%, 262 students, 21% FRL); May-Port Cg Middle School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #24 of 35 statewide, top 71%, 114 students, 18% FRL); May-Port Cg High School (math 24% / reading 64%, grade F, #33 of 144 statewide, top 32%, 132 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Traill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Traill County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.96%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $26,332
- Equity at exit
- $77,737
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $84,216
- Equity at exit
- $135,195
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58274
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,019 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,608/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $-93
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-17 | -5% $-55 | +0% $-93 | +5% $-131 | +10% $-170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-174 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-93 | +5% $-53 | +10% $-13 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-25 | -0.5pp $-59 | base $-93 | +0.5pp $-128 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02$135,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,608 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,608 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,227
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,608
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$978
- − Management
- −$978
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$3,501
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$840
- After-tax cash flow
- $-278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- May-Port Cg 14
- NCES district ID
- 3800041
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,978
- Composite
- 39.53/100
- National rank
- #3944
- State rank
- #19 of 53 in ND
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #8317
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 895
Population outlook (Traill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,107 people
- By 2030
- 8,099 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 8,151 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 8,384 · +3.4%
- By 2075
- 9,868 · +21.7%
- By 2100
- 12,181 · +50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 46% Scottish 5% Iranian 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Traill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.3% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.8pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.7 2008: D+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.15%
- Current HPI
- 127.9784
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $135,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,608 · -31.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…