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9375 Pierson St
C- Composite 51.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,000

9375 Pierson St · Detroit, MI 48228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 998 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 219 Days on market
Built 1943 5,663 sqft lot Est $63k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming home on Detroit !!!!, this well-maintained property boasts newer windows, an updated kitchen, and an updated bathroom. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

Key facts

  • Close to restaurants
  • Newer windows
  • Close to shops

Tags

NEWER WINDOWSUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMCLOSE TO RESTAURANTSCLOSE TO SHOPSCLOSE TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.19%
Cash-on-cash
10.33%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,874
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9116 Patton St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,029 (+3%) 1mo $45,000 $44 82
9616 Braile St 0.19mi 3/1.0 958 (-4%) 4mo $41,500 $43 81
9328 Patton St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,062 (+6%) 1mo $50,000 $47 81
9534 Heyden St 0.36mi 3/1.0 960 (-4%) 3mo $100,000 $104 75
8854 Stout St 0.47mi 3/1.0 989 (-1%) 2mo $66,250 $67 74
9072 Burt Rd 0.25mi 3/1.0 906 (-9%) 2mo $57,000 $63 72
9012 Pierson St 0.31mi 3/1.0 910 (-9%) 0mo $60,000 $66 71
8620 Pierson St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,005 (+1%) 5mo $51,000 $51 69
9581 Heyden St 0.34mi 3/2.0 950 (-5%) 4mo $92,000 $97 69
11419 Braile St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 969 (-3%) 2mo $45,000 $46 66
9634 Evergreen Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 912 (-9%) 3mo $23,000 $25 59
20627 Patton Ct 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,100 (+10%) 3mo $105,000 $95 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-3,882
Equity at exit
$13,121
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$1,903
Equity at exit
$7,609

Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$461
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,751/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $815
Max offer price $88,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $262 -5% $237 +0% $212 +5% $187 +10% $162
Rent -10% $127 -5% $169 +0% $212 +5% $255 +10% $298
Rate -1.0pp $257 -0.5pp $235 base $212 +0.5pp $189 +1.0pp $166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,000
Closing costs
$2,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20921 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 0.08mi
20935 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.09mi
20937 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 0.10mi
20945 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 0.10mi
9416 Trinity St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 0.10mi
20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 0.12mi
9404 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.15mi
20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.16mi
20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.16mi
9410 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.17mi
20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.17mi
20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.17mi
9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.18mi
20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.18mi
20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 0.18mi
9059 Burt Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 980 $1,400 $1.43 44d 1 0.28mi
11652 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,386 $1.39 44d 1 0.64mi
19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 950 $1,500 $1.58 44d 1 0.66mi
8270 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 806 $1,528 $1.90 44d 1 0.76mi
8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,294 $1.22 5d 1 0.84mi
12084 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.87mi
19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 44d 1 0.89mi
20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,350 $1.32 18d 1 1.00mi
9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 787 $1,250 $1.59 44d 1 1.06mi
7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 1.09mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 2d 15 1.22mi
7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 690 $1,350 $1.96 44d 1 1.24mi
7411 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 888 $1,428 $1.61 13d 1 1.27mi
12867 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $1,050 $1.43 44d 1 1.29mi
11704 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1046 $1,300 $1.24 25d 1 1.33mi
12880 Dolson St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 44d 6 1.38mi
8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,100 $1.18 18d 1 1.40mi
13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 44d 1 1.42mi
11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,400 $1.25 17d 1 1.43mi
12850 Dolphin St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 746 $999 $1.34 5d 4 1.43mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2025-11-07
    status Pending 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit !!!!, this well-maintained property boasts newer windows, an updated kitchen, and an updated bathroom. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

  2. 2025-11-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit !!!!, this well-maintained property boasts newer windows, an updated kitchen, and an updated bathroom. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

  3. 2025-10-02
    price $88,000 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit !!!!, this well-maintained property boasts newer windows, an updated kitchen, and an updated bathroom. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

  4. 2025-10-02
    price $88,000
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit !!!!, this well-maintained property boasts newer windows, an updated kitchen, and an updated bathroom. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

  5. 2025-09-24
    price $90,000 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit !!!!, this well-maintained property boasts newer windows, an updated kitchen, and an updated bathroom. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

  6. 2025-09-23
    price $90,000
  7. 2025-04-02
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit !!!!, this well-maintained property boasts newer windows, an updated kitchen, and an updated bathroom. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

  8. 2025-04-02
    listed $95,000 Active 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit !!!!, this well-maintained property boasts newer windows, an updated kitchen, and an updated bathroom. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

  9. 2022-04-21
    soldstatus $83,900
  10. 1997-12-06
    historical
  11. 1997-11-05
    listed $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,751 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,751 · $146/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,007
− Mortgage interest
−$4,929
− Property taxes
−$1,751
− Insurance
−$440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$2,560
Taxable income
$1,245
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$299
After-tax cash flow
$2,248/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $88,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-02 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-02 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $83,900 Public Records
  • 1997-12-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1997-11-05 Listed $33,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,751 · -9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…