9023 W 33rd Rd · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Efficient layout and functional flow make this property a strong option for buyers looking for a practical and manageable place to call home. The entry opens into a central living space with a natural, easy transition throughout. One bedroom is positioned just off the main living area, while a hallway leads to an additional bedroom and full bathroom, offering separation and flexibility for everyday living. The kitchen connects seamlessly back into the living area, creating a layout that makes the most of the space without unnecessary excess. Off the kitchen, the laundry room provides access to a covered porch and a spacious backyard—offering room to enjoy outdoor space, expand, or simply relax. Located with convenient access to major roadways, employment areas, and everyday amenities, this property presents a solid opportunity for buyers seeking an attainable entry point into homeownership with a layout that supports both comfort and functionality.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Expansive backyard
- Central living space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $52k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.92%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $66,986
- List price
- $52,000
- Delta
- -22.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3221 Holt St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+3%) | 19mo | $83,500 | $93 | 76 |
| 4007 Ludwig St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 876 (+0%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $74 | 71 |
| 3616 Boyd St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-1%) | 12mo | $83,500 | $97 | 64 |
| 4001 Cobb St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-5%) | 5mo | $47,500 | $57 | 59 |
| 2910 Elam St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 794 (-9%) | 19mo | $74,900 | $94 | 58 |
| 8200 W 34th St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-11%) | 1mo | $76,000 | $97 | 56 |
| 4105 Zion St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (+5%) | 3mo | $29,000 | $32 | 56 |
| 8100 W 34th St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+3%) | 15mo | $50,000 | $56 | 55 |
| 3820 Holt St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (+11%) | 15mo | $105,000 | $108 | 53 |
| 3711 Stonehedge Dr | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,005 (+15%) | 7mo | $106,000 | $105 | 48 |
| 3903 Stonehedge Dr | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 | 958 (+10%) | 13mo | $126,000 | $132 | 47 |
| 3223 Walker St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 776 (-11%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $52 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $21,326
- Equity at exit
- $7,753
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.32×
- Total profit
- $62,828
- Equity at exit
- $4,496
Cash invested: $14,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,011 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$273
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $823/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $436
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,000
- Closing costs
- $1,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3219 Holt St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $950 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 9024 W 37th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,075 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3324 Tatum St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 8901 Tanya Dr Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $850 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 9012 Tanya Dr Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1036 | $1,045 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8900 Tanya Dr Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $750 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3219 Potter St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $895 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 8906 Morris Manor Dr Apt 6 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $825 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8906 Morris Manor Dr Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 846 | $850 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8 Utica Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1006 | $850 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8700 Colonel Glenn Rd #5 Little Rock, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2412 Vancouver Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1801 Labette Manor Dr Unit 1 Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1801 Labette Manor Dr Unit 7 Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 991 | $995 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2011 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2009 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2007 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2005 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2003 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2017 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2015 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2001 Scotty Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 10101 W 20th St Unit B Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,395 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3510 S Bryant St Unit 50 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $995 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1500 Parham Pointe Dr Little Rock, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 941 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 19d | 5 | 1.48mi |
| 1310 Aldersgate Rd Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,352 | $1.18 | 19d | 7 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $52,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $52,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $52,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $52,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $52,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $52,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $52,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $52,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $52,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $52,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $52,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $52,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-04-06price $52,000 968-char remark
Show marketing remark (968 chars)
Efficient layout and functional flow make this property a strong option for buyers looking for a practical and manageable place to call home. The entry opens into a central living space with a natural, easy transition throughout. One bedroom is positioned just off the main living area, while a hallway leads to an additional bedroom and full bathroom, offering separation and flexibility for everyday living. The kitchen connects seamlessly back into the living area, creating a layout that makes the most of the space without unnecessary excess. Off the kitchen, the laundry room provides access to a covered porch and a spacious backyard—offering room to enjoy outdoor space, expand, or simply relax. Located with convenient access to major roadways, employment areas, and everyday amenities, this property presents a solid opportunity for buyers seeking an attainable entry point into homeownership with a layout that supports both comfort and functionality.
-
2026-03-16price $55,500 968-char remark
Show marketing remark (968 chars)
Efficient layout and functional flow make this property a strong option for buyers looking for a practical and manageable place to call home. The entry opens into a central living space with a natural, easy transition throughout. One bedroom is positioned just off the main living area, while a hallway leads to an additional bedroom and full bathroom, offering separation and flexibility for everyday living. The kitchen connects seamlessly back into the living area, creating a layout that makes the most of the space without unnecessary excess. Off the kitchen, the laundry room provides access to a covered porch and a spacious backyard—offering room to enjoy outdoor space, expand, or simply relax. Located with convenient access to major roadways, employment areas, and everyday amenities, this property presents a solid opportunity for buyers seeking an attainable entry point into homeownership with a layout that supports both comfort and functionality.
-
2026-02-21price $60,000 968-char remark
Show marketing remark (968 chars)
Efficient layout and functional flow make this property a strong option for buyers looking for a practical and manageable place to call home. The entry opens into a central living space with a natural, easy transition throughout. One bedroom is positioned just off the main living area, while a hallway leads to an additional bedroom and full bathroom, offering separation and flexibility for everyday living. The kitchen connects seamlessly back into the living area, creating a layout that makes the most of the space without unnecessary excess. Off the kitchen, the laundry room provides access to a covered porch and a spacious backyard—offering room to enjoy outdoor space, expand, or simply relax. Located with convenient access to major roadways, employment areas, and everyday amenities, this property presents a solid opportunity for buyers seeking an attainable entry point into homeownership with a layout that supports both comfort and functionality.
-
2026-02-09$65,000 New Listing 968-char remark
Show marketing remark (968 chars)
Efficient layout and functional flow make this property a strong option for buyers looking for a practical and manageable place to call home. The entry opens into a central living space with a natural, easy transition throughout. One bedroom is positioned just off the main living area, while a hallway leads to an additional bedroom and full bathroom, offering separation and flexibility for everyday living. The kitchen connects seamlessly back into the living area, creating a layout that makes the most of the space without unnecessary excess. Off the kitchen, the laundry room provides access to a covered porch and a spacious backyard—offering room to enjoy outdoor space, expand, or simply relax. Located with convenient access to major roadways, employment areas, and everyday amenities, this property presents a solid opportunity for buyers seeking an attainable entry point into homeownership with a layout that supports both comfort and functionality.
-
2022-02-03historical
-
2021-06-19$62,000 New Listing
-
2006-07-21soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $823 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $823 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,913
- − Property taxes
- −$823
- − Insurance
- −$260
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$971
- − Management
- −$971
- − Depreciation
- −$1,513
- Taxable income
- $4,683
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,124
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,105/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+85.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $52,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $55,500 CARMLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $60,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $65,000 CARMLS
- 2022-02-03 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2021-06-19 Listed $62,000 CARMLS
- 2006-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $823 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…