CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
204 S Erie St
B- Composite 67.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$92,500

204 S Erie St · Antwerp, OH 45813
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,172 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1910 6,621 sqft lot Est $125k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move in ready home 2 blocks from downtown Antwerp. new vinyl siding, shingles, and wood deck. there is a lean-to on the backside of the home for extra storage

Key facts

  • Wood deck
  • Extra storage
  • Vinyl siding

Tags

VINYL SIDINGWOOD DECKEXTRA STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking for 4 vehicles; Gravel parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer (sanitary); Internet available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels / 2 stories; No attached units / no common walls
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Year built (public records)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Corner lot; City street frontage; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric range connection
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the upper level; Second bedroom on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (1.5 total bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms; Family room on the main level; Dining area / mudroom on the main level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (main level); Electric dryer hookup; Washer and Dryer included; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#566 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Antwerp Local (rural): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #158 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Antwerp Local Elementary School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #272 of 1,584 statewide, top 19%, 348 students, 0% FRL); Antwerp Local Middle School (math 67% / reading 62%, grade A-, #205 of 654 statewide, top 34%, 155 students, 0% FRL); Antwerp Local High School (math 54% / reading 77%, grade B, #158 of 781 statewide, top 20%, 169 students, 98% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 22 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $640 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Paulding County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,950 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.68%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$125,404
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204 S Erie St 0.00mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,172 (0%) 1mo $95,000 $81 92
106 Buffalo St 0.23mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,138 (-3%) 2mo $205,000 $180 76
210 N Main St 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,267 (+8%) 9mo $135,000 $107 66
307 N Main St 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,160 (-1%) 19mo $175,000 $151 60
403 Park Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,292 (+10%) 2mo $236,000 $183 56
107 W Woodcox St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,242 (+6%) 24mo $85,000 $68 56
101 S Madison St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,043 (-11%) 10mo $139,900 $134 55
407 W River St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,251 (+7%) 23mo $62,450 $50 50
410 W Daggett St 0.36mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,328 (+13%) 16mo $30,000 $23 42
412 W River St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,339 (+14%) 18mo $108,000 $81 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,073
Equity at exit
$13,792
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$12,606
Equity at exit
$7,998

Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45813

Home prices YoY
-22.6%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$970 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$485
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $663/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $733
Max offer price $92,500
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $240 -5% $214 +0% $187 +5% $161 +10% $135
Rent -10% $111 -5% $149 +0% $187 +5% $226 +10% $264
Rate -1.0pp $234 -0.5pp $211 base $187 +0.5pp $163 +1.0pp $139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,125
Closing costs
$2,775
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
601 Park Ave Antwerp, OH 2.0 2.0 950 $970 $1.02 22d 1 0.56mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-02
    historical Contingent
  2. 2026-03-24
    listed $92,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$663 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,053 · $88/mo
Expected delta
+$390/yr (+$33/mo · 58.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,640
− Mortgage interest
−$5,181
− Property taxes
−$663
− Insurance
−$462
− Repairs & maintenance
−$931
− Management
−$931
− Depreciation
−$2,691
Taxable income
$780
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$187
After-tax cash flow
$2,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Antwerp Local
NCES district ID
3904899
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$49,173
Composite
58.88/100
National rank
#972
State rank
#158 of 656 in OH

Livability — Antwerp

Score
68/100
State rank
#566
US rank
#9710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Antwerp, OH
County
Paulding · 17,531 people
Population (ZIP)
3,492
Household income
$67,614
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
19.2

Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,539 people
By 2030
16,627 · -5.2%
By 2040
14,716 · -16.1%
By 2050
12,853 · -26.7%
By 2075
9,142 · -47.9%
By 2100
6,313 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Paulding

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.4% · R 77.7%
2008→2024 swing
-44.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -56.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.2 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.56%
Current HPI
186.8307
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent NORIS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $92,500 NORIS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $663 · +33.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…