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2452 Thrasher Ave
B- Composite 65.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

2452 Thrasher Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 162 Days on market
Built 1954 8,712 sqft lot Est $57k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car carport, this home need some TLC . is being sold ASIS with a package of 11homes.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 161 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Southfield Elementary School (math 5% / reading 6%, grade F, #1,158 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 737 students, 100% FRL); Weaver Middle School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #439 of 470 statewide, top 94%, 909 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
16.67%
Cash-on-cash
37.05%
DSCR
2.65
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,024
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2431 Rosen Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 810 (+2%) 0mo $73,000 $90 91
2408 S Groveland Cir 0.33mi 3/1.0 792 (0%) 13mo $64,000 $81 74
5756 Satterfield Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 828 (+4%) 3mo $25,000 $30 69
4524 Dorset Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 864 (+9%) 1mo $58,000 $67 64
5770 Satterfield Dr 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 828 (+4%) 5mo $75,000 $91 62
2435 Adger Rd 0.14mi 4/1.0 (+1) 864 (+9%) 15mo $32,000 $37 61
5714 Satterfield Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 828 (+4%) 18mo $59,875 $72 56
5771 Satterfield Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 888 (+12%) 5mo $65,000 $73 53
5746 Sterling Pl 0.62mi 3/1.0 864 (+9%) 5mo $20,000 $23 52
5711 Sterling Pl 0.65mi 3/2.0 864 (+9%) 2mo $120,000 $139 49
5779 Satterfield Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 888 (+12%) 14mo $55,000 $62 46
2723 Reynolds Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 880 (+11%) 17mo $44,400 $50 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$25,621
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
42.9%
Equity multiple
5.45×
Total profit
$74,714
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,114 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $256/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$519

Break-even live

Break-even rent $457
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $553 -5% $536 +0% $519 +5% $502 +10% $485
Rent -10% $431 -5% $475 +0% $519 +5% $563 +10% $607
Rate -1.0pp $549 -0.5pp $534 base $519 +0.5pp $503 +1.0pp $487

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 14d 1 0.07mi
2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1056 $725 $0.69 44d 1 0.09mi
4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1104 $1,550 $1.40 22d 1 0.16mi
4331 Ashland Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 44d 1 0.18mi
2459 Vivian Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 792 $850 $1.07 14d 1 0.20mi
2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1056 $1,150 $1.09 44d 1 0.21mi
4386 Thrasher Cir Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,400 $1.25 44d 1 0.28mi
5771 Satterfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 888 $1,250 $1.41 44d 1 0.47mi
2641 Leone Dr N Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 44d 1 0.49mi
2665 Chatsworth Ct Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,175 $1.11 44d 1 0.55mi
5487 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 22d 1 0.62mi
5711 Sterling Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 22d 1 0.64mi
5708 Edwina Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 925 $1,275 $1.38 44d 1 0.67mi
2961 Deeb Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 44d 1 0.92mi
4069 Blair Ct Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $850 $0.98 44d 1 1.23mi
5161 Nisbet Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1040 $975 $0.94 44d 1 1.32mi
4995 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 900 $997 $1.11 22d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $60,000 Active 162 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 158 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 153 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 152 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $60,000 Active 151 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $60,000 Back On Market 150 DOM
  12. 2026-04-10
    historical Active Under Contract 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  13. 2026-04-10
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  14. 2026-04-10
    status Pending 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  15. 2026-03-12
    status Active 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car carport, this home need some TLC . is being sold ASIS with a package of 11homes.

  16. 2026-03-02
    historical 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car carport, this home need some TLC . is being sold ASIS with a package of 11homes.

  17. 2026-02-20
    status Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car carport, this home need some TLC . is being sold ASIS with a package of 11homes.

  18. 2026-02-20
    status Active 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car carport, this home need some TLC . is being sold ASIS with a package of 11homes.

  19. 2026-02-20
    status Back On Market
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car carport, this home need some TLC . is being sold ASIS with a package of 11homes.

  20. 2026-01-22
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  21. 2026-01-22
    historical Active Under Contract 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  22. 2026-01-22
    status Pending 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  23. 2025-10-15
    listed $60,000 Active 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  24. 2025-10-15
    listed $60,000 New
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  25. 2025-10-15
    listed $60,000 Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Nice home offering 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, large Kitchen and a huge living room the exterior offers a nice front yard and 1 car car port, this home need some TLC . is being sold AS IS with a package of 11 homes

  26. 2022-07-28
    soldstatus $430,000
  27. 2022-07-14
    soldstatus $840,000
  28. 2004-03-23
    soldstatus $43,500
  29. 2000-03-31
    soldstatus $40,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$256 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$552 · $46/mo
Expected delta
+$296/yr (+$25/mo · 115.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,363
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$256
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$5,563
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,335
After-tax cash flow
$4,890/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+47.1% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Contingent MGMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending CGMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted MGMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Delisted MGMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted CGMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted MGMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Contingent MGMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Pending CGMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $60,000 CGMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $60,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $60,000 MGMLS
  • 2022-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $430,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $840,000 Public Records
  • 2004-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
  • 2000-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $40,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $256 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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