410 Taylor St St · Lynchburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Historic home with incredible potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property is a fantastic opportunity for first-time home buyers looking to build equity or investors seeking their next project. With a newer metal roof (2024), the heavy lifting has started. This home offers oil heat for reliable comfort and a recently added rock patio with cinder blocks, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A new shed provides additional storage space. Situated on two parcels (410 & 408 Taylor Street), this property offers private space. While the home could benefit from additional improvements, it offers a great opportunity to customize and add value. Conveniently located near downtown Lynchburg, this
Key facts
- Two parcels
- Rock patio
- Newer metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax: $655
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood and wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Hardwood and wood flooring
- Laundry & utility: No laundry in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $655 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.0% in Lynchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in VA, #58 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
- Lynchburg City Public School District (urban): math 36% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #104 of 131 in VA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bedford Hills Elementary (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #794 of 1,108 statewide, top 74%, 383 students, 98% FRL); Linkhorne Middle (math 36% / reading 64%, grade C, #231 of 342 statewide, top 69%, 586 students, 95% FRL); E.C. Glass High (math 42% / reading 84%, grade B-, #223 of 319 statewide, top 70%, 1,325 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 61% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 472 units permitted in Lynchburg city in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,608/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1717% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lynchburg County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $99k implies a 633% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1820 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1820 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.36%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,008
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -36.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 Fillmore St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (+3%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $15 | 75 |
| 1011 Polk St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,547 (-2%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $74 | 70 |
| 1001 Jackson St | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 | 1,569 (-1%) | 11mo | $92,000 | $59 | 69 |
| 1206 10th St | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 1,605 (+1%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $125 | 68 |
| 623 Monroe St | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,536 (-3%) | 11mo | $172,500 | $112 | 66 |
| 1626 Caroline St | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 | 1,516 (-4%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $33 | 66 |
| 1012 Monroe St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,546 (-2%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $126 | 65 |
| 1109 Harrison St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,650 (+4%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $161 | 58 |
| 1006 Buchanan St | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,645 (+4%) | 1mo | $239,000 | $145 | 57 |
| 84 Polk St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-11%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $132 | 56 |
| 1205 Fillmore St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,370 (-14%) | 3mo | $47,500 | $35 | 43 |
| 1321 Taylor St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,806 (+14%) | 6mo | $136,000 | $75 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $22,733
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $61,839
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24501
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,608 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $654/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $655
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $711 | -5% $683 | +0% $655 | +5% $627 | +10% $599 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $528 | -5% $592 | +0% $655 | +5% $719 | +10% $782 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $705 | -0.5pp $680 | base $655 | +0.5pp $630 | +1.0pp $603 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 Polk St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,295 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 601 Jackson St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,595 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1008 8th St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,795 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 812 Taylor St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,950 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 800 Pierce St Lynchburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1714 | $1,295 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 900 Polk St Unit A Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1110 11th St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $1,450 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 209 Munford St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1420 | $1,497 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1105 Fillmore St Unit B Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 507 Victoria Ave Unit 507 Lynchburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1316 Harrison St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1535 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1415 Floyd St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1401 Kemper St Lynchburg, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,167 | $1.04 | 21d | 6 | 0.79mi |
| 1521 Taylor St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,195 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1514 Fillmore St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 630 Park Ln Lynchburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1434 | $1,895 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1518 Fillmore St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1308 16th St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,800 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1701 Grace St Lynchburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2173 | $1,495 | $0.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 403 Grove St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2245 Landover Pl Lynchburg, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 925 | $965 | $1.04 | 44d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 2269 Aragon St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 520 Elmwood Ave Lynchburg, VA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 320 Kenyon St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $1,595 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2920 Richmond St Lynchburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1472 | $1,695 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1808 Rivermont Ave Apt B Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2202 Hollins Mill Rd Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2121 Langhorne Rd Unit 11011559SF 3BR/2BA Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1559 | $1,695 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1014 Landon Ct Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2168 | $2,495 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $99,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $100,000 840-char remark
-
2026-04-23$125,000 Active 840-char remark
-
2025-11-11price $95,000
-
2025-10-31status Active
-
2025-10-24status Pending
-
2025-10-07$99,099 Active
-
1995-05-01soldstatus $13,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $654 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $812 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$157/yr (+$13/mo · 24.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$654
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,544
- − Management
- −$1,544
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $6,632
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,592
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lynchburg City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102340
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,097
- Composite
- 40.4/100
- National rank
- #3730
- State rank
- #104 of 131 in VA
Livability — Lynchburg
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #58
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lynchburg, VA
- County
- Lynchburg City · 97,036 people
- City population
- 97,036
- Metro
- Lynchburg, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,006
- Household income
- $42,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1717.0
Population outlook (Lynchburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,977 people
- By 2030
- 93,626 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 106,145 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 120,783 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 162,249 · +84.4%
- By 2100
- 191,358 · +117.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 34% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lynchburg
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: D+2.6 2016: R+9.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.06%
- Current HPI
- 223.6839
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Lynchburg, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+633.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $99,000 LMLS
- 2026-06-09 Listed $100,000 LMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $100,000 LMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $125,000 LMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $95,000 LMLS
- 2025-10-31 Relisted — LMLS
- 2025-10-24 Pending — LMLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $99,099 LMLS
- 1995-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $654 · +85.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…