2307 Clearbrook Dr · Missouri City, TX 77489

$247,990

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,474 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market

Built 1974 6,952 sqft lot Est $318k · 22% under · waterfront $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +8.2/30.0
• Appreciation +4.7/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.2/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

Key facts

• 6,952 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Community pool

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $248k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-231 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (16.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (19.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $200k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.6% in Missouri City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#526 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lantern Lane El (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 472 students, 77% FRL); Quail Valley Middle (math 55% / reading 57%, grade B-, #234 of 1,662 statewide, top 14%, 1,043 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 35% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 188 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $347 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
• Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 99% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $200,130 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.18%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.98%
• DSCR: 0.82
• GRM: 10.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $318,384
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2307 Clearbrook Dr	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,474 (0%)	0mo	$247,990	$168	100
2239 Fall Meadow Dr	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,528 (+4%)	0mo	$224,900	$147	85
2254 Stillmeadow Dr	0.23mi	3/2.0	1,528 (+4%)	3mo	$265,000	$173	81
2119 Mustang Springs Dr	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,528 (+4%)	4mo	$245,000	$160	80
2230 Fall Meadow Dr	0.17mi	3/2.0	1,395 (-5%)	4mo	$185,000	$133	79
2126 Quail Valley East Dr	0.28mi	3/2.0	1,536 (+4%)	1mo	$249,900	$163	79
2014 Hilton Head Dr	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,474 (0%)	10mo	$275,000	$187	76
1922 Shady Oaks Ct	0.36mi	3/2.0	1,509 (+2%)	4mo	$225,000	$149	76
2015 Quail Valley East Dr	0.41mi	3/2.0	1,528 (+4%)	4mo	$225,000	$147	72
1934 Shady Oaks Ct	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,376 (-7%)	8mo	$234,900	$171	67
3290 Hunters Glen Dr	0.42mi	3/2.0	1,676 (+14%)	1mo	$210,000	$125	56
2610 Creekway Cir	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,576 (+7%)	4mo	$219,900	$140	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.55% appreciation · 0.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.52×
• Total profit: $-33,417
• Equity at exit: $65,250

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.39×
• Total profit: $-42,406
• Equity at exit: $73,225

Cash invested: $69,437 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77489

• Home prices YoY: -0.2%
• Rents YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 188
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,001 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,300
• Tax from tax record: −$391 /mo · $4,689/yr
• Insurance: −$103
• HOA: −$17
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$420
• Net cashflow: $-231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,293

Max offer price $207,266

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-90	-5% $-160	+0% $-231	+5% $-301	+10% $-371
Rent	-10% $-389	-5% $-310	+0% $-231	+5% $-151	+10% $-72
Rate	-1.0pp $-106	-0.5pp $-167	base $-231	+0.5pp $-295	+1.0pp $-360

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $61,998
• Closing costs: $7,440
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1919 Doliver Cir Missouri City, TX	3.0	2.0	1515	$2,000	$1.32	45d	1	0.49mi
3618 Quail Meadow Dr Missouri City, TX	3.0	2.0	1618	$1,966	$1.22	45d	1	0.71mi
3102 Texas Pkwy Missouri City, TX	2.0	1.0	900	$1,301	$1.45	2d	3	0.77mi
3302 Texas Pkwy Missouri City, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	800	$1,302	$1.63	2d	7	0.90mi
17318 Edgehaven Dr Missouri City, TX	3.0	2.0	1448	$1,695	$1.17	22d	1	1.20mi
2026 Summer Place Dr Missouri City, TX	3.0	2.0	1837	$1,861	$1.01	22d	1	1.25mi
22 Chapparal Ct Missouri City, TX	3.0	2.0	1504	$2,000	$1.33	45d	1	1.36mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $17 · $204/yr

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-04-28
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-23
   status Pending
3. 2026-04-17
   status Active
4. 2026-04-16
   historical
5. 2026-04-16
   historical $247,990
6. 2016-05-06
   soldstatus
7. 2016-05-04
   soldstatus Sold 418-char remark

   Show marketing remark (418 chars)

   Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

8. 2016-04-07
   status Pending 418-char remark

   Show marketing remark (418 chars)

   Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

9. 2016-03-28
   status Option Pending 418-char remark

   Show marketing remark (418 chars)

   Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

10. 2016-03-23
    status Active 418-char remark

    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

11. 2016-03-23
    status Pending, Continue to Show 418-char remark

    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

12. 2016-03-22
    status Pending 418-char remark

    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

13. 2016-03-08
    status Option Pending 418-char remark

    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

14. 2016-03-01
    status Active 418-char remark

    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

15. 2016-02-29
    status Pending 418-char remark

    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

16. 2016-02-16
    status Option Pending 418-char remark

    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

17. 2016-02-12
    listed $124,500 Active 418-char remark

    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Welcome home! Nice 3 bedroom home with great curb appeal and huge backyard. Home features an open and bright split floor plan. Spacious family room with bright windows to the backyard, built ins, and an eye catching corner fireplace. Cozy kitchen perfect for preparing meals is open to dining and family. Dining features bright windows. Large master with private master bath. Secondary bedrooms are good sized as well.

18. 1993-09-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,689 · $391/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,689 · $391/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,016
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,891
• − Property taxes: −$4,689
• − Insurance: −$1,240
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,921
• − Management: −$1,921
• − HOA: −$204
• − Depreciation: −$7,214
• Taxable loss: −$7,065
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,696
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fort Bend ISD
• NCES district ID: 4819650
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $82,360
• Composite: 44.61/100
• National rank: #2779
• State rank: #140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Missouri City

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #526
• US rank: #10308

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Missouri City, TX
• County: Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
• City population: 123,513
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 39,292
• Household income: $74,689
• Rent vs Own: 22.9% rent · 77.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1121.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,004,526 people
• By 2030: 1,153,104 · +14.8%
• By 2040: 1,453,718 · +44.7%
• By 2050: 1,753,781 · +74.6%
• By 2075: 2,455,772 · +144.5%
• By 2100: 2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (60%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 13% White 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.55%
• Current HPI: 288.1306
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.34%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+99.2% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-04-23 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-04-17 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $247,990 HARMLS
• 2016-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2016-05-04 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2016-04-07 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-03-28 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-03-23 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2016-03-23 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-03-22 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-03-08 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-03-01 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2016-02-29 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-02-16 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-02-12 Listed $124,500 HARMLS
• 1993-09-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,689 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.