8835 Iroquois Way · Harrisburg, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fox Lair Farms Manufactured Home Park is a manufactured home community located at 10185 Darby Creek Rd in Orient, Ohio, just south of Columbus. Designed for affordable, low-maintenance living Residents own their homes but rent the lot 🌳 Setting & Location Situated in a rural/suburban area of Orient Roughly 15 minutes from downtown Columbus, offering convenient access to jobs, shopping, and entertainment Known for a quiet, park-like or countryside atmosphere 🏠 Homes & Living Style Homes in Fox Lair Farms are typically: Manufactured homes (single-wide or double-wide) New build models of all shapes and sizes available. Usually 2-3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms Approximate
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2026
- Listed 72 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (11.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $142k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#942 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Westfall Local (rural): math 49% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #304 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 312 units permitted in Pickaway County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pickaway County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.38%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $314,778
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -49.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12764 Cleo Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+1%) | 1mo | $313,000 | $196 | 66 |
| 11216 Lakeview Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-4%) | 9mo | $328,000 | $217 | 51 |
| 12639 Graham Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,417 (-10%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $198 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-33,549
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-37,987
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43146
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,967 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$575
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-126
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-15 | -5% $-71 | +0% $-126 | +5% $-181 | +10% $-236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-281 | -5% $-204 | +0% $-126 | +5% $-48 | +10% $29 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-45 | -0.5pp $-85 | base $-126 | +0.5pp $-167 | +1.0pp $-210 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $575 · $6,900/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $159,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-07$159,900 Active
-
2026-03-19historical
-
2026-02-22price $170,000
-
2026-01-15price $174,000
-
2025-09-25$179,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,889
- − Management
- −$1,889
- − HOA
- −$6,900
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$3,877
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$931
- After-tax cash flow
- $-581/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and updates to its exterior, interior, and systems, significantly impacting its resale and rental value. Immediate attention to these areas is crucial for increasing its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear visible.
- Major roof — Significant wear and tear visible.
- Major windows — Significant wear and tear visible.
- Major landscaping — Sparse vegetation and no visible curb appeal.
- Major interior walls/paint — No interior walls or paint are visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor.
- Major bathrooms — No bathrooms are visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor.
- Major kitchen — No kitchen is visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No HVAC or mechanicals are visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor.
- Major foundation/structure — No foundation or structure is visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor.
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior siding and roof repair — Both repairs are critical for both resale and rental value.
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the landscaping will enhance both resale and rental value.
- Both interior painting and updates — Given the poor exterior condition, interior updates will significantly improve the home's overall appeal.
- Both HVAC and mechanicals — Upgrading HVAC and mechanicals will improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value.
- Both bathrooms and kitchen — Updating bathrooms and kitchen will improve functionality and appeal, enhancing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant wear and tear visible. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Significant wear and tear visible. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · Significant wear and tear visible. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Sparse vegetation and no visible curb appeal. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · No interior walls or paint are visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · No bathrooms are visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen · No kitchen is visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No HVAC or mechanicals are visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| foundation/structure · No foundation or structure is visible in the photos, but given the exterior condition, it's likely poor. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 9 items | $135,000–450,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior siding and roof repair — Both repairs are critical for both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the landscaping will enhance both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both interior painting and updates — Given the poor exterior condition, interior updates will significantly improve the home's overall appeal. ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanicals — Upgrading HVAC and mechanicals will improve comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both bathrooms and kitchen — Updating bathrooms and kitchen will improve functionality and appeal, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westfall Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904910
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,733
- Composite
- 50.25/100
- National rank
- #1891
- State rank
- #304 of 656 in OH
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #942
- US rank
- #18192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pickaway · 57,589 people
- City population
- 360
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,325
- Household income
- $73,904
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Pickaway County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,488 people
- By 2030
- 60,400 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 61,498 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 61,478 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 59,696 · +0.3%
- By 2100
- 51,458 · -13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pickaway
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.5) · D 25.3% · R 73.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.8pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -48.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+42.6 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.05%
- Current HPI
- 271.1768
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-10.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $159,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2026-02-22 Price Changed $170,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $174,000 CBRMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $179,000 CBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…