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50 Holly St
D Composite 43.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$19,900

50 Holly St · Jackson, TN 38301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1906 0.34 ac lot ↓ 56% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

FIXER UPPER OPPORTUNITY IN THE HEART OF BEMIS! Looking for your next investment project or a home you can make your own? This hidden gem is nestled in the historic Bemis area and offers endless potential for the right buyer! Great renovation opportunity Comparable renovated homes in the area are selling for $150,000+ Bring your vision, creativity, and tools to transform this property into something amazing! Bemis is a beautiful, up-and-coming community with historic charm, mature neighborhoods, and strong potential for growth. Whether you're looking for a flip, rental property, or your forever home, this fixer-upper gives you the opportunity to build equity from the ground up. D

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1906
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount approximately $384.22

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residential home; One-story / one level
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 210

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Interior features: Total of 3 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $784 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Cap rate 53.6% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: South Elementary (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #369 of 952 statewide, top 42%, 433 students, 0% FRL); South Side High School (math 10% / reading 15%, grade F, #257 of 332 statewide, top 78%, 810 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $19,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.91%
Cap rate
53.57%
Cash-on-cash
168.85%
DSCR
8.51
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$58,368
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
93 Carroll St 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,013 (-1%) 2mo $130,000 $128 85
220 N Missouri St 0.30mi 2/1.0 968 (-6%) 22mo $35,000 $36 58
5 3rd St 0.45mi 2/1.0 882 (-14%) 6mo $34,200 $39 51
63 Grove Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 928 (-9%) 10mo $155,000 $167 47
119 C St 0.40mi 1/1.0 (-1) 873 (-15%) 7mo $50,000 $57 46
224 N Massachusetts St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,168 (+14%) 10mo $35,000 $30 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.86×
Total profit
$49,380
Equity at exit
$2,967
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
22.31×
Total profit
$118,749
Equity at exit
$1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38301

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,176 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $385/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$784

Break-even live

Break-even rent $183
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $795 -5% $790 +0% $784 +5% $778 +10% $773
Rent -10% $691 -5% $738 +0% $784 +5% $830 +10% $877
Rate -1.0pp $794 -0.5pp $789 base $784 +0.5pp $779 +1.0pp $774

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $19,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $19,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $19,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $19,900 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    remarks 119-char remark
  10. 2026-06-13
    listed $19,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$385 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$385 · $32/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,108
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$385
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,129
− Management
−$1,129
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$9,672
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,321
After-tax cash flow
$7,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
4702580
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,015
Composite
11.74/100
National rank
#9687
State rank
#131 of 139 in TN

Livability — Jackson

Score
62/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#16488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, TN
County
Madison County · 87,024 people
City population
87,024
Metro
Jackson, TN
Population (ZIP)
33,536
Household income
$43,227
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
1701.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,952 people
By 2030
94,264 · -1.8%
By 2040
89,607 · -6.6%
By 2050
84,133 · -12.3%
By 2075
72,215 · -24.7%
By 2100
62,062 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.26%
Current HPI
162.2273
Rent YoY
▲ 5.19%
Metro
Jackson, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-55.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $19,900 CWTAR
  • 2026-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $385 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…