🏷️ Likely Rental
2125 Candy Ln · Brighton, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this one. Gorgeous 2024 manufactured home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and almost 1,700 square feet in the desirable Sylvan Glen Estates Manufactured Home Community. This spacious home features an open floor plan with 2 living areas, a beautiful kitchen with a large island and stainless steel appliances, and a private primary bathroom. A storage shed provides extra space for your tools and outdoor items. Pets are welcome, there are no property taxes, and low lot rent is just $650 per month. Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. BATAVI.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Storage shed
- Large island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.2% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#108 in MI, #2,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Howell Public Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #116 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.56%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $345,994
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -63.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2668 Canfield Trl | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,712 (+2%) | 22mo | $444,900 | $260 | 61 |
| 2852 Acre Hill Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,700 (+1%) | 18mo | $43,000 | $25 | 52 |
| 2656 Canfield Trl St | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,870 (+11%) | 12mo | $315,000 | $168 | 49 |
| 6738 Grand Beach Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,450 (-14%) | 19mo | $375,000 | $259 | 46 |
| 1776 S Hughes Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,570 (-6%) | 19mo | $701,200 | $447 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $45,842
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $125,130
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48114
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,406 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$505
- Net cashflow
- $1,037
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 71 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $125,000 670-char remark
Show marketing remark (670 chars)
Don't miss this one. Gorgeous 2024 manufactured home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and almost 1,700 square feet in the desirable Sylvan Glen Estates Manufactured Home Community. This spacious home features an open floor plan with 2 living areas, a beautiful kitchen with a large island and stainless steel appliances, and a private primary bathroom. A storage shed provides extra space for your tools and outdoor items. Pets are welcome, there are no property taxes, and low lot rent is just $650 per month. Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. BATAVI.
-
2026-04-13price $125,000 676-char remark
Show marketing remark (676 chars)
Don’t miss this one. Gorgeous 2024 manufactured home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and almost 1,700 square feet in the desirable Sylvan Glen Estates Manufactured Home Community. This spacious home features an open floor plan with 2 living areas, a beautiful kitchen with a large island and stainless steel appliances, and a private primary bathroom. A storage shed provides extra space for your tools and outdoor items. Pets are welcome, there are no property taxes, and low lot rent is just $650 per month. Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. BATAVI.
-
2026-03-20$129,900 Active 670-char remark
Show marketing remark (676 chars)
Don’t miss this one. Gorgeous 2024 manufactured home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and almost 1,700 square feet in the desirable Sylvan Glen Estates Manufactured Home Community. This spacious home features an open floor plan with 2 living areas, a beautiful kitchen with a large island and stainless steel appliances, and a private primary bathroom. A storage shed provides extra space for your tools and outdoor items. Pets are welcome, there are no property taxes, and low lot rent is just $650 per month. Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. BATAVI.
-
2026-03-20$129,900 Active 676-char remark
Show marketing remark (676 chars)
Don’t miss this one. Gorgeous 2024 manufactured home offering 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and almost 1,700 square feet in the desirable Sylvan Glen Estates Manufactured Home Community. This spacious home features an open floor plan with 2 living areas, a beautiful kitchen with a large island and stainless steel appliances, and a private primary bathroom. A storage shed provides extra space for your tools and outdoor items. Pets are welcome, there are no property taxes, and low lot rent is just $650 per month. Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. BATAVI.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,877
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,310
- − Management
- −$2,310
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $11,118
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,668
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This 2024 manufactured home in the Sylvan Glen Estates Manufactured Home Community is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It features an open floor plan, modern kitchen, and good curb appeal. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value
- Both update flooring — Carpet can be replaced with hardwood or tile for a more modern look and easier maintenance
- Both install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both update flooring — Carpet can be replaced with hardwood or tile for a more modern look and easier maintenance ↑
- Both install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Howell Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2618720
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,453
- Composite
- 41.42/100
- National rank
- #3473
- State rank
- #116 of 540 in MI
Livability — Brighton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #2621
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 27,289
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,476
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,920 people
- By 2030
- 209,173 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 216,878 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 217,485 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 217,590 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 197,095 · -2.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.14%
- Current HPI
- 199.3865
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-3.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…