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11951 Champions Green Way #401
C- Composite 51.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$227,500

11951 Champions Green Way #401 · Gateway, FL 33913
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,317 sqft · Condo public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2007 $679/mo HOA · 22% of rent ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located on the first floor in the gated community of Gateway Greens and not in a flood zone, this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath condo offers stunning golf course views and a one car garage. The open and spacious floor plan features a brand new roof, brand new A/C, and a newer water heater. The large primary suite includes a ceiling fan, decorative wainscoting, a walk in closet, walk in tiled shower, upgraded dual vanities, and granite countertops. The spacious eat in kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances, a pantry, abundant cabinet space, granite countertops, tile backsplash, upgraded sink and faucet, recessed lighting, and modern fixtures. Additional upgrades inclu

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Brand new a/c
  • Brand new roof

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYGOLF COURSE VIEWSBRAND NEW ROOFBRAND NEW A/CNEWER WATER HEATERWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Irrigation included in assessment; Pets allowed with conditions (call)
  • Financial info: Association fee listed quarterly
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (64 units in community); Quarterly association fee (includes grounds maintenance and pest control); Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, cabana, golf course, putting greens, tennis courts, barbecue/picnic areas, park, trails, management; Gated community with street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned attached garage (1 covered space)
  • Security: Gated community; Security gate with guard; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry level 1; PUD zoning; Faces west; Resale property
  • Construction: Tile roof; Built with brick, block, concrete, and stucco
  • Exterior features: Patio; Lanai; Screened porch; Porch; Sprinkler/irrigation (automatic); Security/high impact doors; Community pool; Has view; East exposure; Paved public road; Zero lot line

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Single hung windows; Bedroom on main level; Dual sinks; Eat-in kitchen; Family/Dining room; Living/Dining room; Pantry; Shower only (separate shower); Walk-in closet(s); High speed internet
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $228k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $228k).
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.5% in Gateway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#477 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 811 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
7.08%
Cash-on-cash
2.80%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-34,946
Equity at exit
$33,921
10-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-47,509
Equity at exit
$19,670

Cash invested: $63,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33913

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
811
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,118 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,193
Tax from tax record
$348 /mo · $4,176/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$679
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$655
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,930
Max offer price $227,500
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,875
Closing costs
$6,825
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12020 Champions Green Way #112 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $2,000 $1.89 11d 1 0.13mi
12030 Champions Green Way #212 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 3d 1 0.17mi
11343 Tiverton Trce Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1685 $4,000 $2.37 3d 1 0.60mi
11701 Avingston Ter Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1553 $5,500 $3.54 14d 1 0.80mi
10529 Casella Way #102 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1722 $4,500 $2.61 23d 1 0.82mi
12141 Summergate Cir #102 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 978 $1,800 $1.84 11d 1 0.83mi
11230 Suffield St Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1560 $8,500 $5.45 23d 1 0.83mi
10820 Palazzo Way #203 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1235 $5,400 $4.37 23d 1 0.84mi
12131 Summergate Cir #203 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 978 $3,500 $3.58 23d 1 0.84mi
10520 Casella Way #101 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1722 $7,000 $4.07 23d 1 0.87mi
12171 Summergate Cir #102 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 978 $1,500 $1.53 23d 1 0.88mi
10791 Palazzo Way #301 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $5,300 $3.81 23d 1 0.90mi
12061 Summergate Cir #204 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 956 $3,000 $3.14 23d 1 0.90mi
12090 Summergate Cir #101 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1231 $1,825 $1.48 23d 1 0.91mi
10879 Rutherford Rd Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1566 $3,500 $2.23 23d 1 0.99mi
10751 Palazzo Way #103 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1235 $5,000 $4.05 23d 1 1.02mi
11490 Villa Grand #209 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1107 $1,500 $1.36 3d 1 1.03mi
12096 Ledgewood Cir Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1798 $2,850 $1.59 23d 1 1.04mi
11500 Villa Grand #316 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1107 $1,650 $1.49 23d 1 1.05mi
11500 Villa Grand #306 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1107 $1,900 $1.72 23d 1 1.05mi
11900 Grosseto Ct Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1713 $5,500 $3.21 23d 1 1.07mi
11900 Grosseto Ct Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1713 $6,000 $3.50 19d 1 1.07mi
10711 Palazzo Way Unit 203 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1257 $5,300 $4.22 21d 1 1.07mi
10711 Palazzo Way Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1257 $3,900 $3.10 16d 2 1.07mi
10952 Clarendon St Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1582 $4,000 $2.53 23d 1 1.12mi
10700 Palazzo Way #201 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $5,000 $3.60 21d 1 1.12mi
11530 Villa Grand Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1336 $1,750 $1.31 3d 1 1.13mi
11530 Villa Grand #1109 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1107 $1,500 $1.36 23d 1 1.13mi
11571 Villa Grand #617 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1336 $2,200 $1.65 16d 1 1.17mi
11170 Lakeland Cir Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1571 $1,975 $1.26 14d 1 1.17mi
10900 Glenhurst St Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,200 $1.62 3d 1 1.18mi
11561 Villa Grand #717 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1107 $1,550 $1.40 16d 1 1.19mi
10535 Carolina Willow Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1290 $2,300 $1.78 21d 1 1.20mi
10908 Clarendon St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1433 $8,000 $5.58 14d 1 1.22mi
10908 Clarendon St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1433 $8,000 $5.58 23d 1 1.22mi
10730 Cetrella Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $6,900 $4.43 23d 1 1.27mi
10714 Cetrella Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $5,500 $4.48 23d 1 1.32mi
12300 Professional Park Dr Fort Myers, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1058 $2,345 $2.22 23d 25 1.32mi
10702 Cetrella Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1347 $5,500 $4.08 23d 1 1.36mi
10700 Cetrella Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $3,500 $2.85 23d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$679 · $8,148/yr
Likely covers
watersecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $227,500 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $227,500 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $227,500 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $227,500 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $227,500 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $227,500 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $227,500 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $227,500 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $227,500 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,176 · $348/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,176 · $348/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,417
− Mortgage interest
−$12,744
− Property taxes
−$4,176
− Insurance
−$1,138
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,993
− Management
−$2,993
− HOA
−$8,148
− Depreciation
−$6,618
Taxable loss
−$1,393
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$334
After-tax cash flow
$2,116/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Gateway

Score
69/100
State rank
#477
US rank
#8703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gateway, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
278,598
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,538
Household income
$110,373
Rent vs Own
9.5% rent · 90.5% own
Severe rent burden
276.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.45%
Current HPI
221.7115
Rent YoY
▲ 0.37%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $227,500 FORTMLS
  • 2024-07-31 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2024-04-23 Price Changed $329,999 FORTMLS
  • 2024-04-02 Price Changed $338,999 FORTMLS
  • 2024-03-02 Price Changed $344,900 FORTMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Listed $347,900 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,176 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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