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507 NW 39th Rd #114
D Composite 40.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

507 NW 39th Rd #114 · Gainesville, FL 32607
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 630 sqft · Condo public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1976 $261/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This beautiful 1 bed, 1 bath condo in Hawthorne Reserve is the perfect property for the up and coming professional looking to establish themselves in the Gainesville area. This spacious unit features wood laminate & tile floors, updated kitchen appliances, laundry room in unit, it''s own private patio, and not limited to. HOA amenities include a pool, tennis court, designated pet areas and more. Perfectly located in the Heart of Gainesville, this property is just minutes away from theUniversity of Florida, restaurants, shops, I-75 and more. This unit could also be a great opportunity for an investor looking to expand their portfolio as it is currently being rented at $850 per month. Come preview this treasure today! 5+ Units.

Key facts

  • Quick access to uf
  • Community amenities
  • First floor location

Tags

FIRST FLOOR LOCATIONPRIVATE FENCED BACK PATIOIN UNIT LAUNDRY CLOSETQUICK ACCESS TO UFCOMMUNITY AMENITIESOUTDOOR GRILLING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; Development: Hawthorne Reserve
  • Financial info: Total annual association fees $3,132; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly condo/association fee of $261 (includes pool, grounds maintenance, recreational facilities); Association name: Pamela Marietta; Community amenities: Fitness center, Pool, Tennis courts; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Condominium; One story; Entry on first floor; North-facing
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of building A
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Sliding doors; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room / dining room combo; Thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-756/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (9.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in FL, #1,480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Littlewood Elementary School (math 56% / reading 55%, grade C, #855 of 2,144 statewide, top 41%, 706 students, 48% FRL); Gainesville High School (math 48% / reading 57%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 1,873 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 245 active listings in the ZIP; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $92k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $103,865 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.35%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.8%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-25,524
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
-31.9%
Equity multiple
-0.20×
Total profit
$-38,606
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32607

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
245
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$182 /mo · $2,185/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$261
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$-63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,385
Max offer price $103,865
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$261 · $3,132/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 683-char remark
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    price $115,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
  19. 2026-05-01
    listed $125,000 Active 977-char remark
  20. 2023-04-26
    price $1,000
  21. 2021-08-23
    soldstatus $92,000
  22. 2021-08-16
    soldstatus $92,000 741-char remark
    Show marketing remark (741 chars)

    This beautiful 1 bed, 1 bath condo in Hawthorne Reserve is the perfect property for the up and coming professional looking to establish themselves in the Gainesville area. This spacious unit features wood laminate & tile floors, updated kitchen appliances, laundry room in unit, it''s own private patio, and not limited to. HOA amenities include a pool, tennis court, designated pet areas and more. Perfectly located in the Heart of Gainesville, this property is just minutes away from theUniversity of Florida, restaurants, shops, I-75 and more. This unit could also be a great opportunity for an investor looking to expand their portfolio as it is currently being rented at $850 per month. Come preview this treasure today! 5+ Units.

  23. 2021-07-31
    historical
  24. 2021-06-05
    listed $95,000 741-char remark
    Show marketing remark (741 chars)

    This beautiful 1 bed, 1 bath condo in Hawthorne Reserve is the perfect property for the up and coming professional looking to establish themselves in the Gainesville area. This spacious unit features wood laminate & tile floors, updated kitchen appliances, laundry room in unit, it''s own private patio, and not limited to. HOA amenities include a pool, tennis court, designated pet areas and more. Perfectly located in the Heart of Gainesville, this property is just minutes away from theUniversity of Florida, restaurants, shops, I-75 and more. This unit could also be a great opportunity for an investor looking to expand their portfolio as it is currently being rented at $850 per month. Come preview this treasure today! 5+ Units.

  25. 2021-06-05
    listed $95,000
    Show marketing remark (741 chars)

    This beautiful 1 bed, 1 bath condo in Hawthorne Reserve is the perfect property for the up and coming professional looking to establish themselves in the Gainesville area. This spacious unit features wood laminate & tile floors, updated kitchen appliances, laundry room in unit, it''s own private patio, and not limited to. HOA amenities include a pool, tennis court, designated pet areas and more. Perfectly located in the Heart of Gainesville, this property is just minutes away from theUniversity of Florida, restaurants, shops, I-75 and more. This unit could also be a great opportunity for an investor looking to expand their portfolio as it is currently being rented at $850 per month. Come preview this treasure today! 5+ Units.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,185 · $182/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,185 · $182/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,662
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$2,185
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,253
− Management
−$1,253
− HOA
−$3,132
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$2,524
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$606
After-tax cash flow
$-151/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alachua
NCES district ID
1200030
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,683
Composite
43.31/100
National rank
#3038
State rank
#30 of 73 in FL

Livability — Gainesville

Score
81/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#1480

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gainesville, FL
County
Alachua County · 218,005 people
City population
188,348
Metro
Gainesville, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,720
Household income
$45,987
Rent vs Own
66.0% rent · 34.0% own
Severe rent burden
3418.0

Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
289,834 people
By 2030
305,873 · +5.5%
By 2040
335,246 · +15.7%
By 2050
364,719 · +25.8%
By 2075
436,665 · +50.7%
By 2100
482,920 · +66.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alachua

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.86%
Current HPI
270.183
Rent YoY
▲ 0.60%
Metro
Gainesville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-26 Price Changed $1,000 RENT.
  • 2021-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-16 Sold (MLS) $92,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-05 Listed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-05 Listed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+16.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,185 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…