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307 W 7th St Duplex
A- Composite 83.97
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$74,995

307 W 7th St · Salem, MO 65560
2 bd · None ba · 1,551 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1965 5,000 sqft lot $48/sqft · 25% below area Est $100k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2 unit apartment building - each unit has range and oven plus the refrigerator. Each unit has 2 each window A/C and forced air furnace with natural gas - each unit has W/D hook-up in the basement. Full basement with garage. Presently renting for $350 a month each. In town and close to markets and shopping areas.

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Two car garage
  • 5,000 sq ft lot

Tags

FULL BASEMENTTWO CAR GARAGECENTRAL HEATING SYSTEMWINDOW UNIT AIR CONDITIONING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Home design: Residential income property; Multi-unit (2–4 units)
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.11 acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: No main or upper level bedrooms reported
  • Bathrooms: No main or upper level bathrooms reported
  • Heating & cooling: Wall/window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Wall/window air conditioning units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $327/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 2.7% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#157 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Salem R-80 (town): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #253 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Salem Upper Elem. (math 28% / reading 40%, grade F, #739 of 1,115 statewide, top 67%, 336 students, 62% FRL); Salem Sr. High (math 8% / reading 47%, grade F, #417 of 521 statewide, top 80%, 616 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Dent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
  • Dent County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,870 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
16.75%
Cash-on-cash
37.34%
DSCR
2.66
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,599
List price
$74,995
Delta
-24.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.8%
Equity multiple
3.94×
Total profit
$61,729
Equity at exit
$45,524
10-year hold
IRR
44.1%
Equity multiple
8.11×
Total profit
$149,399
Equity at exit
$81,191

Cash invested: $20,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65560

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,413 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $461/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$653

Break-even live

Break-even rent $586
Max offer price $74,995
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $696 -5% $675 +0% $653 +5% $632 +10% $611
Rent -10% $542 -5% $598 +0% $653 +5% $709 +10% $765
Rate -1.0pp $691 -0.5pp $672 base $653 +0.5pp $634 +1.0pp $614

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,413

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,749
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,995 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,995 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,995 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,995 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,995 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,995 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $74,995 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,995 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,995 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,995 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    status $74,995 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 677-char remark
  13. 2026-05-09
    status Active 677-char remark
  14. 2026-05-01
    status Pending 677-char remark
  15. 2026-04-25
    listed $74,995 Active 677-char remark
  16. 2016-07-08
    soldstatus Closed 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    2 unit apartment building - each unit has range and oven plus the refrigerator. Each unit has 2 each window A/C and forced air furnace with natural gas - each unit has W/ D hook-up in the basement. Full basement with garage. Presently renting for $350 a month each. In town and close to markets and shopping areas.

  17. 2016-07-08
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    2 unit apartment building - each unit has range and oven plus the refrigerator. Each unit has 2 each window A/C and forced air furnace with natural gas - each unit has W/ D hook-up in the basement. Full basement with garage. Presently renting for $350 a month each. In town and close to markets and shopping areas.

  18. 2016-06-22
    status Pending 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    2 unit apartment building - each unit has range and oven plus the refrigerator. Each unit has 2 each window A/C and forced air furnace with natural gas - each unit has W/D hook-up in the basement. Full basement with garage. Presently renting for $350 a month each. In town and close to markets and shopping areas.

  19. 2016-06-08
    historical 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    2 unit apartment building - each unit has range and oven plus the refrigerator. Each unit has 2 each window A/C and forced air furnace with natural gas - each unit has W/D hook-up in the basement. Full basement with garage. Presently renting for $350 a month each. In town and close to markets and shopping areas.

  20. 2016-05-16
    listed $52,500 Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    2 unit apartment building - each unit has range and oven plus the refrigerator. Each unit has 2 each window A/C and forced air furnace with natural gas - each unit has W/ D hook-up in the basement. Full basement with garage. Presently renting for $350 a month each. In town and close to markets and shopping areas.

  21. 2016-05-16
    listed $52,500
    Show marketing remark (314 chars)

    2 unit apartment building - each unit has range and oven plus the refrigerator. Each unit has 2 each window A/C and forced air furnace with natural gas - each unit has W/ D hook-up in the basement. Full basement with garage. Presently renting for $350 a month each. In town and close to markets and shopping areas.

  22. 2004-12-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$461 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$727 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$267/yr (+$22/mo · 57.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,956
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$461
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,356
− Management
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$7,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,686
After-tax cash flow
$6,154/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem R-80
NCES district ID
2927090
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$32,306
Composite
26.94/100
National rank
#7082
State rank
#253 of 324 in MO

Livability — Salem

Score
69/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#8725

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, MO
Population (ZIP)
13,634

Population outlook (Dent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,149 people
By 2030
14,734 · -2.7%
By 2040
13,862 · -8.5%
By 2050
12,959 · -14.5%
By 2075
11,217 · -26.0%
By 2100
9,399 · -38.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Dent

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.2) · D 14.4% · R 84.7%
2008→2024 swing
-32.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.8pp · 2024: -70.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.2 2020: R+69.0 2016: R+68.2 2012: R+49.6 2008: R+37.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.66%
Current HPI
238.9175
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-16 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $74,995 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-08 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2016-07-08 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-22 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-08 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-16 Listed $52,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-16 Listed $52,500 SOMO
  • 2004-12-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $461 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…