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705 S Central Ave
D+ Composite 49.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

705 S Central Ave · Casey, IL 62420
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily · 32 Days on market
Built 1900 Good condition 5,447 sqft lot Est $95k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordability, convenience, and low-maintenance all await you at 705 S Central Ave in Casey! This house is within walking distance of all the BIG things Casey has to offer. Outside, you will love the large front and back decks along with the nearly new asphalt shingle roof! Inside you will find all new flooring, new fixtures, brand new water heater, and a furnace and a/c unit that have both been replaced in the last few years. This home also features a large living space perfect for hosting that family dinner or child’s birthday party! Two generously-sized bedrooms along with a large bathroom that also houses the laundry round out the interior of this home. Cheaper than rent! Bring yo

Key facts

  • All new flooring
  • Large living space
  • New fixtures

Tags

LARGE FRONT AND BACK DECKSALL NEW FLOORINGNEW FIXTURESBRAND NEW WATER HEATERFURNACE AND A C UNIT REPLACEDLARGE LIVING SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: Other

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detectors installed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story/home with one level; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and plaster exterior; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Gravel road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes all living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($496/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#849 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Casey-Westfield CUSD 4C (town): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #322 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,500 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.09%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,316
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 E Madison Ave 0.24mi 2/1.0 1,088 (+7%) 6mo $212,000 $195 71
112 NW 4th St 0.57mi 2/1.5 1,088 (+7%) 1mo $130,000 $119 59
809 SW 3rd St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,136 (+12%) 15mo $78,700 $69 53
408 E Adams Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,138 (+12%) 8mo $60,000 $53 51
300 W Alabama Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 928 (-8%) 11mo $42,000 $45 48
301 NW 1st St 0.63mi 2/1.0 908 (-10%) 15mo $85,000 $94 40
203 NW 4th St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,164 (+15%) 12mo $159,000 $137 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-11,113
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-6,239
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62420

Home prices YoY
-8.9%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$795 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$167
Net cashflow
$41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $743
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $100 -5% $71 +0% $41 +5% $12 +10% $-17
Rent -10% $-21 -5% $10 +0% $41 +5% $73 +10% $104
Rate -1.0pp $84 -0.5pp $63 base $41 +0.5pp $19 +1.0pp $-3

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 N Central Ave Unit 212 Casey, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $795 $0.88 44d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $84,900 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,900 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,900 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    listed $84,900 Active
  16. 2012-06-01
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,540
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$763
− Management
−$763
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable loss
−$910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$218
After-tax cash flow
$714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home in Casey, IL is in good condition with recent updates, including new flooring, HVAC, and water heater. The large front and back decks and nearly new roof add to its appeal. Minor exterior painting and gutter cleaning would further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Casey-Westfield CUSD 4C
NCES district ID
1700002
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$45,497
Composite
21.99/100
National rank
#8208
State rank
#322 of 620 in IL

Livability — Casey

Score
62/100
State rank
#849
US rank
#16670

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Casey, IL
Population (ZIP)
4,361

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,978 people
By 2030
14,380 · -4.0%
By 2040
13,135 · -12.3%
By 2050
11,920 · -20.4%
By 2075
9,254 · -38.2%
By 2100
6,737 · -55.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.5% · R 74.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-43.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -51.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.2 2020: R+50.7 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.02%
Current HPI
174.2999
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $84,900 CIBR
  • 2012-06-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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