49 Ridgecliff Dr · Richland, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 264461 Great fixer upper or flipper! Cute starter home with split bedroom design, vaulted ceilings, panoramic view, in quiet neighborhood. Some repairs needed leaving a perfect sweat equity opportunity. If youre handy or ready to take on a few small projects, this could be perfect for you, call your realtor today for a private showing.
Key facts
- Updated windows
- New hot water heater
- Brand-new heat pump
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 2.8% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#112 in WA, #2,258 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Richland School District (urban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #61 of 291 in WA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Marcus Whitman Elementary (484 students, 67% FRL); Enterprise Middle School (694 students, 36% FRL); Richland High School (2,137 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 573 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $130k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.42%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,950
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -5.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132 Windhaven Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (-0%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $89 | 86 |
| 162 Cedarwood Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (0%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $120 | 80 |
| 50 Ridgecliff Dr | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-8%) | 13mo | $132,000 | $111 | 75 |
| 83 Ridgecliff Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+8%) | 8mo | $99,900 | $71 | 72 |
| 58 Ridgecliff Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-8%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $114 | 71 |
| 692 Lonetree Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 7mo | $118,000 | $98 | 70 |
| 69 Ridgecliff Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (+2%) | 21mo | $132,000 | $100 | 70 |
| 36 Valleyview Cir | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,105 (-15%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $113 | 64 |
| 97 Ridgecliff Dr | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-14%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $116 | 58 |
| 77 Ridgecliff Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (+14%) | 14mo | $166,000 | $112 | 54 |
| 67 Ridgecliff Dr | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-12%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $114 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $34,654
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $93,724
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99352
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 573
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,147 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $460/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $922
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $996 | -5% $959 | +0% $922 | +5% $885 | +10% $849 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $753 | -5% $837 | +0% $922 | +5% $1,007 | +10% $1,092 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $988 | -0.5pp $955 | base $922 | +0.5pp $888 | +1.0pp $854 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 782 Rio Vista Loop Richland, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,195 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 731 Rio Vista Loop Richland, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,195 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 723 Rio Vista Loop heuristic Richland, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,195 | $1.46 | 26d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 790 Rio Vista LOOP Richland, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,195 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2550 Duportail St Richland, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $1,985 | $2.03 | 15d | 15 | 0.53mi |
| 3003 Queensgate Dr Richland, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 931 | $2,030 | $2.18 | 15d | 21 | 0.67mi |
| 501 Wright Ave Apt 1 Richland, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1114 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1043 Tartarian Ave Richland, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $2,299 | $2.00 | 15d | 20 | 1.04mi |
| 900 Aaron Dr Richland, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 824 | $1,599 | $1.94 | 15d | 6 | 1.08mi |
| 850 Aaron Dr Richland, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,399 | $1.70 | 15d | 5 | 1.17mi |
| 414 Douglass Ave Richland, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 215 Casey Ave Richland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 810 Wright Ave Richland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 902 Birch Ave Richland, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1211 Gillespie St Richland, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-15status $129,900 Pending 58 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-04-18$129,900 Active
-
2022-10-07soldstatus $65,000 Closed 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
MLS# 264461 Great fixer upper or flipper! Cute starter home with split bedroom design, vaulted ceilings, panoramic view, in quiet neighborhood. Some repairs needed leaving a perfect sweat equity opportunity. If youre handy or ready to take on a few small projects, this could be perfect for you, call your realtor today for a private showing.
-
2022-09-28status Pending 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
MLS# 264461 Great fixer upper or flipper! Cute starter home with split bedroom design, vaulted ceilings, panoramic view, in quiet neighborhood. Some repairs needed leaving a perfect sweat equity opportunity. If youre handy or ready to take on a few small projects, this could be perfect for you, call your realtor today for a private showing.
-
2022-09-22$65,000 Active 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
MLS# 264461 Great fixer upper or flipper! Cute starter home with split bedroom design, vaulted ceilings, panoramic view, in quiet neighborhood. Some repairs needed leaving a perfect sweat equity opportunity. If youre handy or ready to take on a few small projects, this could be perfect for you, call your realtor today for a private showing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $460 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,273 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$813/yr (+$68/mo · 176.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,759
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$460
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,061
- − Management
- −$2,061
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $9,472
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,273
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,792/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307320
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,475
- Composite
- 53.04/100
- National rank
- #3244
- State rank
- #61 of 291 in WA
Livability — Richland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #2258
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richland, WA
- County
- Benton County · 186,895 people
- City population
- 62,989
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,430
- Household income
- $100,108
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 983.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 219,421 people
- By 2030
- 233,813 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 262,134 · +19.5%
- By 2050
- 290,100 · +32.2%
- By 2075
- 363,525 · +65.7%
- By 2100
- 418,667 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -323.81%
- Current HPI
- 217.3435
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+99.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Listed $129,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-07 Sold (MLS) $65,000 PACMLS
- 2022-09-28 Pending — PACMLS
- 2022-09-22 Listed $65,000 PACMLS
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2026): $460 · +25.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…