204 S Erie St · Antwerp, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move in ready home 2 blocks from downtown Antwerp. new vinyl siding, shingles, and wood deck. there is a lean-to on the backside of the home for extra storage
Key facts
- Wood deck
- Extra storage
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 4 vehicles; Gravel parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer (sanitary); Internet available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels / 2 stories; No attached units / no common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Year built (public records)
- Exterior features: Deck; Corner lot; City street frontage; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric range connection
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the upper level; Second bedroom on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (1.5 total bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms; Family room on the main level; Dining area / mudroom on the main level
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (main level); Electric dryer hookup; Washer and Dryer included; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#566 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Antwerp Local (rural): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #158 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Antwerp Local Elementary School (math 77% / reading 72%, grade A, #272 of 1,584 statewide, top 19%, 348 students, 0% FRL); Antwerp Local Middle School (math 67% / reading 62%, grade A-, #205 of 654 statewide, top 34%, 155 students, 0% FRL); Antwerp Local High School (math 54% / reading 77%, grade B, #158 of 781 statewide, top 20%, 169 students, 98% FRL).
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 22 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $640 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Paulding County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.68%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,404
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 S Erie St | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,172 (0%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $81 | 92 |
| 106 Buffalo St | 0.23mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,138 (-3%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $180 | 76 |
| 210 N Main St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,267 (+8%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $107 | 66 |
| 307 N Main St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-1%) | 19mo | $175,000 | $151 | 60 |
| 403 Park Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (+10%) | 2mo | $236,000 | $183 | 56 |
| 107 W Woodcox St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,242 (+6%) | 24mo | $85,000 | $68 | 56 |
| 101 S Madison St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,043 (-11%) | 10mo | $139,900 | $134 | 55 |
| 407 W River St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,251 (+7%) | 23mo | $62,450 | $50 | 50 |
| 410 W Daggett St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+13%) | 16mo | $30,000 | $23 | 42 |
| 412 W River St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,339 (+14%) | 18mo | $108,000 | $81 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,073
- Equity at exit
- $13,792
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $12,606
- Equity at exit
- $7,998
Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45813
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $970 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$485
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $663/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $187
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $240 | -5% $214 | +0% $187 | +5% $161 | +10% $135 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $111 | -5% $149 | +0% $187 | +5% $226 | +10% $264 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $234 | -0.5pp $211 | base $187 | +0.5pp $163 | +1.0pp $139 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,125
- Closing costs
- $2,775
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 601 Park Ave Antwerp, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $970 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-02historical Contingent
-
2026-03-24$92,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $663 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,053 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- +$390/yr (+$33/mo · 58.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,181
- − Property taxes
- −$663
- − Insurance
- −$462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$931
- − Management
- −$931
- − Depreciation
- −$2,691
- Taxable income
- $780
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$187
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,062/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Antwerp Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904899
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,173
- Composite
- 58.88/100
- National rank
- #972
- State rank
- #158 of 656 in OH
Livability — Antwerp
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #566
- US rank
- #9710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Antwerp, OH
- County
- Paulding · 17,531 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,492
- Household income
- $67,614
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19.2
Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,539 people
- By 2030
- 16,627 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 14,716 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 12,853 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 9,142 · -47.9%
- By 2100
- 6,313 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Paulding
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.4% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.56%
- Current HPI
- 186.8307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — NORIS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $92,500 NORIS
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $663 · +33.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…