2423 2425 N Kerth Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$122,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
Key facts
- Off street parking
- New flooring
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel off-street parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story; Approximately 1,400 above-grade finished area; Subdivision: Diamond Villa
- Construction: Shingle siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as site-built construction
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Electric range; One fireplace; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Electric dryer hookup on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Evans School (math 9% / reading 7%, grade F, #945 of 994 statewide, top 95%, 499 students, 85% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.51%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,600
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2576 2580 Stanley Ct | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (+7%) | 5mo | $134,000 | $89 | 68 |
| 2912 N Bedford Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,383 (-1%) | 13mo | $75,000 | $54 | 55 |
| 936 Tulip Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,559 (+11%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $115 | 49 |
| 1820 Haven Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,376 (-2%) | 19mo | $175,000 | $127 | 44 |
| 706 Reis Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,516 (+8%) | 20mo | $82,000 | $54 | 33 |
| 1916 Haven Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,579 (+13%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $79 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-949
- Equity at exit
- $18,325
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $40,097
- Equity at exit
- $10,626
Cash invested: $34,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47711
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$154 /mo · $1,844/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $300 | -5% $258 | +0% $215 | +5% $173 | +10% $130 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $109 | -5% $162 | +0% $215 | +5% $269 | +10% $322 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $277 | -0.5pp $247 | base $215 | +0.5pp $183 | +1.0pp $151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,725
- Closing costs
- $3,687
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 Vanderburgh Ave Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4135 Highway 41 N Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 109 E Eichel Ave Unit B Evansville, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,257 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 121 E Florida St Evansville, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1702 | $100 | $0.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 913 N Spring St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,350 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-16status $122,900 Pending 150 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $122,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $122,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $122,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $122,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $122,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $122,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $122,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $122,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $122,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $122,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $122,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $123,900
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-05-05price $123,900 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-03-05price $124,900
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-03-05price $124,900 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-02-27price $131,500
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-02-27price $131,500 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-02-11price $132,500
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-02-11price $132,500 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-01-16$134,900 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
-
2026-01-16$134,900 Active
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 4 bed, 2 Full bath duplex offers a convenient location close to dining and public transportation. Each unit of this duplex offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, living room, and spacious kitchen. New flooring, updated bathroom, washer & dryer hookups, off street parking and much more!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,884
- − Property taxes
- −$1,844
- − Insurance
- −$614
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$3,575
- Taxable income
- $667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,944
- Household income
- $66,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.98%
- Current HPI
- 205.62
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-8.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $123,900 IRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $123,900 IRMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $124,900 IRMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $124,900 IRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $131,500 IRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $131,500 IRMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $132,500 IRMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $132,500 IRMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $134,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $134,900 IRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…