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126 Armory Dr
B+ Composite 75.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$312,000

126 Armory Dr · Lewisburg, TN 37091
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,004 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1954 0.59 ac lot Est $407k · 23% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

Key facts

  • 0.59 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1954

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $312k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $312k).
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.6% in Lewisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#284 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall County (rural): math 31% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #58 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marshall Co High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #117 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 815 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 400 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marshall County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $312,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
14.22%
Cash-on-cash
28.31%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$406,812
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1183 Finley Beech Rd 0.61mi 3/2.5 1,960 (-2%) 3mo $370,000 $189 64
3016 Cambridge Ct 0.62mi 3/2.5 2,025 (+1%) 12mo $415,000 $205 57
1195 Finley Beech Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,922 (-4%) 12mo $390,000 $203 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$80,599
Equity at exit
$46,520
10-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
3.73×
Total profit
$238,824
Equity at exit
$26,976

Cash invested: $87,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37091

Home prices YoY
-14.6%
Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,636
Tax from tax record
$123 /mo · $1,478/yr
Insurance
$130
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,050
Net cashflow
$2,061

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,392
Max offer price $312,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,000
Closing costs
$9,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
335 E Hill Ave Lewisburg, TN 3.0 2.0 1800 $5,000 $2.78 43d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-03-20
    listed $312,000
  2. 2026-03-19
    historical
  3. 2026-02-14
    historical 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  4. 2026-02-04
    price $311,400 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  5. 2025-12-04
    status Active 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  6. 2025-11-21
    historical Active Under Contract 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  7. 2025-11-12
    price $311,900 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  8. 2025-10-17
    price $314,900 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  9. 2025-09-24
    price $319,900 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  10. 2025-09-10
    price $324,900 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  11. 2025-09-02
    price $329,900 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

  12. 2025-08-19
    listed $339,900 Active 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Move-in ready - This beautiful, 3BR, 2BA home is situated on a large lot with mature trees and is only a few minutes from anywhere in town. Renovations completed within the past few years include a kitchen makeover, a two-car carport, a concrete driveway, and replacement windows. Kitchen appliances, along with the washer and dryer, will remain with the house. Other features include a large primary bedroom with ensuite, a covered patio overlooking the fenced back yard, and a comfortable Florida room - perfect for reading and relaxing. The seller maintains a pest contract with Cook's Pest Control. The security system will remain with the home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,478 · $123/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,215 · $185/mo
Expected delta
+$737/yr (+$61/mo · 49.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$60,000
− Mortgage interest
−$17,477
− Property taxes
−$1,478
− Insurance
−$1,560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,800
− Management
−$4,800
− Depreciation
−$9,076
Taxable income
$20,809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,994
After-tax cash flow
$19,734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County
NCES district ID
4702670
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,058
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7426
State rank
#58 of 139 in TN

Livability — Lewisburg

Score
59/100
State rank
#284
US rank
#20031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lewisburg, TN
Population (ZIP)
23,991

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,222 people
By 2030
33,867 · +1.9%
By 2040
34,743 · +4.6%
By 2050
34,954 · +5.2%
By 2075
34,652 · +4.3%
By 2100
31,862 · -4.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.6) · D 21.2% · R 77.8%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -56.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.6 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+39.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.86%
Current HPI
350.5306
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $312,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-14 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $311,400 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-04 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $311,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $314,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $319,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $324,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $329,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $339,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,478 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…