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1003 Dixon St S
B- Composite 69.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

1003 Dixon St S · Jacksonville, FL 32254
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,112 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1951 6,098 sqft lot Est $133k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CURRENT SALE IS CURRENTLY FALLING APART. APPRAISAL IS 72,000.SELLER HAS RENOVATED ENTIRE HOME, CH&A APPROX. 5 YEARS OLD, NEW PAINT & CARPET. WINDOWS HAVE BEEN REPLACED AND BATHTUB HAS BEEN REFINISHED. CUTE AS A BUTTON!!GREAT CLOSET SPACE PLUS ALL BRICK FOR EASY MAINTENANCE. SELLER WILL INSTALL NEW RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR BEFORE CLOSING.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1951

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Property used for residential purposes
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing enclosing the yard; City street frontage with asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven and electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Appliances include electric oven, electric range, refrigerator, and washer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 28% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $74k; list at $115k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.09%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
954 Allison St 0.10mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,084 (-2%) 1mo $130,000 $120 84
941 Huron St 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,208 (+9%) 2mo $125,000 $103 69
1227 Dena St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,033 (-7%) 5mo $55,000 $53 62
2667 Amy St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,038 (-7%) 0mo $117,000 $113 61
3130 Mell Ct 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-5%) 1mo $180,000 $170 60
2952 W 8th St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,119 (+1%) 3mo $95,000 $85 58
1050 Hood Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,051 (-6%) 4mo $73,000 $69 58
1056 Hood Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,024 (-8%) 2mo $154,500 $151 55
3242 Deason Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,197 (+8%) 2mo $223,500 $187 52
2908 Broadway Ave 0.28mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,268 (+14%) 1mo $185,000 $146 52
3125 3rd St Cir S 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+10%) 4mo $148,500 $121 52
1630 Detroit St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 976 (-12%) 4mo $106,000 $109 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.41% appreciation · 1.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$26,922
Equity at exit
$54,403
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$73,719
Equity at exit
$85,998

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32254

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,236 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,620/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $995
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1037 Detroit St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 1d 1 0.08mi
2851 Sophia St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 846 $1,000 $1.18 23d 3 0.16mi
912 Huron St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 14d 1 0.21mi
3034 Detroit Cir E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,399 $1.08 23d 1 0.21mi
2862 W 1st St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $895 $1.12 3d 1 0.21mi
2862 W 1st St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $895 $1.12 14d 1 0.21mi
2852 W 1st St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $895 $1.12 7d 1 0.22mi
3012 Imperial St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1089 $1,395 $1.28 23d 1 0.27mi
2913 W 2nd St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 1d 1 0.29mi
3055 2nd Street Cir Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1050 $1,340 $1.28 17d 1 0.35mi
1227 Dena St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1033 $1,325 $1.28 23d 1 0.35mi
841 Ontario St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,285 $1.28 23d 1 0.37mi
3101 3rd Street Cir N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 870 $1,150 $1.32 7d 1 0.40mi
1021 Woodstock Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,495 $1.48 23d 1 0.41mi
1021 Woodstock Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,495 $1.48 7d 1 0.41mi
2965 Sunset St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,375 $1.30 3d 1 0.44mi
2965 Sunset St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,375 $1.30 7d 1 0.44mi
2902 W 5th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1379 $1,050 $0.76 7d 1 0.47mi
1305 Melson Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,399 $1.14 20d 1 0.47mi
3303 Broadway Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1072 $1,550 $1.45 3d 1 0.54mi
2939 W 6th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,225 $0.97 1d 1 0.55mi
2587 Orchard St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 992 $1,295 $1.31 7d 1 0.56mi
3368 Columbus Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 955 $1,300 $1.36 4d 1 0.56mi
1612 Alfen St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 945 $1,113 $1.18 7d 1 0.58mi
3326 W 1st St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 791 $995 $1.26 23d 1 0.58mi
3305 Sunnybrook Ave N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,021 $1.01 23d 1 0.61mi
3350 Sunnybrook Ave N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,095 $1.22 23d 1 0.68mi
3450 Lowell Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,578 $1.31 23d 1 0.71mi
3433 Brookhaven Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 754 $1,295 $1.72 7d 1 0.77mi
2410 McQuade St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,425 $1.09 23d 1 0.78mi
3688 Dillon St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,421 $1.16 23d 1 0.82mi
3352 Dillon St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1229 $1,372 $1.12 23d 1 0.84mi
3515 Dignan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 915 $1,036 $1.13 2d 1 0.85mi
2939 W 11th St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1086 $1,295 $1.19 23d 1 0.86mi
2325 Westbrook Cir N Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 812 $1,200 $1.48 23d 1 0.89mi
3318 Dignan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 23d 1 0.90mi
2854 Wickwire St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 948 $1,300 $1.37 3d 1 0.90mi
3323 Nolan St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 927 $1,050 $1.13 1d 1 0.92mi
1213 Moat St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1022 $1,283 $1.26 17d 1 0.93mi
3319 Hunt St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 924 $1,295 $1.40 23d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $115,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  5. 2026-04-09
    listed $89,950 Active
  6. 2004-08-16
    soldstatus $74,000
  7. 2004-08-10
    historical 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    CURRENT SALE IS CURRENTLY FALLING APART. APPRAISAL IS 72,000.SELLER HAS RENOVATED ENTIRE HOME, CH&A APPROX. 5 YEARS OLD, NEW PAINT & CARPET. WINDOWS HAVE BEEN REPLACED AND BATHTUB HAS BEEN REFINISHED. CUTE AS A BUTTON!!GREAT CLOSET SPACE PLUS ALL BRICK FOR EASY MAINTENANCE. SELLER WILL INSTALL NEW RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR BEFORE CLOSING.

  8. 2004-08-06
    soldstatus $74,000 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    CURRENT SALE IS CURRENTLY FALLING APART. APPRAISAL IS 72,000.SELLER HAS RENOVATED ENTIRE HOME, CH&A APPROX. 5 YEARS OLD, NEW PAINT & CARPET. WINDOWS HAVE BEEN REPLACED AND BATHTUB HAS BEEN REFINISHED. CUTE AS A BUTTON!!GREAT CLOSET SPACE PLUS ALL BRICK FOR EASY MAINTENANCE. SELLER WILL INSTALL NEW RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR BEFORE CLOSING.

  9. 2004-02-11
    listed $69,000 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    CURRENT SALE IS CURRENTLY FALLING APART. APPRAISAL IS 72,000.SELLER HAS RENOVATED ENTIRE HOME, CH&A APPROX. 5 YEARS OLD, NEW PAINT & CARPET. WINDOWS HAVE BEEN REPLACED AND BATHTUB HAS BEEN REFINISHED. CUTE AS A BUTTON!!GREAT CLOSET SPACE PLUS ALL BRICK FOR EASY MAINTENANCE. SELLER WILL INSTALL NEW RANGE AND REFRIGERATOR BEFORE CLOSING.

  10. 1982-08-06
    soldstatus $29,000
  11. 1981-10-01
    soldstatus $30,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,620 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,620 · $135/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,829
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,620
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,186
− Management
−$1,186
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$474
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$114
After-tax cash flow
$2,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,927
Household income
$34,953
Rent vs Own
50.2% rent · 49.8% own
Severe rent burden
882.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 28% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.41%
Current HPI
282.2981
Rent YoY
▲ 1.70%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+194.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $89,950 realMLS
  • 2004-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
  • 2004-08-10 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2004-08-06 Sold (MLS) $74,000 realMLS
  • 2004-02-11 Listed $69,000 realMLS
  • 1982-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 1981-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,620 · +27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…